默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Birmingham Phoenix v Welsh Fire

开赛时间: 2026-08-01 13:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

34 家博彩公司 (10 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Birmingham Phoenix (主队)

预测 48.48%2.06公平赔率
EV -3.04%
优势 -1.52%
Kelly -3.04%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.00

博彩公司预测分布
47.37%48.51%48.68%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.831.931.942.0054.64%51.69%51.41%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

Welsh Fire (客队)

预测 51.52%1.94公平赔率
EV -1.59%
优势 -0.834%
Kelly -1.75%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.91

博彩公司预测分布
50.00%51.49%51.32%52.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.771.851.851.9156.50%54.13%54.05%52.36%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Birmingham Phoenix (主队):48.48%;Welsh Fire (客队):51.52%。 对于“Welsh Fire (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.94。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率:最佳赔率为1.91,期望值为-1.59%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (34 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.26%E -4.03%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 13:05
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.26%E -4.03%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 13:05
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.26%E -4.03%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 13:25
Pinnacle🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -3.53%E -1.77%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -5.71%E -3.12%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-01 13:05
Unibet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.98%E -2.54%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.68%E -2.53%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 13:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.98%E -2.54%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.68%E -2.53%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 13:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.98%E -2.54%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.68%E -2.53%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 13:20
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.47%E -2.80%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.68%E -2.53%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 13:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.47%E -2.80%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.68%E -2.53%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 13:20
Grosvenor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.47%E -2.80%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.68%E -2.53%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 13:20
TABtouch🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.47%E -2.80%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.68%E -2.53%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 13:25
Casumo🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.47%E -2.80%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.68%E -2.53%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 13:20
Bet Right🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.47%E -2.80%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.68%E -2.53%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 13:20
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.47%E -2.80%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.68%E -2.53%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 13:20
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.47%E -2.80%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.68%E -2.53%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 13:05
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.47%E -2.80%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.68%E -2.53%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 13:05
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -5.47%E -2.80%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -8.81%E -4.97%K -11.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-01 12:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.95%E -3.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.65%E -1.95%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 13:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.95%E -3.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.68%E -2.53%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 13:04
Neds🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.95%E -3.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.68%E -2.53%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 13:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.92%E -3.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.14%E -1.67%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 13:24
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.41%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.59%E -0.834%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 13:14
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.41%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.59%E -0.834%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 13:14
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.41%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.59%E -0.834%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 13:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.41%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.59%E -0.834%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 13:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -7.41%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -4.17%E -2.24%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 13:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.41%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.71%E -3.12%K -6.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 13:05
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.41%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.71%E -3.12%K -6.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 13:19
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.41%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.71%E -3.12%K -6.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 13:05
betano_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.41%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.71%E -3.12%K -6.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 13:13
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -7.89%E -4.15%K -8.77%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -5.71%E -3.12%K -6.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 13:14
PlayUp🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -7.89%E -4.15%K -8.77%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -5.71%E -3.12%K -6.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 13:20
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.32%E -5.58%K -12.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.53%K -5.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-01 13:23
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -11.29%E -6.17%K -13.60%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -5.71%E -3.12%K -6.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-01 13:20
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-08-01 13:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-08-01 13:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-08-01 13:25
Matchbook◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-08-01 13:25
Smarkets◎2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.1%2026-08-01 13:25