Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sri Lanka v India

2026-08-17 04:15 UTC — Test Matches

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sri Lanka (Local)

Prediction 3.99%25.08fair odd
EV +3.67%
Edge +0.141%
Kelly +0.147%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 26.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
3.59%3.99%3.99%4.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
21.0024.9426.0026.004.76%4.01%3.85%3.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

India (Visit)

Prediction 52.13%1.92fair odd
EV -6.17%
Edge -3.43%
Kelly -7.71%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.92%52.13%52.13%53.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.781.771.8057.80%56.30%56.50%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 43.88%2.28fair odd
EV -3.45%
Edge -1.57%
Kelly -2.88%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.93%43.88%43.88%44.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.152.182.2048.78%46.46%45.87%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Sri Lanka (Local): 3.99%; India (Visit): 52.13%; Draw: 43.88%. For Sri Lanka (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 25.08. 11 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 26.00, producing a positive expected value of +3.67%.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Grosvenor🎯26.00I 3.85%NM 3.64%EV +3.67%E +0.141%K +0.147%G +0.005%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.40%EV -7.73%E -4.37%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -3.45%E -1.57%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 18:29
LiveScore Bet🎯26.00I 3.85%NM 3.64%EV +3.67%E +0.141%K +0.147%G +0.005%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.40%EV -7.73%E -4.37%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -3.45%E -1.57%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 18:29
Virgin Bet🎯26.00I 3.85%NM 3.64%EV +3.67%E +0.141%K +0.147%G +0.005%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.40%EV -7.73%E -4.37%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -3.45%E -1.57%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 18:29
Unibet (SE)🎯26.00I 3.85%NM 3.64%EV +3.67%E +0.141%K +0.147%G +0.005%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.40%EV -7.73%E -4.37%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -3.45%E -1.57%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 18:29
Casumo🎯26.00I 3.85%NM 3.64%EV +3.67%E +0.141%K +0.147%G +0.005%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.40%EV -7.73%E -4.37%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -3.45%E -1.57%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 18:29
ATG (SE)🎯26.00I 3.85%NM 3.64%EV +3.67%E +0.141%K +0.147%G +0.005%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.40%EV -7.73%E -4.37%K -10.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.96%EV -3.45%E -1.57%K -2.88%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 18:29
BetRivers🎯26.00I 3.85%NM 3.61%EV +3.67%E +0.141%K +0.147%G +0.005%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.33%EV -8.26%E -4.69%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.06%EV -4.33%E -1.99%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-16 18:29
Unibet🎯26.00I 3.85%NM 3.61%EV +3.67%E +0.141%K +0.147%G +0.005%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.33%EV -8.26%E -4.69%K -10.86%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.06%EV -4.33%E -1.99%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-16 18:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯26.00I 3.85%NM 3.60%EV +3.67%E +0.141%K +0.147%G +0.005%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.47%EV -8.78%E -5.02%K -11.70%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -4.33%E -1.99%K -3.67%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 18:29
Paddy Power🎯26.00I 3.85%NM 3.59%EV +3.67%E +0.141%K +0.147%G +0.005%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.91%EV -6.17%E -3.43%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.50%EV -7.84%E -3.73%K -7.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 12:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯26.00I 3.85%NM 3.59%EV +3.67%E +0.141%K +0.147%G +0.005%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.91%EV -6.17%E -3.43%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.50%EV -7.84%E -3.73%K -7.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 12:45
TABtouch🎯25.00I 4.00%NM 3.69%EV -0.313%E -0.013%K -0.013%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.37%EV -9.82%E -5.68%K -13.45%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.94%EV -5.65%E -2.63%K -4.91%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-16 18:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯23.00I 4.35%NM 4.04%EV -8.29%E -0.360%K -0.377%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -6.17%E -3.43%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.29%EV -7.84%E -3.73%K -7.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 12:49
Neds🎯23.00I 4.35%NM 4.04%EV -8.29%E -0.360%K -0.377%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.67%EV -6.17%E -3.43%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.29%EV -7.84%E -3.73%K -7.13%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 12:49
Betr (AU)🎯21.00I 4.76%NM 4.41%EV -16.26%E -0.774%K -0.813%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.47%EV -6.17%E -3.43%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.12%EV -7.84%E -3.73%K -7.13%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-16 12:49
Betway🎯21.00I 4.76%NM 4.36%EV -16.26%E -0.774%K -0.813%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.92%EV -6.17%E -3.43%K -7.71%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.71%EV -10.04%E -4.90%K -9.56%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-16 12:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)38.00I 2.63%NM 2.62%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.94%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.44%0.5%2026-08-16 19:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)38.00I 2.63%NM 2.61%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.08%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.31%0.8%2026-08-16 19:44
Betfair Exchange (AU)36.00I 2.78%NM 2.75%1.87I 53.48%NM 53.00%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.25%0.9%2026-08-16 19:44

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