The School of Odds

West Indies v Sri Lanka

2026-07-05 14:00 — cricket_test_match

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (2 in analysis)

1 bookmaker(s) offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Option 1: West Indies (Local)

9.2510.81%Min
14.007.14%Mean
16.006.25%Median
16.006.25%Max
5.79%17.266Min
10.10%9.905Max
7.52%13.300Mean
7.52%13.300Median
7.52%13.300IQM
7.33%13.634Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 16.00 under the IQM model: 7.52%

EV +20.30%Edge +1.27%Kelly +1.35%Growth +0.275%

Option 2: Sri Lanka (Visit)

1.6660.24%Min
1.7357.82%Mean
1.7557.14%Median
1.7557.14%Max
53.47%1.870Min
55.81%1.792Max
53.76%1.860Mean
53.76%1.860Median
53.76%1.860IQM
53.73%1.861Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.75 under the IQM model: 53.76%

EV -5.92%Edge -3.38%Kelly -7.89%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

2.2843.86%Min
2.3941.91%Mean
2.3043.48%Median
2.6038.46%Max
35.33%2.831Min
40.68%2.458Max
38.72%2.583Mean
38.72%2.583Median
38.72%2.583IQM
38.94%2.568Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.60 under the IQM model: 38.72%

EV +0.672%Edge +0.258%Kelly +0.420%Growth +0.003%

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

BookmakerWest Indies (Local) ▼Sri Lanka (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet16.00I 6.25% NM 5.85%EV +20.30% E +1.27% K +1.35% G +0.275%1.75I 57.14% NM 53.47%EV -5.92% E -3.38% K -7.89% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 40.68%EV -10.94% E -4.76% K -8.42% G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 07:15
Virgin Bet16.00I 6.25% NM 5.85%EV +20.30% E +1.27% K +1.35% G +0.275%1.75I 57.14% NM 53.47%EV -5.92% E -3.38% K -7.89% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 40.68%EV -10.94% E -4.76% K -8.42% G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 07:14
Casumo16.00I 6.25% NM 5.85%EV +20.30% E +1.27% K +1.35% G +0.275%1.75I 57.14% NM 53.47%EV -5.92% E -3.38% K -7.89% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 40.68%EV -10.94% E -4.76% K -8.42% G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 07:15
LiveScore Bet16.00I 6.25% NM 5.85%EV +20.30% E +1.27% K +1.35% G +0.275%1.75I 57.14% NM 53.47%EV -5.92% E -3.38% K -7.89% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 40.68%EV -10.94% E -4.76% K -8.42% G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 07:14
Unibet (SE)16.00I 6.25% NM 5.85%EV +20.30% E +1.27% K +1.35% G +0.275%1.75I 57.14% NM 53.47%EV -5.92% E -3.38% K -7.89% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 40.68%EV -10.94% E -4.76% K -8.42% G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 07:15
LeoVegas (SE)16.00I 6.25% NM 5.85%EV +20.30% E +1.27% K +1.35% G +0.275%1.75I 57.14% NM 53.47%EV -5.92% E -3.38% K -7.89% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 40.68%EV -10.94% E -4.76% K -8.42% G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 07:14
Grosvenor16.00I 6.25% NM 5.85%EV +20.30% E +1.27% K +1.35% G +0.275%1.75I 57.14% NM 53.47%EV -5.92% E -3.38% K -7.89% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 40.68%EV -10.94% E -4.76% K -8.42% G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 07:15
ATG (SE)16.00I 6.25% NM 5.85%EV +20.30% E +1.27% K +1.35% G +0.275%1.75I 57.14% NM 53.47%EV -5.92% E -3.38% K -7.89% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 40.68%EV -10.94% E -4.76% K -8.42% G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 07:15
BetRivers16.00I 6.25% NM 5.85%EV +20.30% E +1.27% K +1.35% G +0.275%1.75I 57.14% NM 53.47%EV -5.92% E -3.38% K -7.89% G +0.000%2.30I 43.48% NM 40.68%EV -10.94% E -4.76% K -8.42% G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 07:15
TABtouch16.00I 6.25% NM 5.79%EV +20.30% E +1.27% K +1.35% G +0.275%1.73I 57.80% NM 53.56%EV -6.99% E -4.04% K -9.58% G +0.000%2.28I 43.86% NM 40.64%EV -11.72% E -5.14% K -9.16% G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-05 07:15
Betr (AU)13.00I 7.69% NM 7.13%EV -2.26% E -0.174% K -0.188% G +0.000%1.66I 60.24% NM 55.81%EV -10.76% E -6.48% K -16.30% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 37.06%EV -3.20% E -1.28% K -2.13% G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-05 12:09
TAB13.00I 7.69% NM 7.11%EV -2.26% E -0.174% K -0.188% G +0.000%1.70I 58.82% NM 54.37%EV -8.61% E -5.06% K -12.29% G +0.000%2.40I 41.67% NM 38.52%EV -7.07% E -2.95% K -5.05% G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-05 13:50
Betway10.00I 10.00% NM 9.19%EV -24.81% E -2.48% K -2.76% G +0.000%1.70I 58.82% NM 54.05%EV -8.61% E -5.06% K -12.29% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 36.76%EV -3.20% E -1.28% K -2.13% G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-05 09:10
Paddy Power9.50I 10.53% NM 9.67%EV -28.57% E -3.01% K -3.36% G +0.000%1.67I 59.88% NM 55.00%EV -10.22% E -6.12% K -15.25% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 35.33%EV +0.672% E +0.258% K +0.420% G +0.003%8.9%2026-07-05 09:09
Neds9.25I 10.81% NM 10.10%EV -30.45% E -3.29% K -3.69% G +0.000%1.73I 57.80% NM 53.98%EV -6.99% E -4.04% K -9.58% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 35.92%EV +0.672% E +0.258% K +0.420% G +0.003%7.1%2026-07-05 09:10
Ladbrokes (AU)9.25I 10.81% NM 10.10%EV -30.45% E -3.29% K -3.69% G +0.000%1.73I 57.80% NM 53.98%EV -6.99% E -4.04% K -9.58% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 35.92%EV +0.672% E +0.258% K +0.420% G +0.003%7.1%2026-07-05 09:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerWest Indies (Local)Sri Lanka (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)19.00I 5.26%1.80I 55.56%2.52I 39.68%0.5%2026-07-05 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)19.50I 5.13%1.80I 55.56%2.50I 40.00%0.7%2026-07-05 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)19.00I 5.26%1.80I 55.56%2.50I 40.00%0.8%2026-07-05 13:55

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
William Hill8.50I 11.76%1.07I 93.46%5.2%2026-07-05 13:00