Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sri Lanka v India

2026-08-19 04:30 UTC — Test Matches

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Sri Lanka (Local)

Prediction 3.31%30.21fair odd
EV +135.06%
Edge +1.90%
Kelly +1.93%
Growth +2.61%

assuming max odds 71.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
1.34%3.31%3.31%4.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
21.0044.3141.0071.004.76%2.26%2.44%1.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

India (Visit)

Prediction 87.72%1.14fair odd
EV -7.02%
Edge -6.62%
Kelly -116.98%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
85.60%87.72%87.72%89.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.031.051.051.0697.09%95.35%95.24%94.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 8.97%11.15fair odd
EV +7.65%
Edge +0.638%
Kelly +0.696%
Growth +0.053%

assuming max odds 12.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.79%8.97%8.97%10.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.0011.2812.0012.0011.11%8.86%8.33%8.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Sri Lanka (Local): 3.31%; India (Visit): 87.72%; Draw: 8.97%. For Sri Lanka (Local), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 30.21. 15 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 71.00, producing a positive expected value of +135.06%.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Paddy Power🎯71.00I 1.41%NM 1.34%EV +135.06%E +1.90%K +1.93%G +2.61%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.99%EV -7.02%E -6.62%K -116.98%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.67%EV -1.32%E -0.120%K -0.132%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-18 12:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯71.00I 1.41%NM 1.34%EV +135.06%E +1.90%K +1.93%G +2.61%1.06I 94.34%NM 89.99%EV -7.02%E -6.62%K -116.98%G +0.000%11.00I 9.09%NM 8.67%EV -1.32%E -0.120%K -0.132%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-18 13:09
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯51.00I 1.96%NM 1.81%EV +68.85%E +1.35%K +1.38%G +0.948%1.04I 96.15%NM 88.94%EV -8.77%E -8.44%K -219.33%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.25%EV -10.29%E -1.03%K -1.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-18 12:50
Neds🎯51.00I 1.96%NM 1.81%EV +68.85%E +1.35%K +1.38%G +0.948%1.04I 96.15%NM 88.94%EV -8.77%E -8.44%K -219.33%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.25%EV -10.29%E -1.03%K -1.14%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-18 12:50
Unibet (SE)🎯41.00I 2.44%NM 2.30%EV +35.74%E +0.872%K +0.893%G +0.319%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.84%EV -7.90%E -7.52%K -157.92%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.86%EV +7.65%E +0.638%K +0.696%G +0.053%6.0%2026-08-18 12:40
BetRivers🎯41.00I 2.44%NM 2.30%EV +35.74%E +0.872%K +0.893%G +0.319%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.84%EV -7.90%E -7.52%K -157.92%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.86%EV +7.65%E +0.638%K +0.696%G +0.053%6.0%2026-08-18 12:40
Unibet🎯41.00I 2.44%NM 2.30%EV +35.74%E +0.872%K +0.893%G +0.319%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.84%EV -7.90%E -7.52%K -157.92%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.86%EV +7.65%E +0.638%K +0.696%G +0.053%6.0%2026-08-18 12:40
Grosvenor🎯41.00I 2.44%NM 2.30%EV +35.74%E +0.872%K +0.893%G +0.319%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.84%EV -7.90%E -7.52%K -157.92%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.86%EV +7.65%E +0.638%K +0.696%G +0.053%6.0%2026-08-18 12:40
Casumo🎯41.00I 2.44%NM 2.30%EV +35.74%E +0.872%K +0.893%G +0.319%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.84%EV -7.90%E -7.52%K -157.92%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.86%EV +7.65%E +0.638%K +0.696%G +0.053%6.0%2026-08-18 12:40
Virgin Bet🎯41.00I 2.44%NM 2.30%EV +35.74%E +0.872%K +0.893%G +0.319%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.84%EV -7.90%E -7.52%K -157.92%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.86%EV +7.65%E +0.638%K +0.696%G +0.053%6.0%2026-08-18 12:40
LiveScore Bet🎯41.00I 2.44%NM 2.30%EV +35.74%E +0.872%K +0.893%G +0.319%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.84%EV -7.90%E -7.52%K -157.92%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.86%EV +7.65%E +0.638%K +0.696%G +0.053%6.0%2026-08-18 12:40
ATG (SE)🎯41.00I 2.44%NM 2.30%EV +35.74%E +0.872%K +0.893%G +0.319%1.05I 95.24%NM 89.84%EV -7.90%E -7.52%K -157.92%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.86%EV +7.65%E +0.638%K +0.696%G +0.053%6.0%2026-08-18 12:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯41.00I 2.44%NM 2.28%EV +35.74%E +0.872%K +0.893%G +0.319%1.04I 96.15%NM 89.93%EV -8.77%E -8.44%K -219.33%G +0.000%12.00I 8.33%NM 7.79%EV +7.65%E +0.638%K +0.696%G +0.053%6.9%2026-08-18 12:40
TABtouch🎯41.00I 2.44%NM 2.25%EV +35.74%E +0.872%K +0.893%G +0.319%1.03I 97.09%NM 89.71%EV -9.65%E -9.37%K -321.68%G +0.000%11.50I 8.70%NM 8.04%EV +3.17%E +0.276%K +0.302%G +0.010%8.2%2026-08-18 12:40
Betr (AU)🎯34.00I 2.94%NM 2.72%EV +12.56%E +0.370%K +0.381%G +0.048%1.05I 95.24%NM 88.04%EV -7.90%E -7.52%K -157.92%G +0.000%10.00I 10.00%NM 9.24%EV -10.29%E -1.03%K -1.14%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-18 12:44
Betway🎯21.00I 4.76%NM 4.32%EV -30.48%E -1.45%K -1.52%G +0.000%1.06I 94.34%NM 85.60%EV -7.02%E -6.62%K -116.98%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.08%EV -19.26%E -2.14%K -2.41%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-18 12:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)80.00I 1.25%NM 1.25%1.08I 92.59%NM 92.32%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.43%0.3%2026-08-18 19:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)80.00I 1.25%NM 1.25%1.08I 92.59%NM 92.32%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.43%0.3%2026-08-18 19:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)75.00I 1.33%NM 1.33%1.08I 92.59%NM 92.24%15.50I 6.45%NM 6.43%0.4%2026-08-18 20:00

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