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Sunrisers Leeds v Manchester Super Giants
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sunrisers Leeds (Local)
Prediction 52.31%1.91fair odd
EV -1.65%
Edge -0.879%
Kelly -1.88%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.88
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%52.07%52.33%53.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.751.821.801.8857.14%54.99%55.56%53.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Manchester Super Giants (Visit)
Prediction 47.69%2.10fair odd
EV -4.62%
Edge -2.31%
Kelly -4.62%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.95%47.93%47.67%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.871.961.962.0053.48%51.10%51.02%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sunrisers Leeds (Local): 52.31%; Manchester Super Giants (Visit): 47.69%. For Sunrisers Leeds (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.91. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.88, with an expected value of -1.65%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -1.65%E -0.879%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -9.39%E -4.94%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 17:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -1.65%E -0.879%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -9.39%E -4.94%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 16:59 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.26%EV -1.65%E -0.879%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.74%EV -9.39%E -4.94%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-28 17:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -1.65%E -0.879%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -9.87%E -5.22%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-28 16:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -1.65%E -0.879%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -9.87%E -5.22%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-28 16:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -1.65%E -0.879%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -9.87%E -5.22%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-28 16:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -1.65%E -0.879%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -9.87%E -5.22%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-28 17:00 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -2.18%E -1.16%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -10.82%E -5.79%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-28 05:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.22%E -1.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.01%E -3.59%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 17:24 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.22%E -1.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -7.01%E -3.59%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-28 17:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -3.22%E -1.74%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -7.49%E -3.86%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 17:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.96%EV -3.75%E -2.04%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 48.04%EV -5.10%E -2.56%K -5.15%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-07-28 16:30 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.79%E -2.63%K -5.84%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -6.06%E -3.07%K -6.24%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-28 16:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.84%E -3.24%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 16:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.84%E -3.24%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 16:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.84%E -3.24%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 16:54 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.84%E -3.24%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-26 20:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.84%E -3.24%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 17:00 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.84%E -3.24%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 16:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.84%E -3.24%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 16:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.84%E -3.24%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 16:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.84%E -3.24%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 16:54 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.84%E -3.24%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 16:54 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.84%E -3.24%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 16:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.84%E -3.24%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 16:59 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.84%E -3.24%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-28 17:00 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.84%E -3.24%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.58%E -2.82%K -5.69%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-28 17:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.84%E -3.24%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.53%E -3.33%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-28 16:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.84%E -3.24%K -7.30%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -7.01%E -3.59%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-28 17:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -6.88%E -3.87%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -7.01%E -3.59%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-28 17:04 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -6.88%E -3.87%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -7.96%E -4.13%K -8.56%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-28 17:19 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.50%EV -6.88%E -3.87%K -8.83%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.50%EV -9.87%E -5.22%K -11.09%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-07-28 17:25 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.41%E -4.18%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.62%E -2.31%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-28 16:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.45%E -4.83%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.01%E -3.59%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-28 16:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.45%E -4.83%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.01%E -3.59%K -7.38%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-28 16:53 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50% | 0.3% | 2026-07-28 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.90I 52.63%NM 52.50% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.50% | 0.3% | 2026-07-28 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 0.4% | 2026-07-28 17:24 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 52.13% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 47.87% | 0.4% | 2026-07-28 17:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.17% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 47.83% | 2.5% | 2026-07-28 17:25 |
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