Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.49
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.66
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: London Spirit (Local): 40.51%; MI London (Visitante): 59.49%. Para London Spirit (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 2.47. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 2.49, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.870%.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.49I 40.16%NM 38.97%EV +0.870%E +0.349%K +0.584%G +0.005% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 61.03%EV -5.41%E -3.40%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-08-06 17:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.751%E -0.306%K -0.518%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.79%E -5.03%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 17:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.751%E -0.306%K -0.518%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.79%E -5.03%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 17:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.751%E -0.306%K -0.518%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.79%E -5.03%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 17:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.751%E -0.306%K -0.518%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.79%E -5.03%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 17:15 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.751%E -0.306%K -0.518%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.79%E -5.03%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 17:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.751%E -0.306%K -0.518%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.79%E -5.03%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 17:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.751%E -0.306%K -0.518%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.79%E -5.03%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 17:15 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.59%E -1.51%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.60%E -4.20%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-06 17:10 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.59%E -1.51%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.60%E -4.20%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-06 17:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.59%E -1.51%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.60%E -4.20%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-06 17:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.59%E -1.51%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.60%E -4.20%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-06 17:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -3.59%E -1.51%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -8.98%E -5.87%K -16.94%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-06 17:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -3.99%E -1.68%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -6.60%E -4.20%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 17:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -3.99%E -1.68%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -6.60%E -4.20%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-06 17:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.36I 42.37%NM 40.40%EV -4.40%E -1.86%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.60%EV -4.82%E -3.01%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-06 17:25 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.80%E -2.04%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.22%E -2.62%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-06 17:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.80%E -2.04%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.82%E -3.01%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 17:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.80%E -2.04%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.82%E -3.01%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 17:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.80%E -2.04%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.82%E -3.01%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 17:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.80%E -2.04%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.82%E -3.01%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-06 17:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.80%E -2.04%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.01%E -3.80%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 17:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.80%E -2.04%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -6.01%E -3.80%K -10.35%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-06 17:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -4.80%E -2.04%K -3.56%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -7.79%E -5.03%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-06 17:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 40.46%EV -6.42%E -2.78%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.54%EV -6.60%E -4.20%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-06 17:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.83%E -2.97%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.63%E -2.24%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-06 17:25 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.83%E -2.97%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.22%E -2.62%K -6.92%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-06 17:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.83%E -2.97%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.82%E -3.01%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-06 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.83%E -2.97%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.82%E -3.01%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-06 17:20 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.83%E -2.97%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.60%E -4.20%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-06 17:29 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.83%E -2.97%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.60%E -4.20%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-06 17:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.83%E -2.97%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.60%E -4.20%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-06 17:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.83%E -2.97%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.60%E -4.20%K -11.58%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-06 17:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.98%EV -7.23%E -3.16%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.02%EV -5.41%E -3.40%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-06 17:10 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.36%EV -7.23%E -3.16%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.64%EV -7.79%E -5.03%K -14.16%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-06 17:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.78%EV -10.07%E -4.54%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.22%EV -1.25%E -0.751%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-06 17:10 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 0.6% | 2026-08-06 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 0.6% | 2026-08-06 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-06 17:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-08-06 17:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95% | 2.3% | 2026-08-06 17:25 |