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Birmingham Phoenix v Trent Rockets
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Birmingham Phoenix (Local)
Prediction 37.43%2.67fair odd
EV +2.93%
Edge +1.06%
Kelly +1.67%
Growth +0.049%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.05%37.90%37.97%43.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.142.572.632.7546.73%38.96%38.02%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Trent Rockets (Visit)
Prediction 62.57%1.60fair odd
EV +1.99%
Edge +1.22%
Kelly +3.16%
Growth +0.063%
assuming max odds 1.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.76%62.10%62.03%65.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.491.481.6370.42%67.04%67.57%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Birmingham Phoenix (Local): 37.43%; Trent Rockets (Visit): 62.57%. For Birmingham Phoenix (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.67. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.93%.
Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV -19.90%E -9.30%K -17.46%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV +1.99%E +1.22%K +3.16%G +0.063% | 8.1% | 2026-07-21 19:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -12.04%E -5.13%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -1.76%E -1.12%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-24 17:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.12%EV -6.43%E -2.57%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.88%EV -3.64%E -2.36%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-24 17:25 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.43%E -2.57%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.26%E -2.79%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-24 16:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -10.17%E -4.24%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -4.26%E -2.79%K -8.05%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-24 17:25 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.43%E -2.57%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.89%E -3.22%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-24 17:15 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.43%E -2.57%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.89%E -3.22%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-24 17:15 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.43%E -2.57%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.89%E -3.22%K -9.40%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-24 17:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.43%E -2.57%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -6.14%E -4.09%K -12.28%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-24 17:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.816%E -0.308%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.39%E -5.00%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-24 17:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.816%E -0.308%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.39%E -5.00%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-24 17:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.816%E -0.308%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.39%E -5.00%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-24 17:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.816%E -0.308%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.39%E -5.00%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-24 17:25 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.816%E -0.308%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.39%E -5.00%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-24 17:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -0.816%E -0.308%K -0.495%G +0.000% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.39%E -5.00%K -15.40%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-24 17:25 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.56I 39.06%NM 36.48%EV -4.18%E -1.63%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.52%EV -8.02%E -5.46%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-24 17:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.03%EV -6.43%E -2.57%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 62.97%EV -8.02%E -5.46%K -17.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-24 17:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV +1.06%E +0.391%K +0.621%G +0.007% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.90%EV -8.64%E -5.92%K -18.79%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-24 17:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +1.06%E +0.391%K +0.621%G +0.007% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -9.27%E -6.39%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-24 17:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +1.06%E +0.391%K +0.621%G +0.007% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -9.27%E -6.39%K -20.60%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-24 17:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.22%EV -1.56%E -0.595%K -0.960%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.78%EV -10.52%E -7.36%K -24.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-24 17:25 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%EV +2.93%E +1.06%K +1.67%G +0.049% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%EV -11.15%E -7.85%K -26.54%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-24 17:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV +1.06%E +0.391%K +0.621%G +0.007% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -11.15%E -7.85%K -26.54%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-07-24 17:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.76I 36.23%NM 36.11% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.89% | 0.3% | 2026-07-24 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20% | 0.5% | 2026-07-24 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72% | 0.6% | 2026-07-24 17:25 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.77% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 63.23% | 0.7% | 2026-07-24 17:25 |