Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

West Indies v Pakistan

Kickoff: 2026-08-02 14:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

West Indies (Local)

Prediction 43.34%2.31fair odd
EV -4.66%
Edge -2.12%
Kelly -3.89%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.84%43.27%43.21%44.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.162.172.2047.62%46.30%46.08%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pakistan (Visit)

Prediction 32.54%3.07fair odd
EV -2.37%
Edge -0.789%
Kelly -1.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.31%32.57%32.60%34.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.682.852.853.0037.31%35.11%35.09%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.12%4.15fair odd
EV -1.11%
Edge -0.270%
Kelly -0.357%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.77%24.16%24.19%25.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.863.924.1028.57%25.91%25.48%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: West Indies (Local): 43.34%; Pakistan (Visit): 32.54%; Draw: 24.12%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.15. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.10, with an expected value of -1.11%; they did not produce positive expected value.

3 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
NordicBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.29%EV -4.66%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.29%EV -3.99%E -1.35%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.42%EV -5.93%E -1.52%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-08-02 13:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.25%EV -4.66%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.71%EV -2.37%E -0.789%K -1.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.04%EV -8.34%E -2.20%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-02 13:55
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -4.66%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -8.88%E -3.17%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -3.52%E -0.879%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 13:54
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -4.66%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -8.88%E -3.17%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -3.52%E -0.879%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 13:55
Grosvenor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -4.66%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -8.88%E -3.17%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -3.52%E -0.879%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 13:55
Unibet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -4.66%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -8.88%E -3.17%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -3.52%E -0.879%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 13:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -4.66%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -8.88%E -3.17%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -3.52%E -0.879%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 13:55
Casumo🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -4.66%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -8.88%E -3.17%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -3.52%E -0.879%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 13:54
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -4.66%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -8.88%E -3.17%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -3.52%E -0.879%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 13:55
BetRivers🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.81%EV -4.66%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.64%EV -8.88%E -3.17%K -4.93%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.55%EV -3.52%E -0.879%K -1.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-02 13:54
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.78%EV -4.66%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.45%EV -5.62%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.77%EV -8.34%E -2.20%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-02 13:55
Neds🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -4.66%E -2.12%K -3.89%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.62%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.13%EV -10.75%E -2.91%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-02 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 42.91%EV -5.53%E -2.54%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.41%EV -8.88%E -3.17%K -4.93%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.68%EV -4.72%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 13:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.84%EV -5.53%E -2.54%K -4.69%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.03%EV -12.78%E -4.77%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.78I 26.46%NM 24.13%EV -8.82%E -2.33%K -3.17%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-02 13:55
TABtouch🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 42.88%EV -6.40%E -2.96%K -5.51%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.68%EV -10.50%E -3.82%K -6.00%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.45%EV -4.72%E -1.20%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-02 13:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.29%EV -6.83%E -3.18%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -3.99%E -1.35%K -2.05%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.16%EV -10.75%E -2.91%K -3.98%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.10%EV -6.83%E -3.18%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -8.34%E -2.20%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 13:54
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.10%EV -6.83%E -3.18%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.51%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.39%EV -8.34%E -2.20%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-02 13:55
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -6.83%E -3.18%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.30%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -10.75%E -2.91%K -3.98%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-02 13:55
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV -6.83%E -3.18%K -5.94%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -5.62%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -13.17%E -3.66%K -5.06%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-02 13:54
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -9.00%E -4.28%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.76%EV -7.25%E -2.54%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -1.11%E -0.270%K -0.357%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 13:54
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.46%EV -9.00%E -4.28%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.20%EV -5.62%E -1.94%K -2.96%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.34%EV -3.52%E -0.879%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-02 13:54
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.31%EV -9.00%E -4.28%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.42%EV -6.60%E -2.30%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -3.52%E -0.879%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 13:54
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.31%EV -9.00%E -4.28%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.42%EV -6.60%E -2.30%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -3.52%E -0.879%K -1.17%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-02 13:55
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.68%EV -9.00%E -4.28%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -6.27%E -2.18%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -9.55%E -2.55%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 13:55
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.68%EV -9.00%E -4.28%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.85%EV -6.27%E -2.18%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -9.55%E -2.55%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-02 13:54
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.00%E -4.28%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -6.27%E -2.18%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -15.58%E -4.45%K -6.23%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-02 13:55
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.93%EV -9.00%E -4.28%K -8.18%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.31%EV -6.27%E -2.18%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.76%EV -15.58%E -4.45%K -6.23%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-02 13:54
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.30I 43.48%NM 43.45%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.76%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.79%0.1%2026-08-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.30I 43.48%NM 43.42%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.22%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.36%0.1%2026-08-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.26I 44.25%NM 44.12%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.69%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.19%0.3%2026-08-02 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.24I 44.64%NM 44.10%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.39%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.52%1.2%2026-08-02 13:55

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (3)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
GTbets🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.31%5.1%2026-08-02 13:55
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%5.3%2026-08-02 13:25
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%6.6%2026-08-02 13:50

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