The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
+ New modelAll models

West Indies v Pakistan

Kickoff: 2026-07-26 13:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

West Indies (Local)

Prediction 31.53%3.17fair odd
EV -0.688%
Edge -0.218%
Kelly -0.320%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.85%31.53%31.53%31.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.902.992.953.1534.48%33.40%33.90%31.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Pakistan (Visit)

Prediction 12.45%8.03fair odd
EV -0.428%
Edge -0.054%
Kelly -0.061%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 8.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.58%12.45%12.45%13.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.757.598.008.0014.81%13.17%12.50%12.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 56.03%1.78fair odd
EV -4.76%
Edge -2.80%
Kelly -6.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.70%56.03%56.03%58.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.661.671.7062.11%60.35%59.88%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: West Indies (Local): 31.53%; Pakistan (Visit): 12.45%; Draw: 56.03%. For Pakistan (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.03. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 8.00, with an expected value of -0.428%; they did not produce positive expected value.

1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.96%EV -0.688%E -0.218%K -0.320%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -0.428%E -0.054%K -0.061%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -9.24%E -5.70%K -14.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 12:55
ATG (SE)🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.96%EV -0.688%E -0.218%K -0.320%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.80%EV -0.428%E -0.054%K -0.061%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.25%EV -9.24%E -5.70%K -14.90%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-26 12:55
Unibet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.85%EV -0.688%E -0.218%K -0.320%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.75%EV -0.428%E -0.054%K -0.061%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.40%EV -9.80%E -6.09%K -16.06%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-26 12:55
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.42%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -12.87%E -1.84%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.44%E -3.85%K -9.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 11:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.01%EV -5.42%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -12.87%E -1.84%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -6.44%E -3.85%K -9.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 11:20
TAB🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.48%EV -5.42%E -1.81%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.06%EV -12.87%E -1.84%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 56.45%EV -9.24%E -5.70%K -14.90%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 12:44
Virgin Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -6.99%E -2.37%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.76%EV -0.428%E -0.054%K -0.061%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.34%EV -6.44%E -3.85%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 12:15
Grosvenor🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -6.99%E -2.37%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.76%EV -0.428%E -0.054%K -0.061%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.34%EV -6.44%E -3.85%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 12:15
Casumo🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -6.99%E -2.37%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.76%EV -0.428%E -0.054%K -0.061%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.34%EV -6.44%E -3.85%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 12:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -6.99%E -2.37%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.76%EV -0.428%E -0.054%K -0.061%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.34%EV -6.44%E -3.85%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 12:15
BetRivers🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.90%EV -6.99%E -2.37%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.76%EV -0.428%E -0.054%K -0.061%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.34%EV -6.44%E -3.85%K -9.61%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 12:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.79%EV -6.99%E -2.37%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -0.428%E -0.054%K -0.061%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.49%EV -7.00%E -4.22%K -10.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-26 12:15
Neds🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.52%EV -6.99%E -2.37%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -15.99%E -2.37%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.70%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 11:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.52%EV -6.99%E -2.37%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -15.99%E -2.37%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.70%EV -4.76%E -2.80%K -6.79%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-26 11:20
Betway🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.16%EV -6.99%E -2.37%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -12.87%E -1.84%K -2.15%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.71%EV -7.56%E -4.58%K -11.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 11:20
TABtouch🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.94%EV -8.57%E -2.96%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -0.428%E -0.054%K -0.061%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.48%EV -8.12%E -4.95%K -12.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-26 12:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.51%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.93%1.0%2026-07-26 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.51%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.93%1.0%2026-07-26 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.35I 29.85%NM 29.55%8.60I 11.63%NM 11.51%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.93%1.0%2026-07-26 12:55

Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)

These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.

BookmakerOption 1Option 2Margin ▲Updated
William Hill🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%5.5%2026-07-26 12:45

Discuss this game on odds.forum

No published comments yet.