Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

West Indies v Pakistan

2026-08-02 14:00 UTC — Test Matches

Head to Head

10 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

West Indies (Local)

Prediction 35.46%2.82fair odd
EV -6.02%
Edge -2.27%
Kelly -3.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.80%35.46%35.03%36.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.552.612.622.6539.22%38.34%38.17%37.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pakistan (Visit)

Prediction 35.00%2.86fair odd
EV -5.49%
Edge -2.03%
Kelly -3.23%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.80%35.00%35.03%35.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.602.632.622.7038.46%37.98%38.17%37.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 29.53%3.39fair odd
EV -1.07%
Edge -0.320%
Kelly -0.457%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.25%29.53%29.94%30.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.123.103.3533.33%32.05%32.26%29.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

2 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (10 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
DraftKings2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -6.02%E -2.27%K -3.65%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.03%EV -7.24%E -2.73%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.94%EV -8.46%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-30 11:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.63I 38.02%NM 35.11%EV -6.73%E -2.56%K -4.13%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.11%EV -7.94%E -3.02%K -4.87%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.78%EV -8.46%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-30 10:04
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -7.08%E -2.70%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.15%EV -8.29%E -3.16%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.71%EV -8.46%E -2.73%K -4.03%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-30 10:00
betano_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.08%E -2.70%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.29%E -3.16%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -11.41%E -3.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-30 09:54
Ladbrokes (UK)2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.08%E -2.70%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.29%E -3.16%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -11.41%E -3.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-30 09:55
Coral2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.08%E -2.70%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.29%E -3.16%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -11.41%E -3.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-30 10:00
Bet Victor2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -7.08%E -2.70%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.80%EV -8.29%E -3.16%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.39%EV -11.41%E -3.80%K -5.70%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-30 09:58
NordicBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.51%EV -7.79%E -3.00%K -4.87%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.16%EV -5.49%E -2.03%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.34%EV -1.07%E -0.320%K -0.457%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-30 10:38
PointsBet (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.56%EV -9.56%E -3.75%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.18%EV -7.24%E -2.73%K -4.39%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.25%EV -2.55%E -0.773%K -1.11%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-30 10:35
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.16%EV -9.56%E -3.75%K -6.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.47%EV -8.99%E -3.46%K -5.62%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.37%EV -4.03%E -1.24%K -1.79%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-30 10:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 36.98%2.36I 42.37%NM 36.98%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.05%14.6%2026-07-30 12:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.16I 86.21%NM 42.53%1.16I 86.21%NM 42.53%3.30I 30.30%NM 14.95%102.7%2026-07-30 12:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.16I 86.21%NM 42.53%1.16I 86.21%NM 42.53%3.30I 30.30%NM 14.95%102.7%2026-07-30 12:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.16I 86.21%NM 42.53%1.16I 86.21%NM 42.53%3.30I 30.30%NM 14.95%102.7%2026-07-30 12:50

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (2)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
William Hill1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%4.7%2026-07-30 10:45
GTbets1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%7.8%2026-07-30 11:10