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West Indies v Pakistan

Kickoff: 2026-08-03 13:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

West Indies (Local)

Prediction 52.80%1.89fair odd
EV -4.95%
Edge -2.75%
Kelly -6.19%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
52.17%52.80%52.80%53.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.781.791.8058.14%56.33%55.87%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pakistan (Visit)

Prediction 33.00%3.03fair odd
EV -4.95%
Edge -1.72%
Kelly -2.63%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.50%33.00%33.00%33.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.842.852.8836.36%35.20%35.09%34.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 14.19%7.05fair odd
EV -0.641%
Edge -0.092%
Kelly -0.107%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 7.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.25%14.19%14.19%15.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.006.396.257.0016.67%15.66%16.00%14.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: West Indies (Local): 52.80%; Pakistan (Visit): 33.00%; Draw: 14.19%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.05. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 7.00, with an expected value of -0.641%; they did not produce positive expected value.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.27%EV -4.95%E -2.75%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -4.95%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.05%EV -11.29%E -1.81%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-03 10:59
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.27%EV -4.95%E -2.75%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -4.95%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.05%EV -11.29%E -1.81%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-03 11:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.27%EV -4.95%E -2.75%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -4.95%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.05%EV -11.29%E -1.81%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-03 11:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.27%EV -4.95%E -2.75%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -4.95%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.05%EV -11.29%E -1.81%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-03 10:59
LiveScore Bet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.27%EV -4.95%E -2.75%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -4.95%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.05%EV -11.29%E -1.81%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-03 10:59
Casumo🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.27%EV -4.95%E -2.75%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -4.95%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.05%EV -11.29%E -1.81%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-03 11:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.27%EV -4.95%E -2.75%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -4.95%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.05%EV -11.29%E -1.81%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-03 10:59
BetRivers🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.27%EV -4.95%E -2.75%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.67%EV -4.95%E -1.72%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.05%EV -11.29%E -1.81%K -2.15%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-03 10:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.23%EV -5.48%E -3.06%K -6.94%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.81%EV -5.94%E -2.09%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.96%EV -11.29%E -1.81%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-03 10:59
Neds🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.62%EV -6.54%E -3.69%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.26%EV -7.59%E -2.71%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.11%EV -6.32%E -0.957%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-03 13:24
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.62%EV -6.54%E -3.69%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.26%EV -7.59%E -2.71%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.11%EV -6.32%E -0.957%K -1.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-03 13:24
TABtouch🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.32%EV -6.54%E -3.69%K -8.49%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -5.94%E -2.09%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.18%EV -13.42%E -2.20%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-03 10:59
Betway🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.59%E -4.34%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -7.59%E -2.71%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.33%EV -0.641%E -0.092%K -0.107%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-03 13:25
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -7.59%E -4.34%K -10.12%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -7.59%E -2.71%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -14.84%E -2.47%K -2.97%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-03 13:09
Paddy Power🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.65%E -5.00%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.13%EV -7.59%E -2.71%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -0.641%E -0.092%K -0.107%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-03 13:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.65%E -5.00%K -11.85%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.13%EV -7.59%E -2.71%K -4.22%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -0.641%E -0.092%K -0.107%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-03 13:25
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 52.30%EV -9.18%E -5.34%K -12.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -9.24%E -3.36%K -5.28%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -14.84%E -2.47%K -2.97%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-03 03:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.90%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.06%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.05%0.8%2026-08-03 13:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.90%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.06%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.05%0.8%2026-08-03 13:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.84I 54.35%NM 53.90%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.06%7.60I 13.16%NM 13.05%0.8%2026-08-03 13:25

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
William Hill🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%5.4%2026-08-03 10:34