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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Southern Brave v Manchester Super Giants

开赛时间： 2026-08-08 17:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

36 家博彩公司 (12 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Southern Brave (主队)

预测 51.01%1.96公平赔率
EV -1.54%
优势 -0.800%
Kelly -1.66%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.93

博彩公司预测分布
48.93%50.79%51.19%52.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.771.861.851.9356.50%53.90%54.05%51.81%最小值均值中位数最大值

Manchester Super Giants (客队)

预测 48.99%2.04公平赔率
EV -2.03%
优势 -1.01%
Kelly -2.03%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.00

博彩公司预测分布
47.37%49.21%48.81%51.07%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.831.921.912.0054.64%52.15%52.36%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Southern Brave (主队)：51.01%；Manchester Super Giants (客队)：48.99%。 对于“Southern Brave (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.96。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为1.93，期望值为-1.54%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (36 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -1.54%E -0.800%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -7.42%E -3.92%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 16:45
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.56%E -1.34%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 16:34
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.56%E -1.34%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 16:55
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.56%E -1.34%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 16:34
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -2.56%E -1.34%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -10.36%E -5.66%K -12.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 16:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.07%E -1.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.93%E -3.65%K -7.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 16:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.07%E -1.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.93%E -3.65%K -7.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 16:55
Unibet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.07%E -1.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.93%E -3.65%K -7.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 16:54
Grosvenor🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.58%E -1.90%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.42%E -3.92%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 16:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.58%E -1.90%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.42%E -3.92%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 16:55
Casumo🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.58%E -1.90%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.42%E -3.92%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 16:55
TABtouch🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.58%E -1.90%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.42%E -3.92%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 16:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.09%E -2.18%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.95%E -3.10%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 16:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -5.11%E -2.75%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 16:54
Bet Right🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -5.11%E -2.75%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -6.93%E -3.65%K -7.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.62%E -3.04%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.48%E -2.30%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 16:44
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.62%E -3.04%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.48%E -2.30%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 16:35
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.62%E -3.04%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.48%E -2.30%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 16:34
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.62%E -3.04%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.48%E -2.30%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 16:40
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.62%E -3.04%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.48%E -2.30%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 16:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.62%E -3.04%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.97%E -2.56%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 16:44
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.62%E -3.04%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.97%E -2.56%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 16:44
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.64%E -3.63%K -8.01%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.48%E -2.30%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 16:49
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.64%E -3.63%K -8.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 16:44
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.64%E -3.63%K -8.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 16:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.64%E -3.63%K -8.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 16:45
betano_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.64%E -3.63%K -8.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 16:54
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.64%E -3.63%K -8.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 16:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.64%E -3.63%K -8.01%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -8.40%E -4.49%K -9.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 16:45
BetUS🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -7.15%E -3.93%K -8.73%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.59%EV -9.38%E -5.07%K -11.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 16:55
SportsBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.47%EV -7.66%E -4.23%K -9.46%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%EV -5.95%E -3.10%K -6.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 16:49
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.17%E -4.54%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.03%E -1.01%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 16:45
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.17%E -4.54%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.03%E -1.01%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 16:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.17%E -4.54%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.03%E -1.01%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 16:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.17%E -4.54%K -10.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.48%E -2.30%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 16:49
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -9.71%E -5.48%K -12.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.63%EV -8.40%E -4.49%K -9.65%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-08 16:50
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%0.3%2026-08-08 16:55
Matchbook◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%0.3%2026-08-08 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%0.3%2026-08-08 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-08-08 16:55
Smarkets◎1.94I 51.55%NM 50.64%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.36%1.8%2026-08-08 16:55