Language:English
Zimbabwe v Bangladesh
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Zimbabwe (Local)
Prediction 29.80%3.36fair odd
EV +8.77%
Edge +2.40%
Kelly +3.31%
Growth +0.290%
assuming max odds 3.65
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.71%29.34%30.41%31.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.113.003.6534.72%32.19%33.33%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Bangladesh (Visit)
Prediction 59.64%1.68fair odd
EV -4.58%
Edge -2.86%
Kelly -7.64%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.43%60.03%59.11%63.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.491.571.571.6067.11%63.85%63.69%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 10.56%9.47fair odd
EV +2.69%
Edge +0.276%
Kelly +0.308%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 9.72
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.69%10.63%10.48%13.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.008.749.009.7214.29%11.44%11.11%10.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Zimbabwe (Local): 29.80%; Bangladesh (Visit): 59.64%; Draw: 10.56%. For Zimbabwe (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.36. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.65, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.77%.
2 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV +8.77%E +2.40%K +3.31%G +0.290% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.56%EV -10.55%E -7.03%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -15.48%E -1.94%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-27 09:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.07%EV +3.71%E +1.06%K +1.49%G +0.055% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 63.23%EV -11.14%E -7.48%K -22.74%G +0.000% | 9.72I 10.29%NM 9.69%EV +2.69%E +0.276%K +0.308%G +0.008% | 6.1% | 2026-06-28 05:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.80%EV -1.66%E -0.503%K -0.721%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.97%EV -8.76%E -5.72%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -20.77%E -2.77%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-28 07:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -3.15%E -0.969%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.38%EV -4.58%E -2.86%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.88%EV -23.41%E -3.23%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-28 07:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.74%EV -3.15%E -0.969%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.38%EV -4.58%E -2.86%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 7.25I 13.79%NM 12.88%EV -23.41%E -3.23%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-28 07:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -3.15%E -0.969%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.86%EV -7.57%E -4.88%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.60%EV -15.48%E -1.94%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-28 07:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -3.15%E -0.969%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.57%EV -6.37%E -4.06%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -26.05%E -3.72%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-28 07:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -3.15%E -0.969%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.57%EV -6.37%E -4.06%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -26.05%E -3.72%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-28 07:19 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.17%EV -3.45%E -1.06%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 60.84%EV -10.55%E -7.03%K -21.09%G +0.000% | 8.30I 12.05%NM 10.99%EV -12.31%E -1.48%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-28 07:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.13%EV -6.13%E -1.95%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.32%EV -4.58%E -2.86%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.55%EV -4.92%E -0.547%K -0.615%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-28 07:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.04%EV -4.58%E -2.86%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.50%EV -4.92%E -0.547%K -0.615%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-28 07:19 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.04%EV -4.58%E -2.86%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.50%EV -4.92%E -0.547%K -0.615%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-28 07:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.47%EV -7.62%E -2.46%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.04%EV -4.58%E -2.86%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.50%EV -4.92%E -0.547%K -0.615%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-28 07:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.91%EV -5.18%E -3.26%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.86%EV +0.363%E +0.038%K +0.043%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-27 16:59 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.22%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.91%EV -5.18%E -3.26%K -8.78%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.86%EV +0.363%E +0.038%K +0.043%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-27 16:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.99%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -6.37%E -4.06%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV +0.363%E +0.038%K +0.043%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-27 17:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.99%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -6.37%E -4.06%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV +0.363%E +0.038%K +0.043%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-27 17:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.99%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -6.37%E -4.06%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV +0.363%E +0.038%K +0.043%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-27 16:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.99%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -6.37%E -4.06%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV +0.363%E +0.038%K +0.043%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-27 16:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.99%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -6.37%E -4.06%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV +0.363%E +0.038%K +0.043%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-27 17:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.99%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -6.37%E -4.06%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV +0.363%E +0.038%K +0.043%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-27 16:59 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.99%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -6.37%E -4.06%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV +0.363%E +0.038%K +0.043%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-27 17:00 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.99%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.22%EV -6.37%E -4.06%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.79%EV +0.363%E +0.038%K +0.043%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-28 07:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.82%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.37%E -4.06%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.27%EV -4.92%E -0.547%K -0.615%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-28 07:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.59%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -7.57%E -4.88%K -13.76%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.20%EV -4.92%E -0.547%K -0.615%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-06-28 07:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -10.60%E -3.53%K -5.30%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.00%EV -5.78%E -3.66%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.45%EV -15.48%E -1.94%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-06-28 07:16 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.23%EV -12.09%E -4.10%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.07%EV -6.97%E -4.47%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.70%EV +0.363%E +0.038%K +0.043%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-06-27 16:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.20%EV -13.58%E -4.68%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.75%EV -8.16%E -5.30%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.05%EV -4.92%E -0.547%K -0.615%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-06-27 16:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -14.18%E -4.92%K -7.54%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -6.37%E -4.06%K -11.18%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.27%EV -15.48%E -1.94%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-28 07:17 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.50% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.57% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.93% | 0.9% | 2026-06-28 07:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.50% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.57% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.93% | 0.9% | 2026-06-28 07:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.43% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.50% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 7.07% | 1.0% | 2026-06-28 07:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.92% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.46% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.61% | 1.1% | 2026-06-28 07:20 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (2)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63% | 5.8% | 2026-06-28 07:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.87% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.13% | 6.4% | 2026-06-27 16:50 |