Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 1.51
assuming max odds 2.88
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Trent Rockets (Local): 65.20%; Southern Brave (Visit): 34.80%. For Southern Brave (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.87. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.88, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.213%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -8.71%E -6.22%K -21.79%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV +0.213%E +0.074%K +0.114%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-10 17:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.76%E -4.73%K -15.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -0.830%E -0.291%K -0.449%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-10 17:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.45%E -3.76%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.57%E -0.918%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-10 17:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -5.45%E -3.76%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -2.57%E -0.918%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-10 17:25 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV -7.41%E -5.22%K -17.64%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -2.57%E -0.918%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-10 17:24 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.27%EV -8.06%E -5.72%K -19.67%G +0.000% | 2.77I 36.10%NM 33.73%EV -3.61%E -1.30%K -2.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-10 17:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.45%E -3.76%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 17:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -5.45%E -3.76%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-10 17:25 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.11%E -4.24%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-10 17:05 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.11%E -4.24%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-10 17:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.11%E -4.24%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-10 17:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.11%E -4.24%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-10 17:00 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.11%E -4.24%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-10 17:15 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.11%E -4.24%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-10 17:00 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.11%E -4.24%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-10 17:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.11%E -4.24%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-10 17:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -8.71%E -6.22%K -21.79%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -4.31%E -1.57%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-10 17:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -2.19%E -1.46%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -4.66%E -1.70%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-08-10 17:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.15%E -2.82%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.05%E -2.24%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-10 17:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.15%E -2.82%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.05%E -2.24%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-10 17:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.15%E -2.82%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.05%E -2.24%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-10 17:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.75%EV -4.15%E -2.82%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.25%EV -6.05%E -2.24%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-10 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.80%E -3.29%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.05%E -2.24%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-10 17:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.80%E -3.29%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.05%E -2.24%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-10 17:15 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -4.80%E -3.29%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -6.05%E -2.24%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-10 17:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.45%E -3.76%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.05%E -2.24%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-10 17:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -5.45%E -3.76%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -6.05%E -2.24%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-10 16:59 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -7.41%E -5.22%K -17.64%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV -6.05%E -2.24%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-10 17:05 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.11%EV -7.41%E -5.22%K -17.64%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.89%EV -7.79%E -2.94%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-10 17:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -5.45%E -3.76%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -8.49%E -3.23%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-10 17:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.46%EV -5.45%E -3.76%K -12.12%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.54%EV -8.49%E -3.23%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-10 17:25 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -6.11%E -4.24%K -13.88%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -8.83%E -3.37%K -5.45%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-08-10 17:14 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 63.08%EV -1.54%E -1.02%K -3.02%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.92%EV -10.23%E -3.96%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-10 17:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.70%EV -4.15%E -2.82%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.30%EV -10.23%E -3.96%K -6.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-10 17:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -2.85%E -1.91%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -11.27%E -4.42%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-10 17:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.32%EV -4.80%E -3.29%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%EV -12.31%E -4.89%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-10 17:08 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 66.52% | 2.98I 33.56%NM 33.48% | 0.2% | 2026-08-10 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 0.4% | 2026-08-10 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 0.4% | 2026-08-10 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.49I 67.11%NM 66.82% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.18% | 0.4% | 2026-08-10 17:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.47I 68.03%NM 66.82% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.18% | 1.8% | 2026-08-10 17:25 |