Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Manchester Super Giants v Sunrisers Leeds

Inizio: 2026-08-11 17:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

34 bookmaker (11 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Manchester Super Giants (Casa)

Previsione 49.72%2.01quota equa
EV -3.05%
Vantaggio -1.57%
Kelly -3.21%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.95

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
48.66%49.80%49.47%51.07%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.831.911.911.9554.64%52.36%52.36%51.28%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Sunrisers Leeds (Trasferta)

Previsione 50.28%1.99quota equa
EV -1.95%
Vantaggio -0.999%
Kelly -2.05%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.95

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
48.93%50.20%50.53%51.34%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.811.871.871.9555.25%53.45%53.48%51.28%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Manchester Super Giants (Casa): 49.72%; Sunrisers Leeds (Trasferta): 50.28%. Per Sunrisers Leeds (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 1.99. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 1.95, con un valore atteso del -1.95%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (34 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 49.35%EV -3.05%E -1.57%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.65%EV -4.46%E -2.35%K -4.96%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-11 17:20
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.05%E -1.57%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.98%E -3.77%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 17:19
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.05%E -1.57%K -3.21%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.98%E -3.77%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 17:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -3.55%E -1.83%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -5.47%E -2.91%K -6.21%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 17:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -3.55%E -1.83%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -6.98%E -3.77%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-11 17:19
Neds🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -3.55%E -1.83%K -3.78%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -6.98%E -3.77%K -8.21%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-11 17:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.05%E -2.10%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.97%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 17:24
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.05%E -2.10%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.97%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 17:24
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.05%E -2.10%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.97%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 17:25
Casumo🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.05%E -2.10%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.97%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 17:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.05%E -2.10%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.97%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 17:25
Unibet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.05%E -2.10%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.97%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 17:25
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -4.05%E -2.10%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -5.97%E -3.19%K -6.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 17:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.54%E -2.37%K -4.94%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.47%E -2.91%K -6.21%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-11 17:20
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.04%E -2.64%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.96%E -2.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 17:14
William Hill🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.04%E -2.64%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.96%E -2.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 17:25
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.04%E -2.64%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.96%E -2.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 16:59
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.04%E -2.64%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.96%E -2.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 17:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.04%E -2.64%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.96%E -2.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 17:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.04%E -2.64%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.96%E -2.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-11 17:04
Betr (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -5.04%E -2.64%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -6.47%E -3.48%K -7.53%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-11 17:19
Bet Victor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.04%E -2.64%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.98%E -4.36%K -9.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 17:23
betano_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.04%E -2.64%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.98%E -4.36%K -9.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 17:23
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.04%E -2.64%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.98%E -4.36%K -9.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 17:24
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.04%E -2.64%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.98%E -4.36%K -9.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 17:25
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.04%E -2.64%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.98%E -4.36%K -9.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 17:19
PlayUp🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.04%E -2.64%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.98%E -4.36%K -9.62%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 17:24
Bet Right🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.66%EV -5.04%E -2.64%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 51.34%EV -8.99%E -4.97%K -11.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-11 17:20
SportsBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.19%EV -6.04%E -3.19%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.81%EV -7.98%E -4.36%K -9.62%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-11 17:25
Pinnacle🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -7.03%E -3.76%K -8.08%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -1.95%E -0.999%K -2.05%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-11 17:20
Marathon Bet🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.02%E -4.34%K -9.44%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.98%E -3.77%K -8.21%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-11 17:20
DraftKings🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -9.02%E -4.93%K -10.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -3.96%E -2.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 17:20
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -9.02%E -4.93%K -10.87%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -3.96%E -2.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-11 17:05
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -9.02%E -4.93%K -10.87%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -4.46%E -2.35%K -4.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-11 17:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%0.3%2026-08-11 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%0.3%2026-08-11 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%0.3%2026-08-11 17:25
Matchbook◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%0.3%2026-08-11 17:25
Smarkets◎1.98I 50.51%NM 49.36%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.64%2.3%2026-08-11 17:25