La scuola delle quoteodds.school
Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)
+ Nuovo modelloTutti i modelli

Welsh Fire v London Spirit

Inizio: 2026-08-12 14:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

36 bookmaker (12 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Welsh Fire (Casa)

Previsione 56.31%1.78quota equa
EV -2.03%
Vantaggio -1.17%
Kelly -2.74%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.74

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.42%56.18%56.34%58.14%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.621.681.671.7461.73%59.70%59.88%57.47%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

London Spirit (Trasferta)

Previsione 43.69%2.29quota equa
EV -1.69%
Vantaggio -0.750%
Kelly -1.35%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.86%43.82%43.66%45.58%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
2.032.182.202.2549.26%45.98%45.45%44.44%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Welsh Fire (Casa): 56.31%; London Spirit (Trasferta): 43.69%. Per London Spirit (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 2.29. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 2.25, con un valore atteso del -1.69%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (36 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.81%EV -2.03%E -1.17%K -2.74%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.19%EV -7.81%E -3.70%K -7.03%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-10 14:15
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -2.59%E -1.50%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -8.24%E -3.92%K -7.49%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-12 13:59
BetOnline.ag🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 56.27%EV -3.72%E -2.17%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.73%EV -3.87%E -1.76%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-12 13:55
theScore Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -3.72%E -2.17%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -8.24%E -3.92%K -7.49%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-12 13:59
DraftKings🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -3.72%E -2.17%K -5.24%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -10.43%E -5.09%K -9.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-12 02:05
Betway🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 56.41%EV -4.28%E -2.52%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.59%EV -3.87%E -1.76%K -3.23%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-12 13:54
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.28%E -2.52%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.06%E -2.82%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 13:59
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -4.28%E -2.52%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -6.06%E -2.82%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 13:59
BetUS🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.42%EV -4.28%E -2.52%K -6.11%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 45.58%EV -11.30%E -5.57%K -10.97%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-12 13:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -4.84%E -2.87%K -7.02%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -6.06%E -2.82%K -5.27%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-12 13:59
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.41%E -3.22%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.87%E -1.76%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 13:54
Neds🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -5.41%E -3.22%K -7.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -3.87%E -1.76%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-12 13:55
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.97%E -3.57%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.87%E -1.76%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 13:59
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.97%E -3.57%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.87%E -1.76%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 13:59
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.97%E -3.57%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.87%E -1.76%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.97%E -3.57%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.87%E -1.76%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 13:40
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.97%E -3.57%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.87%E -1.76%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 13:40
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.97%E -3.57%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.87%E -1.76%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 13:35
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.97%E -3.57%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.87%E -1.76%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 13:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.97%E -3.57%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.87%E -1.76%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 13:35
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.97%E -3.57%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.87%E -1.76%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 13:55
William Hill🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.97%E -3.57%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.87%E -1.76%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 13:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -5.97%E -3.57%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -3.87%E -1.76%K -3.23%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-12 13:30
Bet Right🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -5.97%E -3.57%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -6.06%E -2.82%K -5.27%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-12 13:29
betano_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.97%E -3.57%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.24%E -3.92%K -7.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-12 13:59
Bet Victor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -5.97%E -3.57%K -8.91%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -8.24%E -3.92%K -7.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-12 13:58
Unibet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.53%E -3.94%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.56%E -1.15%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 13:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.53%E -3.94%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.56%E -1.15%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 13:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.53%E -3.94%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.56%E -1.15%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 13:54
Virgin Bet🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.53%E -3.94%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.56%E -1.15%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 13:54
Casumo🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -6.53%E -3.94%K -9.90%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -2.56%E -1.15%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-12 13:54
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -7.10%E -4.30%K -10.92%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -3.87%E -1.76%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-12 13:29
SportsBet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -7.66%E -4.67%K -11.97%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -5.18%E -2.39%K -4.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-12 13:55
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.44%EV -8.22%E -5.04%K -13.05%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.56%EV -3.87%E -1.76%K -3.23%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-12 13:30
Marathon Bet🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -8.22%E -5.04%K -13.05%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV -6.49%E -3.03%K -5.70%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-12 13:55
BoyleSports🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -8.78%E -5.42%K -14.17%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -1.69%E -0.750%K -1.35%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-12 13:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-08-12 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-08-12 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-08-12 13:50
Matchbook◎1.77I 56.50%NM 56.30%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%0.4%2026-08-12 13:50
Smarkets◎1.73I 57.80%NM 56.64%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.36%2.1%2026-08-12 13:55