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Manchester Super Giants v Trent Rockets
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Manchester Super Giants (Local)
Prediction 47.19%2.12fair odd
EV -0.894%
Edge -0.426%
Kelly -0.813%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.17%47.36%47.15%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.852.002.002.1054.05%49.94%50.00%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Trent Rockets (Visit)
Prediction 52.81%1.89fair odd
EV +0.861%
Edge +0.451%
Kelly +0.946%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 1.91
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%52.64%52.85%54.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.701.781.801.9158.82%56.02%55.56%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Manchester Super Giants (Local): 47.19%; Trent Rockets (Visit): 52.81%. For Trent Rockets (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.89. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.91, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.861%.
Sportsbook Odds (34 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -9.86%E -5.16%K -10.84%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +0.861%E +0.451%K +0.946%G +0.008% | 4.7% | 2026-07-31 17:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.17%EV -6.56%E -3.31%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.83%EV -2.84%E -1.54%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-31 17:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.59%EV -12.69%E -6.86%K -14.93%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -3.89%E -2.14%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-07-31 17:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -3.25%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -4.95%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-07-31 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.67%E -2.31%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.95%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-31 17:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.67%E -2.31%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.95%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-31 17:24 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -4.67%E -2.31%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -4.95%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-31 17:24 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.95%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-31 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.95%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-31 17:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.95%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-31 17:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.95%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-31 17:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.95%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-31 17:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.95%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-31 17:18 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.95%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-31 17:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.95%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-31 17:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.95%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-31 17:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.95%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-31 17:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.95%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-31 17:10 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.95%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-31 17:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.95%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-31 17:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.95%E -2.75%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-31 17:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.25%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.53%E -3.69%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-31 17:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.53%E -3.69%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-31 17:24 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.53%E -3.69%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-31 17:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 47.71%EV -8.45%E -4.35%K -8.98%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.29%EV -6.53%E -3.69%K -8.48%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-31 17:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 46.93%EV -6.09%E -3.06%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.07%EV -7.06%E -4.01%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-31 17:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.25%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.59%E -4.34%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-31 17:24 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.25%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.59%E -4.34%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-31 17:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.59%E -4.34%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-31 17:23 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.15%EV -7.97%E -4.09%K -8.39%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.85%EV -8.12%E -4.66%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-07-31 17:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.894%E -0.426%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.64%E -5.00%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-31 17:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -0.894%E -0.426%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.64%E -5.00%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-31 17:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.61%E -2.81%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.64%E -5.00%K -11.84%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-07-31 17:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -3.25%E -1.59%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -10.23%E -6.02%K -14.61%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-31 17:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37% | 0.2% | 2026-07-31 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37% | 0.2% | 2026-07-31 17:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.13% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.87% | 0.4% | 2026-07-31 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50% | 0.5% | 2026-07-31 17:25 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.12I 47.17%NM 46.19% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 53.81% | 2.1% | 2026-07-31 17:25 |
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