The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Manchester Super Giants v Trent Rockets

Kickoff: 2026-07-31 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Manchester Super Giants (Local)

Prediction 54.70%1.83fair odd
EV -3.17%
Edge -1.79%
Kelly -4.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.77

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.05%54.86%54.74%55.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.731.731.7759.88%57.69%57.80%56.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Trent Rockets (Visit)

Prediction 45.30%2.21fair odd
EV -3.97%
Edge -1.87%
Kelly -3.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.06%45.14%45.26%46.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.072.102.1250.00%48.23%47.62%47.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Manchester Super Giants (Local): 54.70%; Trent Rockets (Visit): 45.30%. For Manchester Super Giants (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.83. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.77, with an expected value of -3.17%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.17%E -1.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.41%E -4.70%K -9.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-31 13:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.17%E -1.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.41%E -4.70%K -9.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-31 13:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.17%E -1.79%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -9.41%E -4.70%K -9.41%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-31 13:54
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.27%E -2.44%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -4.88%E -2.32%K -4.44%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-31 13:49
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.27%E -2.44%K -5.69%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.14%E -3.48%K -6.80%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-31 13:54
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.36%E -3.10%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.88%E -2.32%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 13:27
888sport🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.36%E -3.10%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.88%E -2.32%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 13:29
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.36%E -3.10%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.88%E -2.32%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 13:29
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.36%E -3.10%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.88%E -2.32%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 13:55
Coral🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.36%E -3.10%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.88%E -2.32%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 13:54
Sky Bet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.36%E -3.10%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.88%E -2.32%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 13:29
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.36%E -3.10%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.88%E -2.32%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 13:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.36%E -3.10%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.88%E -2.32%K -4.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-31 13:29
betano_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.36%E -3.10%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.14%E -3.48%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-31 13:53
Bet Victor🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.36%E -3.10%K -7.34%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.14%E -3.48%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-31 13:49
Unibet (UK)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.91%E -3.44%K -8.21%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -5.78%E -2.78%K -5.36%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-31 13:54
SportsBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.00%E -4.12%K -10.00%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -6.24%E -3.01%K -5.83%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-31 13:55
Pinnacle🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.94%EV -8.64%E -5.18%K -12.90%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.06%EV -3.97%E -1.87%K -3.55%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-31 13:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41%0.1%2026-07-31 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%0.4%2026-07-31 13:55
Smarkets◎1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%2.1%2026-07-31 13:55

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