Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Birmingham Phoenix v Welsh Fire

Inizio: 2026-08-01 13:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

34 bookmaker (10 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Birmingham Phoenix (Casa)

Previsione 48.48%2.06quota equa
EV -3.04%
Vantaggio -1.52%
Kelly -3.04%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.37%48.51%48.68%50.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.831.931.942.0054.64%51.69%51.41%50.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Welsh Fire (Trasferta)

Previsione 51.52%1.94quota equa
EV -1.59%
Vantaggio -0.834%
Kelly -1.75%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.91

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.00%51.49%51.32%52.63%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.771.851.851.9156.50%54.13%54.05%52.36%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Birmingham Phoenix (Casa): 48.48%; Welsh Fire (Trasferta): 51.52%. Per Welsh Fire (Trasferta), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 1.94. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 1.91, con un valore atteso del -1.59%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.

Quote dei bookmaker (34 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.26%E -4.03%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 13:05
William Hill🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.26%E -4.03%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 13:05
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -3.04%E -1.52%K -3.04%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.26%E -4.03%K -9.08%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 13:25
Pinnacle🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.91%EV -3.53%E -1.77%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.09%EV -5.71%E -3.12%K -6.88%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-01 13:05
Unibet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.98%E -2.54%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.68%E -2.53%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 13:24
Virgin Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.98%E -2.54%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.68%E -2.53%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 13:24
LiveScore Bet🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV -4.98%E -2.54%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -4.68%E -2.53%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-01 13:20
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.47%E -2.80%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.68%E -2.53%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 13:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.47%E -2.80%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.68%E -2.53%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 13:20
Grosvenor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.47%E -2.80%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.68%E -2.53%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 13:20
TABtouch🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.47%E -2.80%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.68%E -2.53%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 13:25
Casumo🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.47%E -2.80%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.68%E -2.53%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 13:20
Bet Right🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.47%E -2.80%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.68%E -2.53%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 13:20
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.47%E -2.80%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.68%E -2.53%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 13:20
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.47%E -2.80%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.68%E -2.53%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 13:05
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -5.47%E -2.80%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -4.68%E -2.53%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 13:05
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.58%EV -5.47%E -2.80%K -5.76%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.42%EV -8.81%E -4.97%K -11.44%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-01 12:44
Unibet (UK)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.08%EV -5.95%E -3.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.92%EV -3.65%E -1.95%K -4.20%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-01 13:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.95%E -3.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.68%E -2.53%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 13:04
Neds🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.81%EV -5.95%E -3.07%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.19%EV -4.68%E -2.53%K -5.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-01 13:04
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -6.92%E -3.61%K -7.52%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -3.14%E -1.67%K -3.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-01 13:24
betfred_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.41%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.59%E -0.834%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 13:14
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.41%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.59%E -0.834%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 13:14
Sky Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.41%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.59%E -0.834%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 13:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -7.41%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -1.59%E -0.834%K -1.75%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-01 13:15
Betr (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.34%EV -7.41%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.66%EV -4.17%E -2.24%K -4.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-01 13:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.41%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.71%E -3.12%K -6.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 13:05
theScore Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.41%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.71%E -3.12%K -6.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 13:19
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.41%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.71%E -3.12%K -6.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 13:05
betano_uk🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -7.41%E -3.88%K -8.14%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -5.71%E -3.12%K -6.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 13:13
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -7.89%E -4.15%K -8.77%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -5.71%E -3.12%K -6.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 13:14
PlayUp🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -7.89%E -4.15%K -8.77%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -5.71%E -3.12%K -6.88%G +0.000%7.3%2026-08-01 13:20
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -10.32%E -5.58%K -12.14%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -4.68%E -2.53%K -5.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-01 13:23
BetUS🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -11.29%E -6.17%K -13.60%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -5.71%E -3.12%K -6.88%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-01 13:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-08-01 13:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%0.5%2026-08-01 13:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-08-01 13:25
Matchbook◎2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25%1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75%0.5%2026-08-01 13:25
Smarkets◎2.00I 50.00%NM 48.98%1.92I 52.08%NM 51.02%2.1%2026-08-01 13:25