The School of Odds

London Spirit v Manchester Super Giants

2026-07-23 17:30 UTC — The Hundred

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

London Spirit (Local)

Prediction 52.27%1.91fair odd
EV -3.30%
Edge -1.78%
Kelly -3.88%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.32%52.35%52.11%54.26%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.721.801.821.8558%56%55%54%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Manchester Super Giants (Visit)

Prediction 47.73%2.10fair odd
EV -2.16%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -2.05%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.74%47.65%47.89%48.68%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.911.981.972.0552%51%51%49%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.30%E -1.78%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 09:30
NordicBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.30%E -1.78%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 09:30
PointsBet (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.11%EV -4.87%E -2.67%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.89%EV -5.50%E -2.78%K -5.61%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-19 09:30
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.87%E -2.67%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -5.97%E -3.03%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-19 09:30
Virgin Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.87%E -2.67%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -5.97%E -3.03%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-19 09:29
LiveScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.98%EV -4.87%E -2.67%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.02%EV -5.97%E -3.03%K -6.16%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-19 09:29
TABtouch1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -4.87%E -2.67%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -6.45%E -3.29%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-19 09:30
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -4.87%E -2.67%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -6.45%E -3.29%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-19 09:30
Casumo1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -4.87%E -2.67%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -6.45%E -3.29%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-19 09:30
Grosvenor1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -4.87%E -2.67%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV -6.45%E -3.29%K -6.72%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-19 09:30
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -4.87%E -2.67%K -5.93%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -6.93%E -3.55%K -7.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-19 09:30
TAB1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-19 09:29
DraftKings1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.91%E -3.28%K -7.39%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.84%E -4.63%K -9.71%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-19 09:30
Ladbrokes (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.48%E -4.23%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.16%E -1.05%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 13:15
Neds1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -7.48%E -4.23%K -9.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -2.16%E -1.05%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-19 13:14
Marathon Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 53.23%EV -9.05%E -5.20%K -12.23%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.77%EV -5.50%E -2.78%K -5.61%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-19 13:35
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.57%E -5.53%K -13.11%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.54%E -2.27%K -4.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-19 11:15
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.26%EV -10.09%E -5.87%K -14.02%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 45.74%EV -2.63%E -1.29%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-19 13:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 48.29%1.55I 64.52%NM 51.71%24.8%2026-07-20 02:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 48.29%1.55I 64.52%NM 51.71%24.8%2026-07-20 02:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 48.29%1.55I 64.52%NM 51.71%24.8%2026-07-20 02:00