默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Sri Lanka v India

开赛时间: 2026-08-26 04:15 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

17 家博彩公司 (2 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Sri Lanka (主队)

预测 3.55%28.20公平赔率
EV +45.38%
优势 +1.11%
Kelly +1.13%
增长率 +0.515%

假设最高赔率为 41.00

博彩公司预测分布
2.23%3.55%3.55%4.32%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
21.0032.0634.0041.004.76%3.12%2.94%2.44%最小值均值中位数最大值

India (客队)

预测 74.00%1.35公平赔率
EV -5.28%
优势 -4.13%
Kelly -18.86%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.28

博彩公司预测分布
73.33%74.00%74.00%76.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.201.261.271.2883.33%79.66%78.74%78.13%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 22.46%4.45公平赔率
EV +3.29%
优势 +0.716%
Kelly +0.915%
增长率 +0.030%

假设最高赔率为 4.60

博彩公司预测分布
20.37%22.46%22.46%23.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.904.134.004.6025.64%24.22%25.00%21.74%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Sri Lanka (主队):3.55%;India (客队):74.00%;平局:22.46%。 对于“Sri Lanka (主队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为28.20。 当时有14家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为41.00,对应+45.38%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (17 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
TAB🎯41.00I 2.44%NM 2.23%EV +45.38%E +1.11%K +1.13%G +0.515%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.92%EV -9.72%E -7.97%K -44.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.85%EV -10.18%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-26 04:02
Unibet🎯34.00I 2.94%NM 2.77%EV +20.56%E +0.605%K +0.623%G +0.128%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.66%EV -5.28%E -4.13%K -18.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -10.18%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 14:44
LiveScore Bet🎯34.00I 2.94%NM 2.77%EV +20.56%E +0.605%K +0.623%G +0.128%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.66%EV -5.28%E -4.13%K -18.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -10.18%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 14:44
Virgin Bet🎯34.00I 2.94%NM 2.77%EV +20.56%E +0.605%K +0.623%G +0.128%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.66%EV -5.28%E -4.13%K -18.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -10.18%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 14:44
Casumo🎯34.00I 2.94%NM 2.77%EV +20.56%E +0.605%K +0.623%G +0.128%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.66%EV -5.28%E -4.13%K -18.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -10.18%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 14:44
BetRivers🎯34.00I 2.94%NM 2.77%EV +20.56%E +0.605%K +0.623%G +0.128%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.66%EV -5.28%E -4.13%K -18.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -10.18%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 14:44
Grosvenor🎯34.00I 2.94%NM 2.77%EV +20.56%E +0.605%K +0.623%G +0.128%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.66%EV -5.28%E -4.13%K -18.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -10.18%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 14:44
Unibet (SE)🎯34.00I 2.94%NM 2.77%EV +20.56%E +0.605%K +0.623%G +0.128%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.66%EV -5.28%E -4.13%K -18.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -10.18%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 14:44
ATG (SE)🎯34.00I 2.94%NM 2.77%EV +20.56%E +0.605%K +0.623%G +0.128%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.66%EV -5.28%E -4.13%K -18.86%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.57%EV -10.18%E -2.54%K -3.39%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-25 14:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯34.00I 2.94%NM 2.75%EV +20.56%E +0.605%K +0.623%G +0.128%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.59%EV -6.02%E -4.74%K -22.30%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.66%EV -11.30%E -2.86%K -3.83%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-25 14:44
TABtouch🎯34.00I 2.94%NM 2.72%EV +20.56%E +0.605%K +0.623%G +0.128%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.52%EV -6.76%E -5.37%K -26.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.75%EV -12.42%E -3.19%K -4.28%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-25 14:44
Paddy Power🎯34.00I 2.94%NM 2.71%EV +20.56%E +0.605%K +0.623%G +0.128%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.81%EV -11.20%E -9.33%K -56.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV +1.05%E +0.233%K +0.300%G +0.003%8.5%2026-08-26 04:02
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯34.00I 2.94%NM 2.71%EV +20.56%E +0.605%K +0.623%G +0.128%1.20I 83.33%NM 76.81%EV -11.20%E -9.33%K -56.01%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV +1.05%E +0.233%K +0.300%G +0.003%8.5%2026-08-26 04:04
Betr (AU)🎯29.00I 3.45%NM 3.16%EV +2.83%E +0.098%K +0.101%G +0.003%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.33%EV -7.50%E -6.00%K -30.01%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -12.42%E -3.19%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-25 11:54
Neds🎯23.00I 4.35%NM 4.07%EV -18.44%E -0.802%K -0.838%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.56%EV -8.24%E -6.65%K -34.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV +3.29%E +0.716%K +0.915%G +0.030%6.7%2026-08-26 04:04
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯23.00I 4.35%NM 4.07%EV -18.44%E -0.802%K -0.838%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.56%EV -8.24%E -6.65%K -34.34%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.37%EV +3.29%E +0.716%K +0.915%G +0.030%6.7%2026-08-26 04:04
Betway🎯21.00I 4.76%NM 4.32%EV -25.54%E -1.22%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 74.34%EV -9.72%E -7.97%K -44.19%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.34%EV -4.57%E -1.07%K -1.40%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-26 04:04
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎46.00I 2.17%NM 2.16%1.26I 79.37%NM 78.76%5.20I 19.23%NM 19.08%0.8%2026-08-26 04:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎46.00I 2.17%NM 2.15%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.18%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.67%1.0%2026-08-26 04:09
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎46.00I 2.17%NM 2.15%1.25I 80.00%NM 79.18%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.67%1.0%2026-08-26 04:09