預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Manchester Super Giants v Sunrisers Leeds

開賽時間: 2026-08-11 17:30 UTC

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

34 家博彩公司 (11 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Manchester Super Giants (主隊)

預測 49.72%2.01公平賠率
EV -3.05%
優勢 -1.57%
Kelly -3.21%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.95

博彩公司預測分布
48.66%49.80%49.47%51.07%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.831.911.911.9554.64%52.36%52.36%51.28%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Sunrisers Leeds (客隊)

預測 50.28%1.99公平賠率
EV -1.95%
優勢 -0.999%
Kelly -2.05%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.95

博彩公司預測分布
48.93%50.20%50.53%51.34%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.811.871.871.9555.25%53.45%53.48%51.28%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Manchester Super Giants (主隊):49.72%;Sunrisers Leeds (客隊):50.28%。 對於「Sunrisers Leeds (客隊)」,該估計相當於1.99的公平十進位賠率。 當時沒有符合條件的博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率:最佳賠率為1.95,期望值為-1.95%,未產生正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (34 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊利潤率更新時間
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.05%E -1.57%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.46%E -2.35%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-11 17:20
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.05%E -1.57%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.98%E -3.77%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 17:19
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.05%E -1.57%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.98%E -3.77%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 17:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.55%E -1.83%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.47%E -2.91%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 17:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -3.55%E -1.83%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -6.98%E -3.77%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-11 17:19
Neds🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -3.55%E -1.83%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -6.98%E -3.77%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-11 17:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.05%E -2.10%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.97%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 17:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.05%E -2.10%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.97%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 17:24
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.05%E -2.10%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.97%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 17:25
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.05%E -2.10%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.97%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 17:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.05%E -2.10%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.97%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 17:25
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.05%E -2.10%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.97%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 17:25
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.05%E -2.10%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.97%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 17:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.54%E -2.37%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.47%E -2.91%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 17:20
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.04%E -2.64%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.96%E -2.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 17:14
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.04%E -2.64%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.96%E -2.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 17:25
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.04%E -2.64%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.96%E -2.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 16:59
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.04%E -2.64%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.96%E -2.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.04%E -2.64%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.96%E -2.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 17:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.04%E -2.64%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.96%E -2.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 17:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -5.04%E -2.64%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -6.47%E -3.48%K -7.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-11 17:19
Bet Victor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.04%E -2.64%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.98%E -4.36%K -9.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 17:23
betano_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.04%E -2.64%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.98%E -4.36%K -9.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 17:23
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.04%E -2.64%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.98%E -4.36%K -9.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 17:24
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.04%E -2.64%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.98%E -4.36%K -9.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 17:25
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.04%E -2.64%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.98%E -4.36%K -9.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 17:19
PlayUp🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.04%E -2.64%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.98%E -4.36%K -9.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 17:24
Bet Right🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -5.04%E -2.64%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.34%EV -8.99%E -4.97%K -11.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-11 17:20
SportsBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV -6.04%E -3.19%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -7.98%E -4.36%K -9.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-11 17:25
Pinnacle🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.03%E -3.76%K -8.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.95%E -0.999%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 17:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.02%E -4.34%K -9.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.98%E -3.77%K -8.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-11 17:20
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -9.02%E -4.93%K -10.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -3.96%E -2.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 17:20
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -9.02%E -4.93%K -10.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -3.96%E -2.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 17:05
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -9.02%E -4.93%K -10.87%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -4.46%E -2.35%K -4.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-11 17:25
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%0.3%2026-08-11 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%0.3%2026-08-11 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%0.3%2026-08-11 17:25
Matchbook◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%0.3%2026-08-11 17:25
Smarkets◎1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%2.3%2026-08-11 17:25