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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Sri Lanka v India

开赛时间： 2026-08-23 04:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

29 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Sri Lanka (主队)

预测 13.44%7.44公平赔率
EV +0.783%
优势 +0.104%
Kelly +0.120%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 7.50

博彩公司预测分布
12.34%14.08%13.42%18.72%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.006.917.007.5020.00%14.47%14.29%13.33%最小值均值中位数最大值

India (客队)

预测 65.78%1.52公平赔率
EV +2.61%
优势 +1.68%
Kelly +4.67%
增长率 +0.122%

假设最高赔率为 1.56

博彩公司预测分布
60.00%65.56%65.70%68.66%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.361.421.421.5673.53%70.27%70.42%64.10%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 20.78%4.81公平赔率
EV +14.94%
优势 +2.70%
Kelly +3.30%
增长率 +0.492%

假设最高赔率为 5.53

博彩公司预测分布
17.26%20.35%20.88%22.04%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.204.504.505.5323.81%22.22%22.22%18.08%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Sri Lanka (主队)：13.44%；India (客队)：65.78%；平局：20.78%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为4.81。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为5.53，对应+14.94%的正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (29 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队平局 ▼利润率更新时间
Pinnacle🎯6.78I 14.75%NM 14.08%EV -8.89%E -1.31%K -1.54%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 68.66%EV -8.57%E -6.16%K -21.97%G +0.000%5.53I 18.08%NM 17.26%EV +14.94%E +2.70%K +3.30%G +0.492%4.8%2026-08-22 12:20
BoyleSports🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.71%EV -19.37%E -3.23%K -3.87%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.45%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.85%EV +3.92%E +0.784%K +0.980%G +0.038%6.1%2026-08-21 20:35
888sport🎯7.40I 13.51%NM 12.75%EV -0.561%E -0.076%K -0.088%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.39%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -1.28%E -0.269%K -0.340%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-23 04:20
888sport (SE)🎯7.40I 13.51%NM 12.75%EV -0.561%E -0.076%K -0.088%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.39%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.78%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.86%EV -1.28%E -0.269%K -0.340%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-23 04:25
NordicBet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.67%EV -5.94%E -0.848%K -0.989%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.98%EV -4.62%E -3.19%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.35%EV -2.32%E -0.493%K -0.626%G +0.000%4.5%2026-08-23 04:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯6.60I 15.15%NM 14.25%EV -11.31%E -1.71%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.31%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.44%EV -4.39%E -0.955%K -1.22%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-23 04:24
LiveScore Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -5.94%E -0.848%K -0.989%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -4.62%E -3.19%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.07%EV -6.47%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-23 04:04
Virgin Bet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV -5.94%E -0.848%K -0.989%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.39%EV -4.62%E -3.19%K -10.27%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.07%EV -6.47%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-23 04:04
Grosvenor🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -5.94%E -0.848%K -0.989%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.54%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -6.47%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-23 04:05
Unibet (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -5.94%E -0.848%K -0.989%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.54%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -6.47%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-23 04:05
Casumo🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -5.94%E -0.848%K -0.989%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.54%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -6.47%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-23 04:05
ATG (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -5.94%E -0.848%K -0.989%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.54%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.97%EV -6.47%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-23 04:04
BetRivers🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -5.94%E -0.848%K -0.989%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.70%EV -5.94%E -4.15%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -6.47%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 04:04
Unibet🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -5.94%E -0.848%K -0.989%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.70%EV -5.94%E -4.15%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.88%EV -6.47%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 04:04
Paddy Power🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV +0.783%E +0.104%K +0.120%G +0.001%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.47%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 04:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV +0.783%E +0.104%K +0.120%G +0.001%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.77%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.78%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV -6.47%E -1.44%K -1.85%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-23 04:25
DraftKings🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -32.81%E -6.56%K -8.20%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.00%EV +2.61%E +1.68%K +4.67%G +0.122%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.27%EV -8.55%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 03:59
LeoVegas (SE)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.36%EV -5.94%E -0.848%K -0.989%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 65.39%EV -5.94%E -4.15%K -13.81%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.25%EV -8.55%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-23 04:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -5.94%E -0.848%K -0.989%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.55%EV -6.59%E -4.64%K -15.70%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -8.55%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-23 04:24
TABtouch🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV -9.30%E -1.38%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 65.39%EV -7.25%E -5.14%K -17.69%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -8.55%E -1.94%K -2.51%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-23 04:05
Coral🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -5.94%E -0.848%K -0.989%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.78%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -10.01%E -2.31%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 04:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -5.94%E -0.848%K -0.989%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.78%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -10.01%E -2.31%K -3.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 04:25
Bet Victor🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 12.88%EV -5.94%E -0.848%K -0.989%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 66.30%EV -10.54%E -7.75%K -29.28%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.82%EV -10.01%E -2.31%K -3.00%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-23 04:23
betano_uk🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 13.74%EV -12.65%E -1.95%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 65.65%EV -10.54%E -7.75%K -29.28%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.62%EV -10.01%E -2.31%K -3.00%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-23 04:18
Betway🎯7.50I 13.33%NM 12.34%EV +0.783%E +0.104%K +0.120%G +0.001%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.13%EV -7.91%E -5.65%K -19.78%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.53%EV -10.63%E -2.47%K -3.22%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-23 04:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯7.25I 13.79%NM 12.92%EV -2.58%E -0.355%K -0.412%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.04%EV -5.28%E -3.67%K -12.00%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.04%EV -11.67%E -2.75%K -3.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-23 04:25
Neds🎯7.00I 14.29%NM 13.20%EV -5.94%E -0.848%K -0.989%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.06%EV -6.59%E -4.64%K -15.70%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.74%EV -11.67%E -2.75%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-23 04:24
Marathon Bet🎯6.75I 14.81%NM 13.56%EV -9.30%E -1.38%K -1.62%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 64.91%EV -7.25%E -5.14%K -17.69%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.53%EV -11.67%E -2.75%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-23 04:19
TAB🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 14.03%EV -12.65%E -1.95%K -2.30%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 64.24%EV -6.59%E -4.64%K -15.70%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.72%EV -12.71%E -3.03%K -3.97%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-23 04:24
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎8.60I 11.63%NM 11.60%1.45I 68.97%NM 68.83%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.57%0.2%2026-08-23 04:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎8.40I 11.90%NM 11.86%1.46I 68.49%NM 68.22%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.92%0.4%2026-08-23 04:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.66%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.58%1.2%2026-08-23 04:25
Matchbook◎8.40I 11.90%NM 11.76%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.66%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.58%1.2%2026-08-23 04:25

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2利润率 ▲更新时间
GTbets🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%6.2%2026-08-23 00:49