Language:English
Sri Lanka v India
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sri Lanka (Local)
Prediction 3.90%25.66fair odd
EV +59.77%
Edge +1.46%
Kelly +1.49%
Growth +0.893%
assuming max odds 41.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
2.29%3.90%3.90%5.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
16.0021.1919.0041.006.25%4.72%5.26%2.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
India (Visit)
Prediction 85.10%1.18fair odd
EV -3.84%
Edge -3.40%
Kelly -29.52%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.13
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.18%85.10%85.10%86.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.071.101.101.1393.46%90.65%90.91%88.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 11.00%9.09fair odd
EV +21.04%
Edge +1.91%
Kelly +2.10%
Growth +0.443%
assuming max odds 11.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
8.43%11.00%11.00%11.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
8.008.948.7511.0012.50%11.19%11.43%9.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sri Lanka (Local): 3.90%; India (Visit): 85.10%; Draw: 11.00%. For Sri Lanka (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 25.66. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 41.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +59.77%.
Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.29%EV +59.77%E +1.46%K +1.49%G +0.893% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.00%EV -7.24%E -6.64%K -80.46%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -11.97%E -1.50%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-26 12:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 40.00I 2.50%NM 2.34%EV +55.87%E +1.40%K +1.43%G +0.800% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.95%EV -7.24%E -6.64%K -80.46%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV -11.97%E -1.50%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-27 00:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.46%EV -18.17%E -0.865%K -0.908%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.14%EV -6.39%E -5.81%K -63.91%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.41%EV -0.965%E -0.107%K -0.121%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-27 04:24 |
| Casumo🎯 | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.78%EV -22.06%E -1.10%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.60%EV -3.84%E -3.40%K -29.52%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.62%EV -0.965%E -0.107%K -0.121%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-27 04:24 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.78%EV -22.06%E -1.10%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.60%EV -3.84%E -3.40%K -29.52%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.62%EV -0.965%E -0.107%K -0.121%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-27 04:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.78%EV -22.06%E -1.10%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 84.60%EV -3.84%E -3.40%K -29.52%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.62%EV -0.965%E -0.107%K -0.121%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-27 04:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.65%EV -22.06%E -1.10%K -1.16%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.06%EV -8.09%E -7.49%K -101.16%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.29%EV +10.04%E +1.00%K +1.12%G +0.112% | 7.6% | 2026-08-27 04:24 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.88%EV -25.96%E -1.37%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.69%EV -8.94%E -8.36%K -127.77%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV +21.04%E +1.91%K +2.10%G +0.443% | 7.8% | 2026-08-27 04:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.88%EV -25.96%E -1.37%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.69%EV -8.94%E -8.36%K -127.77%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.43%EV +21.04%E +1.91%K +2.10%G +0.443% | 7.8% | 2026-08-27 04:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.25%EV -29.86%E -1.66%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 83.63%EV -3.84%E -3.40%K -29.52%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.12%EV -6.47%E -0.761%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-27 04:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.17%EV -29.86%E -1.66%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 83.87%EV -5.54%E -4.99%K -50.36%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.95%EV -6.47%E -0.761%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-27 04:24 |
| Betway🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.45%EV -33.75%E -1.99%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 84.25%EV -6.39%E -5.81%K -63.91%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.30%EV -0.965%E -0.107%K -0.121%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-27 04:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.38%EV -33.75%E -1.99%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.10I 90.91%NM 83.18%EV -6.39%E -5.81%K -63.91%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.44%EV -11.97%E -1.50%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-27 04:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.30%EV -33.75%E -1.99%K -2.11%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 83.44%EV -8.09%E -7.49%K -101.16%G +0.000% | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.26%EV -11.97%E -1.50%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-27 04:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.82%EV -37.65%E -2.35%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.21%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.07%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.96%EV -6.47%E -0.761%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-27 04:24 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 16.00I 6.25%NM 5.82%EV -37.65%E -2.35%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.21%EV -4.69%E -4.19%K -39.07%G +0.000% | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.96%EV -6.47%E -0.761%K -0.862%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-27 04:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 25.00I 4.00%NM 3.96% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 89.21% | 14.50I 6.90%NM 6.83% | 1.0% | 2026-08-27 04:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 27.00I 3.70%NM 3.64% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.50% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.86% | 1.8% | 2026-08-27 04:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.77% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.38% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.85% | 1.9% | 2026-08-27 04:24 |