Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.50
assuming max odds 2.55
assuming max odds 10.00
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: West Indies (Local): 43.48%; Pakistan (Visit): 38.00%; Draw: 18.52%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.40. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +85.20%.
2 bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -16.95%E -8.87%K -18.62%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.61%EV -14.51%E -6.45%K -11.60%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.36%EV +85.20%E +8.52%K +9.47%G +8.06% | 6.8% | 2026-07-25 13:33 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.27%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.56%EV -10.71%E -4.56%K -7.93%G +0.000% | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.17%EV +6.49%E +1.13%K +1.37%G +0.089% | 7.6% | 2026-07-25 13:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.31%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.77%EV -8.81%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +1.86%E +0.338%K +0.413%G +0.008% | 7.5% | 2026-07-25 13:55 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.31%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.77%EV -8.81%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +1.86%E +0.338%K +0.413%G +0.008% | 7.5% | 2026-07-25 13:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.31%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.77%EV -8.81%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +1.86%E +0.338%K +0.413%G +0.008% | 7.5% | 2026-07-25 13:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.11%E -1.22%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -2.77%E -0.528%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-25 13:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.11%E -1.22%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -2.77%E -0.528%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-25 13:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.11%E -1.22%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -2.77%E -0.528%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-25 13:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.11%E -1.22%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -2.77%E -0.528%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-25 13:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.97%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -3.11%E -1.22%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.99%EV -2.77%E -0.528%K -0.652%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-25 13:50 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.13%EV -9.56%E -4.59%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.81%EV -3.11%E -1.22%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.05%EV -3.70%E -0.711%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-25 13:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.80%EV -9.56%E -4.59%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.28%EV -5.01%E -2.00%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.92%EV -3.70%E -0.711%K -0.880%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-07-25 13:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.88%EV -10.43%E -5.06%K -9.84%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.99%EV -5.01%E -2.00%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.13%EV -5.55%E -1.09%K -1.35%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-25 13:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.93%EV +8.71%E +3.48%K +5.80%G +0.505% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.10%EV -16.41%E -7.46%K -13.67%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.97%EV -7.40%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-07-25 13:33 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 44.11%EV -6.95%E -3.25%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.02%EV -3.11%E -1.22%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -7.40%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-25 13:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.67%EV -6.51%E -3.03%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.55%EV -5.01%E -2.00%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.78%EV -7.40%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-25 13:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -5.01%E -2.00%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -7.40%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-25 13:35 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.17%EV -5.01%E -2.00%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -7.40%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-25 13:35 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.78%EV -13.03%E -6.52%K -13.03%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.31%EV -8.81%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.91%EV -7.40%E -1.48%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-07-25 13:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.39%EV -2.16%E -0.962%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.15%EV -5.01%E -2.00%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.46%EV -9.25%E -1.89%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-07-25 13:55 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.06%EV -2.16%E -0.962%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.63%EV -6.91%E -2.82%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -9.25%E -1.89%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-25 13:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.06%EV -2.16%E -0.962%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.63%EV -6.91%E -2.82%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -9.25%E -1.89%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-25 13:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.06%EV -2.16%E -0.962%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.63%EV -6.91%E -2.82%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -9.25%E -1.89%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-25 13:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.44%EV -4.34%E -1.97%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.11%EV -6.91%E -2.82%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.45%EV -11.11%E -2.31%K -2.92%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-25 13:55 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.86%EV -9.56%E -4.59%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 36.93%EV -6.15%E -2.49%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.21%EV -12.03%E -2.53%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-07-25 13:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.93%EV -4.34%E -1.97%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.81%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.63%EV -12.96%E -2.76%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-07-25 13:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.47I 40.49%NM 38.49%EV +7.40%E +3.00%K +5.04%G +0.373% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.15%EV -12.23%E -5.29%K -9.33%G +0.000% | 4.67I 21.41%NM 20.36%EV -13.51%E -2.89%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-07-25 13:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.57%EV -4.34%E -1.97%K -3.62%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.11%EV -8.81%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -16.66%E -3.70%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-07-25 13:54 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.70%EV -8.69%E -4.14%K -7.90%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.37%EV -8.81%E -3.67%K -6.29%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -16.66%E -3.70%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-07-25 13:45 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.92% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.30% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.79% | 0.4% | 2026-07-25 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.92% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.30% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.79% | 0.4% | 2026-07-25 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.92% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.30% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.79% | 0.4% | 2026-07-25 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.48% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.08% | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.44% | 0.6% | 2026-07-25 13:55 |
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45% | 4.8% | 2026-07-25 13:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37% | 5.6% | 2026-07-25 13:40 |
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