The School of Odds
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West Indies v Pakistan

Kickoff: 2026-07-27 13:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

West Indies (Local)

Prediction 16.88%5.93fair odd
EV +1.26%
Edge +0.210%
Kelly +0.252%
Growth +0.003%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.22%16.88%16.88%18.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.515.756.0020.00%18.13%17.39%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pakistan (Visit)

Prediction 35.68%2.80fair odd
EV -3.66%
Edge -1.35%
Kelly -2.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.68%35.68%35.68%36.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.652.702.7040.00%37.80%37.04%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 47.44%2.11fair odd
EV -2.75%
Edge -1.34%
Kelly -2.62%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.17%47.44%47.44%49.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.941.912.0554.64%51.59%52.36%48.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: West Indies (Local): 16.88%; Pakistan (Visit): 35.68%; Draw: 47.44%. For West Indies (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.93. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.26%.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Betr (AU)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV +1.26%E +0.210%K +0.252%G +0.003%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.86%EV -6.51%E -2.49%K -4.02%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.91%EV -13.18%E -7.20%K -15.88%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-27 05:15
Unibet (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -2.96%E -0.514%K -0.623%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.68%EV -3.66%E -1.35%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.03%EV -9.39%E -4.92%K -10.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 09:45
LiveScore Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -2.96%E -0.514%K -0.623%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.68%EV -3.66%E -1.35%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.03%EV -9.39%E -4.92%K -10.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 09:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -2.96%E -0.514%K -0.623%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.68%EV -3.66%E -1.35%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.03%EV -9.39%E -4.92%K -10.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 09:40
Virgin Bet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -2.96%E -0.514%K -0.623%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.68%EV -3.66%E -1.35%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.03%EV -9.39%E -4.92%K -10.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 09:40
Grosvenor🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -2.96%E -0.514%K -0.623%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.68%EV -3.66%E -1.35%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.03%EV -9.39%E -4.92%K -10.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 09:44
Casumo🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -2.96%E -0.514%K -0.623%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.68%EV -3.66%E -1.35%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.03%EV -9.39%E -4.92%K -10.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 09:40
ATG (SE)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -2.96%E -0.514%K -0.623%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.68%EV -3.66%E -1.35%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.03%EV -9.39%E -4.92%K -10.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 09:45
Unibet🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -2.96%E -0.514%K -0.623%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.68%EV -3.66%E -1.35%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.03%EV -9.39%E -4.92%K -10.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 09:45
BetRivers🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.29%EV -2.96%E -0.514%K -0.623%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.68%EV -3.66%E -1.35%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.03%EV -9.39%E -4.92%K -10.32%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-27 09:45
TABtouch🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.06%EV -2.96%E -0.514%K -0.623%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.84%EV -5.44%E -2.05%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.11%EV -10.81%E -5.75%K -12.29%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-27 09:40
Betway🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.47%EV -11.40%E -2.17%K -2.68%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.68%EV -10.79%E -4.32%K -7.20%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.85%EV -5.12%E -2.56%K -5.12%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-27 11:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -15.62%E -3.12%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%EV -9.01%E -3.53%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.17%EV -2.75%E -1.34%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-27 07:50
Neds🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -15.62%E -3.12%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.31%EV -9.01%E -3.53%K -5.81%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.17%EV -2.75%E -1.34%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-27 07:50
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -15.62%E -3.12%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -7.23%E -2.78%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.10%EV -5.12%E -2.56%K -5.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-27 07:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.44%EV -15.62%E -3.12%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.46%EV -7.23%E -2.78%K -4.52%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.10%EV -5.12%E -2.56%K -5.12%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-27 07:50
TAB🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.22%EV -15.62%E -3.12%K -3.90%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.05%EV -7.23%E -2.78%K -4.52%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.73%EV -7.49%E -3.84%K -7.89%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-27 12:10
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.92%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.59%0.9%2026-07-27 12:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.92%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.59%0.9%2026-07-27 12:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎6.40I 15.63%NM 15.49%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.92%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.59%0.9%2026-07-27 12:50

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%5.9%2026-07-27 09:00

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