Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Southern Brave v Manchester Super Giants

Inizio: 2026-08-08 17:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

36 bookmaker (12 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Southern Brave (Casa)

Previsione 51.01%1.96quota equa
EV -1.54%
Vantaggio -0.800%
Kelly -1.66%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.93

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
48.93%50.79%51.19%52.63%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.771.861.851.9356.50%53.90%54.05%51.81%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Manchester Super Giants (Trasferta)

Previsione 48.99%2.04quota equa
EV -2.03%
Vantaggio -1.01%
Kelly -2.03%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.37%49.21%48.81%51.07%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.831.921.912.0054.64%52.15%52.36%50.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Southern Brave (Casa): 51.01%; Manchester Super Giants (Trasferta): 48.99%. Per Southern Brave (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 1.96. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 1.93, con un valore atteso del -1.54%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (36 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV -1.54%E -0.800%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -7.42%E -3.92%K -8.33%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 16:45
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.56%E -1.34%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 16:34
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.56%E -1.34%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 16:55
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.56%E -1.34%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-08 16:34
DraftKings🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -2.56%E -1.34%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -10.36%E -5.66%K -12.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 16:44
LiveScore Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.07%E -1.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.93%E -3.65%K -7.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 16:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.07%E -1.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.93%E -3.65%K -7.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 16:55
Unibet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.07%E -1.62%K -3.41%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.93%E -3.65%K -7.70%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 16:54
Grosvenor🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.58%E -1.90%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.42%E -3.92%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 16:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.58%E -1.90%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.42%E -3.92%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 16:55
Casumo🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.58%E -1.90%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.42%E -3.92%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 16:55
TABtouch🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -3.58%E -1.90%K -4.03%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -7.42%E -3.92%K -8.33%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-08 16:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -4.09%E -2.18%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -5.95%E -3.10%K -6.46%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 16:55
Betr (AU)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -5.11%E -2.75%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-08 16:54
Bet Right🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.53%EV -5.11%E -2.75%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -6.93%E -3.65%K -7.70%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-08 16:55
Unibet (UK)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.62%E -3.04%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.48%E -2.30%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 16:44
Betsson🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.62%E -3.04%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.48%E -2.30%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 16:35
NordicBet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.62%E -3.04%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.48%E -2.30%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 16:34
TAB🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.62%E -3.04%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.48%E -2.30%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 16:40
Betway🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.62%E -3.04%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.48%E -2.30%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-08 16:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.62%E -3.04%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.97%E -2.56%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 16:44
Neds🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -5.62%E -3.04%K -6.62%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -4.97%E -2.56%K -5.28%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 16:44
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -6.64%E -3.63%K -8.01%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -4.48%E -2.30%K -4.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-08 16:49
Coral🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.64%E -3.63%K -8.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 16:44
Bet Victor🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.64%E -3.63%K -8.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 16:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.64%E -3.63%K -8.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 16:45
betano_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.64%E -3.63%K -8.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 16:54
PlayUp🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -6.64%E -3.63%K -8.01%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -6.44%E -3.37%K -7.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-08 16:55
Marathon Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -6.64%E -3.63%K -8.01%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -8.40%E -4.49%K -9.65%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-08 16:45
BetUS🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -7.15%E -3.93%K -8.73%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.59%EV -9.38%E -5.07%K -11.03%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-08 16:55
SportsBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 51.47%EV -7.66%E -4.23%K -9.46%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%EV -5.95%E -3.10%K -6.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-08 16:49
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.17%E -4.54%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.03%E -1.01%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 16:45
Sky Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.17%E -4.54%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.03%E -1.01%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 16:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.17%E -4.54%K -10.22%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.03%E -1.01%K -2.03%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-08 16:44
BetOnline.ag🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.17%E -4.54%K -10.22%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.48%E -2.30%K -4.71%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-08 16:49
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -9.71%E -5.48%K -12.60%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.63%EV -8.40%E -4.49%K -9.65%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-08 16:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%0.3%2026-08-08 16:55
Matchbook◎1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%0.3%2026-08-08 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%0.3%2026-08-08 16:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%0.5%2026-08-08 16:55
Smarkets◎1.94I 51.55%NM 50.64%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.36%1.8%2026-08-08 16:55