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MI London v Manchester Super Giants
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
MI London (Local)
Prediction 50.02%2.00fair odd
EV +0.044%
Edge +0.022%
Kelly +0.044%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%50.28%50.00%52.42%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.771.891.902.0056.50%52.79%52.63%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Manchester Super Giants (Visit)
Prediction 49.98%2.00fair odd
EV -2.54%
Edge -1.30%
Kelly -2.68%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.58%49.72%50.00%52.63%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.891.901.9555.56%52.86%52.63%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: MI London (Local): 50.02%; Manchester Super Giants (Visit): 49.98%. For MI London (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.999. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.000, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.044%.
Sportsbook Odds (35 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +0.044%E +0.022%K +0.044%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -10.04%E -5.58%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 16:25 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +0.044%E +0.022%K +0.044%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -10.04%E -5.58%K -12.55%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-02 16:25 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.74%EV -3.96%E -2.06%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.26%EV -5.04%E -2.65%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 16:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.96%E -2.06%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.54%E -2.93%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 16:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.96%E -2.06%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.54%E -2.93%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 16:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.96%E -2.06%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.54%E -2.93%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 16:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -3.96%E -2.06%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -6.04%E -3.21%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 16:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -3.96%E -2.06%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -6.04%E -3.21%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 16:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -3.96%E -2.06%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -6.04%E -3.21%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 16:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -3.96%E -2.06%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -6.04%E -3.21%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 16:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 16:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 16:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 16:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 16:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 16:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 16:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.46%E -2.33%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.54%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-02 16:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -4.96%E -2.61%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.54%E -2.38%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-08-02 16:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.96%E -2.61%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.04%E -2.65%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 16:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.96%E -2.61%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.04%E -2.65%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.96%E -2.61%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.04%E -2.65%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 16:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.96%E -2.61%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.04%E -2.65%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 16:35 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.96%E -2.61%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.04%E -2.65%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 16:35 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.96%E -2.61%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.04%E -2.65%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 16:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.96%E -2.61%K -5.51%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.04%E -2.65%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-02 16:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -5.96%E -3.17%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -5.54%E -2.93%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-02 16:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.27%EV -6.46%E -3.45%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.73%EV -5.54%E -2.93%K -6.23%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-02 16:35 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.46%E -3.45%K -7.42%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.54%E -3.50%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-02 16:35 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.13%EV -6.96%E -3.74%K -8.09%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.87%EV -6.54%E -3.50%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-02 16:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.46%E -4.03%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.54%E -4.08%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-02 16:43 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.46%E -4.03%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.54%E -4.08%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-02 16:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -8.46%E -4.62%K -10.19%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -5.04%E -2.65%K -5.60%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-02 16:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -9.96%E -5.53%K -12.45%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -2.54%E -1.30%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-02 16:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.75%EV -10.46%E -5.84%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.25%EV -4.04%E -2.11%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-02 16:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -11.46%E -6.48%K -14.88%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -2.54%E -1.30%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-02 13:45 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00% | 0.0% | 2026-08-02 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-08-02 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-08-02 16:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 0.5% | 2026-08-02 16:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.23% | 1.92I 52.08%NM 50.77% | 2.6% | 2026-08-02 16:55 |
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