Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sri Lanka v India

2026-08-25 04:15 UTC — Test Matches

Head to Head

15 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sri Lanka (Local)

Prediction 3.77%26.55fair odd
EV +167.39%
Edge +2.36%
Kelly +2.39%
Growth +4.00%

assuming max odds 71.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
1.29%3.77%3.77%4.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
21.0039.1329.0071.004.76%2.56%3.45%1.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

India (Visit)

Prediction 78.04%1.28fair odd
EV -7.13%
Edge -5.99%
Kelly -37.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.19

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
76.80%78.04%78.04%80.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.141.181.191.1987.72%84.94%84.03%84.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 18.19%5.50fair odd
EV -1.75%
Edge -0.324%
Kelly -0.398%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.40

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.35%18.19%18.19%19.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.755.225.405.4021.05%19.17%18.52%18.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Sri Lanka (Local): 3.77%; India (Visit): 78.04%; Draw: 18.19%. For Sri Lanka (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 26.55. 14 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 71.00, producing a positive expected value of +167.39%.

Sportsbook Odds (15 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Paddy Power🎯71.00I 1.41%NM 1.29%EV +167.39%E +2.36%K +2.39%G +4.00%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.38%EV -11.03%E -9.68%K -78.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -9.03%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-24 12:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯71.00I 1.41%NM 1.29%EV +167.39%E +2.36%K +2.39%G +4.00%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.38%EV -11.03%E -9.68%K -78.82%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.33%EV -9.03%E -1.81%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-24 12:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯67.00I 1.49%NM 1.38%EV +152.33%E +2.27%K +2.31%G +3.52%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.29%EV -8.69%E -7.43%K -51.14%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -12.67%E -2.64%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-24 12:34
Neds🎯67.00I 1.49%NM 1.38%EV +152.33%E +2.27%K +2.31%G +3.52%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.29%EV -8.69%E -7.43%K -51.14%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.33%EV -12.67%E -2.64%K -3.33%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-24 12:35
Unibet🎯29.00I 3.45%NM 3.25%EV +9.22%E +0.318%K +0.329%G +0.030%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.28%EV -7.13%E -5.99%K -37.54%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.47%EV -1.75%E -0.324%K -0.398%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-24 12:29
LiveScore Bet🎯29.00I 3.45%NM 3.25%EV +9.22%E +0.318%K +0.329%G +0.030%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.28%EV -7.13%E -5.99%K -37.54%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.47%EV -1.75%E -0.324%K -0.398%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-24 12:29
Virgin Bet🎯29.00I 3.45%NM 3.25%EV +9.22%E +0.318%K +0.329%G +0.030%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.28%EV -7.13%E -5.99%K -37.54%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.47%EV -1.75%E -0.324%K -0.398%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-24 12:29
BetRivers🎯29.00I 3.45%NM 3.25%EV +9.22%E +0.318%K +0.329%G +0.030%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.28%EV -7.13%E -5.99%K -37.54%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.47%EV -1.75%E -0.324%K -0.398%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-24 12:29
Unibet (SE)🎯29.00I 3.45%NM 3.25%EV +9.22%E +0.318%K +0.329%G +0.030%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.28%EV -7.13%E -5.99%K -37.54%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.47%EV -1.75%E -0.324%K -0.398%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-24 12:29
Grosvenor🎯29.00I 3.45%NM 3.25%EV +9.22%E +0.318%K +0.329%G +0.030%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.28%EV -7.13%E -5.99%K -37.54%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.47%EV -1.75%E -0.324%K -0.398%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-24 12:29
Casumo🎯29.00I 3.45%NM 3.25%EV +9.22%E +0.318%K +0.329%G +0.030%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.28%EV -7.13%E -5.99%K -37.54%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.47%EV -1.75%E -0.324%K -0.398%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-24 12:29
ATG (SE)🎯29.00I 3.45%NM 3.25%EV +9.22%E +0.318%K +0.329%G +0.030%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.28%EV -7.13%E -5.99%K -37.54%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.47%EV -1.75%E -0.324%K -0.398%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-24 12:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯29.00I 3.45%NM 3.23%EV +9.22%E +0.318%K +0.329%G +0.030%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -7.91%E -6.71%K -43.96%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.35%EV -1.75%E -0.324%K -0.398%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-24 12:29
TABtouch🎯29.00I 3.45%NM 3.20%EV +9.22%E +0.318%K +0.329%G +0.030%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.30%EV -8.69%E -7.43%K -51.14%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.50%EV -3.57%E -0.674%K -0.831%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-24 12:29
Betway🎯21.00I 4.76%NM 4.28%EV -20.91%E -0.996%K -1.05%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 76.80%EV -8.69%E -7.43%K -51.14%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.92%EV -13.58%E -2.86%K -3.62%G +0.000%11.3%2026-08-24 12:29
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)100.00I 1.00%NM 0.99%1.21I 82.64%NM 82.16%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.85%0.6%2026-08-24 18:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)100.00I 1.00%NM 0.99%1.21I 82.64%NM 82.16%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.85%0.6%2026-08-24 18:49
Betfair Exchange (EU)100.00I 1.00%NM 0.99%1.21I 82.64%NM 82.16%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.85%0.6%2026-08-24 18:49