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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Manchester Super Giants v Sunrisers Leeds

开赛时间： 2026-08-14 17:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

36 家博彩公司 (12 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Manchester Super Giants (主队)

预测 46.40%2.16公平赔率
EV -2.56%
优势 -1.22%
Kelly -2.33%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.10

博彩公司预测分布
45.17%46.30%46.48%47.44%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.952.032.052.1051.28%49.25%48.78%47.62%最小值均值中位数最大值

Sunrisers Leeds (客队)

预测 53.60%1.87公平赔率
EV -3.52%
优势 -1.95%
Kelly -4.39%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.80

博彩公司预测分布
52.56%53.70%53.52%54.83%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.711.761.751.8058.48%56.76%57.14%55.56%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Manchester Super Giants (主队)：46.40%；Sunrisers Leeds (客队)：53.60%。 对于“Manchester Super Giants (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.16。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.10，期望值为-2.56%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (36 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Bet Right🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -2.56%E -1.22%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -6.20%E -3.54%K -8.26%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-14 16:44
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.56%E -1.22%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.27%E -4.20%K -9.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 16:19
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.56%E -1.22%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.27%E -4.20%K -9.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 16:19
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.56%E -1.22%K -2.33%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.27%E -4.20%K -9.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-08-14 16:19
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.88%E -2.38%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.52%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-08-14 16:49
Unibet (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.88%E -2.38%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.59%E -2.58%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 16:48
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.88%E -2.38%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.59%E -2.58%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 16:49
Betsson🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -4.88%E -2.38%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -4.59%E -2.58%K -5.88%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-14 16:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -4.88%E -2.38%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -5.12%E -2.89%K -6.65%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-14 16:54
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.88%E -2.38%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.20%E -3.54%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 16:19
Virgin Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.88%E -2.38%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.20%E -3.54%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 16:19
Grosvenor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.88%E -2.38%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.20%E -3.54%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 16:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.88%E -2.38%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.20%E -3.54%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 16:19
Casumo🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.88%E -2.38%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.20%E -3.54%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 16:19
TABtouch🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.88%E -2.38%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.20%E -3.54%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 16:19
LiveScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.88%E -2.38%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.20%E -3.54%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 16:19
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.88%E -2.38%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.20%E -3.54%K -8.26%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-14 16:34
theScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.88%E -2.38%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.73%E -3.87%K -9.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 16:29
BetOnline.ag🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -4.88%E -2.38%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -6.73%E -3.87%K -9.10%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-14 16:55
Pinnacle🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 46.74%EV -5.35%E -2.62%K -5.14%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.26%EV -4.05%E -2.26%K -5.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-14 16:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.20%E -3.60%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.52%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 16:39
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.20%E -3.60%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.52%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 16:39
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.20%E -3.60%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.52%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 16:40
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.20%E -3.60%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.52%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 16:39
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.20%E -3.60%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.52%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 16:39
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -7.20%E -3.60%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.52%E -1.95%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-14 16:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -7.20%E -3.60%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -5.12%E -2.89%K -6.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-14 16:49
betano_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.20%E -3.60%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.20%E -3.54%K -8.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 16:53
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.20%E -3.60%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.20%E -3.54%K -8.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 16:54
PlayUp🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -7.20%E -3.60%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.20%E -3.54%K -8.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 16:40
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.20%E -3.60%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.73%E -3.87%K -9.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-14 16:49
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -7.20%E -3.60%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -6.73%E -3.87%K -9.10%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-14 16:45
BetUS🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -7.20%E -3.60%K -7.20%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -8.34%E -4.88%K -11.75%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 16:39
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -8.13%E -4.11%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.12%E -2.89%K -6.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 16:49
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -8.13%E -4.11%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -5.12%E -2.89%K -6.65%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 16:45
Marathon Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -9.52%E -4.88%K -10.03%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -5.66%E -3.22%K -7.45%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 16:54
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37%0.2%2026-08-14 16:55
Matchbook◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.63%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.37%0.2%2026-08-14 16:54
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-08-14 16:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%0.5%2026-08-14 16:55
Smarkets◎1.92I 52.08%NM 48.80%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.20%6.7%2026-08-14 16:54