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West Indies v Sri Lanka

Kickoff: 2026-06-25 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

West Indies (Local)

Prediction 46.57%2.15fair odd
EV -0.348%
Edge -0.162%
Kelly -0.305%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.52%46.47%46.62%48.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.891.992.002.1452.91%50.36%50.00%46.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sri Lanka (Visit)

Prediction 41.88%2.39fair odd
EV -3.68%
Edge -1.60%
Kelly -2.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.75%42.10%41.73%44.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.222.252.3047.62%45.06%44.44%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 11.55%8.66fair odd
EV +3.98%
Edge +0.443%
Kelly +0.498%
Growth +0.020%

assuming max odds 9.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
10.11%11.43%11.64%12.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.508.408.259.0013.33%11.91%12.12%11.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: West Indies (Local): 46.57%; Sri Lanka (Visit): 41.88%; Draw: 11.55%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.66. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 9.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.98%.

2 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Virgin Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.20%E -4.72%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.60%EV -5.77%E -2.56%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV +3.98%E +0.443%K +0.498%G +0.020%6.8%2026-06-25 13:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -9.20%E -4.72%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.60%EV -5.77%E -2.56%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.40%EV +3.98%E +0.443%K +0.498%G +0.020%6.8%2026-06-25 13:49
Casumo🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -9.66%E -4.98%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.50%EV -5.77%E -2.56%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV +3.98%E +0.443%K +0.498%G +0.020%7.1%2026-06-25 13:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -9.66%E -4.98%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.50%EV -5.77%E -2.56%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV +3.98%E +0.443%K +0.498%G +0.020%7.1%2026-06-25 13:50
Grosvenor🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -9.66%E -4.98%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.50%EV -5.77%E -2.56%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV +3.98%E +0.443%K +0.498%G +0.020%7.1%2026-06-25 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -9.66%E -4.98%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.50%EV -5.77%E -2.56%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV +3.98%E +0.443%K +0.498%G +0.020%7.1%2026-06-25 13:49
BetRivers🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -9.66%E -4.98%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.50%EV -5.77%E -2.56%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV +3.98%E +0.443%K +0.498%G +0.020%7.1%2026-06-25 13:50
Unibet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -9.66%E -4.98%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.50%EV -5.77%E -2.56%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV +3.98%E +0.443%K +0.498%G +0.020%7.1%2026-06-25 13:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -9.66%E -4.98%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.50%EV -5.77%E -2.56%K -4.62%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.37%EV +3.98%E +0.443%K +0.498%G +0.020%7.1%2026-06-25 13:49
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.37%EV -4.54%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.29%EV -12.05%E -5.74%K -10.96%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.33%EV +3.98%E +0.443%K +0.498%G +0.020%7.5%2026-06-25 13:40
TABtouch🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.08%EV -10.13%E -5.25%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 41.61%EV -6.61%E -2.96%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.31%EV +3.98%E +0.443%K +0.498%G +0.020%7.8%2026-06-25 13:49
LeoVegas🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.15%EV -11.99%E -6.34%K -13.47%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 41.74%EV -8.70%E -3.99%K -7.37%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.11%EV +3.98%E +0.443%K +0.498%G +0.020%9.9%2026-06-25 13:50
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.08%EV -6.87%E -3.43%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.85%EV -5.77%E -2.56%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.08%EV -1.79%E -0.211%K -0.239%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-25 08:50
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.71%EV -6.87%E -3.43%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.53%EV -12.05%E -5.74%K -10.96%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 10.76%EV -1.79%E -0.211%K -0.239%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-25 13:40
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.41%EV -4.54%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.30%EV -9.96%E -4.63%K -8.66%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.28%EV -4.68%E -0.567%K -0.646%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-25 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.41%EV -4.54%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.30%EV -9.96%E -4.63%K -8.66%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.28%EV -4.68%E -0.567%K -0.646%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-25 13:50
NordicBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.56%EV -4.54%E -2.21%K -4.32%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.50%EV -3.68%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.93%EV -7.57%E -0.946%K -1.08%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-25 13:40
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.18%EV -6.87%E -3.43%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.68%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV -7.57%E -0.946%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-25 13:40
888sport (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.18%EV -6.87%E -3.43%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.68%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV -7.57%E -0.946%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-25 13:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.18%EV -6.87%E -3.43%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -3.68%E -1.60%K -2.83%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.79%EV -7.57%E -0.946%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-25 13:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.75%EV -6.87%E -3.43%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -5.77%E -2.56%K -4.62%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.69%EV -7.57%E -0.946%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-25 13:39
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.32%EV -6.87%E -3.43%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -7.57%E -0.946%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-25 13:50
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.32%EV -6.87%E -3.43%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -7.57%E -0.946%K -1.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-25 07:29
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.41%EV -6.87%E -3.43%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -12.05%E -5.74%K -10.96%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.35%EV -7.57%E -0.946%K -1.08%G +0.000%10.1%2026-06-25 13:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 45.77%EV -7.33%E -3.68%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.56%EV -10.38%E -4.85%K -9.10%G +0.000%7.80I 12.82%NM 11.68%EV -9.88%E -1.27%K -1.45%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-25 13:50
Pinnacle🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 44.52%EV -0.348%E -0.162%K -0.305%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 43.11%EV -7.45%E -3.37%K -6.15%G +0.000%7.70I 12.99%NM 12.37%EV -11.04%E -1.43%K -1.65%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-25 07:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.75%EV -2.21%E -1.05%K -2.01%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.72%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.53%EV -13.35%E -1.78%K -2.05%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-25 13:50
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.02%EV -9.20%E -4.72%K -9.68%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.75%EV -5.77%E -2.56%K -4.62%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -13.35%E -1.78%K -2.05%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-25 13:39
Bet Victor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.11%EV -11.06%E -5.79%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 40.90%EV -7.86%E -3.57%K -6.55%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.00%EV -13.35%E -1.78%K -2.05%G +0.000%11.1%2026-06-25 13:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook◎2.18I 45.87%NM 45.70%2.28I 43.86%NM 43.70%9.40I 10.64%NM 10.60%0.4%2026-06-25 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.54%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.30%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.16%0.4%2026-06-25 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.54%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.30%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.16%0.4%2026-06-25 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.14I 46.73%NM 46.54%2.30I 43.48%NM 43.30%9.80I 10.20%NM 10.16%0.4%2026-06-25 13:50

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (2)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
William Hill🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%5.6%2026-06-25 09:00
GTbets🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%5.6%2026-06-25 13:50