Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

West Indies v Pakistan

2026-08-03 14:00 UTC — Test Matches

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

West Indies (Local)

Prediction 52.00%1.92fair odd
EV -5.37%
Edge -2.95%
Kelly -6.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.46%52.00%52.00%53.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.721.791.811.8258.14%55.83%55.25%54.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pakistan (Visit)

Prediction 33.44%2.99fair odd
EV -4.70%
Edge -1.65%
Kelly -2.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.61%33.44%33.44%33.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.812.802.8536.36%35.56%35.71%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 14.56%6.87fair odd
EV -5.33%
Edge -0.820%
Kelly -0.969%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
14.13%14.56%14.56%15.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.006.326.406.5016.67%15.83%15.63%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: West Indies (Local): 52.00%; Pakistan (Visit): 33.44%; Draw: 14.56%. For Pakistan (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.99. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 2.85, with an expected value of -4.70%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Grosvenor1.82I 54.95%NM 52.00%EV -5.37%E -2.95%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.21%EV -4.70%E -1.65%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.79%EV -6.79%E -1.06%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 21:30
Virgin Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.00%EV -5.37%E -2.95%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.21%EV -4.70%E -1.65%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.79%EV -6.79%E -1.06%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 21:29
Unibet (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.00%EV -5.37%E -2.95%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.21%EV -4.70%E -1.65%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.79%EV -6.79%E -1.06%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 21:29
LiveScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.00%EV -5.37%E -2.95%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.21%EV -4.70%E -1.65%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.79%EV -6.79%E -1.06%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 21:29
Casumo1.82I 54.95%NM 52.00%EV -5.37%E -2.95%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.21%EV -4.70%E -1.65%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.79%EV -6.79%E -1.06%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 21:29
ATG (SE)1.82I 54.95%NM 52.00%EV -5.37%E -2.95%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.21%EV -4.70%E -1.65%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.79%EV -6.79%E -1.06%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-02 21:29
Unibet1.82I 54.95%NM 51.51%EV -5.37%E -2.95%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -6.37%E -2.27%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV -8.97%E -1.44%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 21:30
BetRivers1.82I 54.95%NM 51.51%EV -5.37%E -2.95%K -6.55%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.48%EV -6.37%E -2.27%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.00%EV -8.97%E -1.44%K -1.71%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-02 21:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.46%EV -5.89%E -3.25%K -7.27%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.27%EV -6.37%E -2.27%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.27%EV -11.16%E -1.83%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-02 21:29
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 51.97%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.41%EV -6.37%E -2.27%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.62%EV -6.79%E -1.06%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 21:55
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.97%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.41%EV -6.37%E -2.27%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.62%EV -6.79%E -1.06%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-02 21:55
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 51.60%EV -6.41%E -3.56%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.17%EV -6.37%E -2.27%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.23%EV -11.16%E -1.83%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-02 21:29
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 52.48%EV -9.01%E -5.15%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.39%EV -8.04%E -2.92%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -5.33%E -0.820%K -0.969%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 21:29
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 52.17%EV -9.01%E -5.15%K -12.01%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.61%EV -6.37%E -2.27%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.22%EV -12.61%E -2.10%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-03 03:14
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 53.08%EV -10.05%E -5.81%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.79%EV -6.37%E -2.27%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -5.33%E -0.820%K -0.969%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 21:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 53.08%EV -10.05%E -5.81%K -13.76%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.79%EV -6.37%E -2.27%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -5.33%E -0.820%K -0.969%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-02 21:39
Betr (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 52.30%EV -10.57%E -6.14%K -14.68%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.71%EV -8.04%E -2.92%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -12.61%E -2.10%K -2.52%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-03 03:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.97%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.20%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.83%0.4%2026-08-03 03:34
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.97%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.20%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.83%0.4%2026-08-03 03:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.88I 53.19%NM 52.97%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.20%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.83%0.4%2026-08-03 03:35