Language:English
Sri Lanka v India
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sri Lanka (Local)
Prediction 10.25%9.75fair odd
EV -2.59%
Edge -0.272%
Kelly -0.304%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 9.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.60%10.25%10.44%10.66%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.709.049.009.5011.49%11.06%11.11%10.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
India (Visit)
Prediction 70.17%1.43fair odd
EV -5.26%
Edge -3.90%
Kelly -15.04%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.35
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
69.07%70.17%69.91%70.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.301.331.331.3576.92%75.19%74.91%74.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 19.57%5.11fair odd
EV -2.14%
Edge -0.428%
Kelly -0.535%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 5.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.81%19.57%19.65%20.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.504.834.955.0022.22%20.71%20.20%20.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sri Lanka (Local): 10.25%; India (Visit): 70.17%; Draw: 19.57%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.11. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 5.00, with an expected value of -2.14%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.80%EV -2.59%E -0.272%K -0.304%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.97%EV -6.67%E -5.01%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -9.97%E -2.17%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-24 04:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -2.59%E -0.272%K -0.304%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.14%EV -8.77%E -6.75%K -29.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -11.93%E -2.65%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-24 04:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.60%EV -2.59%E -0.272%K -0.304%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.14%EV -8.77%E -6.75%K -29.24%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.26%EV -11.93%E -2.65%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-08-24 04:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.51%EV -7.71%E -0.857%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.58%EV -5.97%E -4.45%K -17.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -2.14%E -0.428%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-23 12:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.51%EV -7.71%E -0.857%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.58%EV -5.97%E -4.45%K -17.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -2.14%E -0.428%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-23 12:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.51%EV -7.71%E -0.857%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.58%EV -5.97%E -4.45%K -17.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -2.14%E -0.428%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-23 12:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.51%EV -7.71%E -0.857%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.58%EV -5.97%E -4.45%K -17.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -2.14%E -0.428%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-23 12:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.51%EV -7.71%E -0.857%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.58%EV -5.97%E -4.45%K -17.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -2.14%E -0.428%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-23 12:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.51%EV -7.71%E -0.857%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.58%EV -5.97%E -4.45%K -17.55%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.91%EV -2.14%E -0.428%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-23 12:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -7.71%E -0.857%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.73%EV -6.67%E -5.01%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -2.14%E -0.428%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-23 12:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -7.71%E -0.857%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.73%EV -6.67%E -5.01%K -20.21%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -2.14%E -0.428%K -0.535%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-23 12:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -7.71%E -0.857%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.62%EV -7.37%E -5.58%K -23.03%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -4.10%E -0.836%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 12:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.36%EV -7.71%E -0.857%K -0.964%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.62%EV -7.37%E -5.58%K -23.03%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.02%EV -4.10%E -0.836%K -1.05%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-23 12:05 |
| Neds🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.66%EV -10.28%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.07%EV -5.26%E -3.90%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -9.97%E -2.17%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-24 04:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 8.75I 11.43%NM 10.66%EV -10.28%E -1.17%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.07%EV -5.26%E -3.90%K -15.04%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.27%EV -9.97%E -2.17%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-24 04:24 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 8.70I 11.49%NM 10.51%EV -10.79%E -1.24%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 69.82%EV -8.07%E -6.16%K -26.04%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.67%EV -8.99%E -1.93%K -2.46%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-24 03:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.44% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.85% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 0.9% | 2026-08-24 04:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.44% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 71.85% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 0.9% | 2026-08-24 04:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 9.80I 10.20%NM 9.94% | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.58% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.48% | 2.7% | 2026-08-24 04:25 |