默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

South Africa v Australia

2026-10-27 08:30 UTC — Test Matches

胜负盘

11 家博彩公司 (4 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

South Africa (主队)

预测 43.62%2.29公平赔率
EV -4.04%
优势 -1.84%
Kelly -3.37%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.20

博彩公司预测分布
42.72%43.51%43.62%43.86%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.102.132.102.2047.62%47.01%47.62%45.45%最小值均值中位数最大值

Australia (客队)

预测 44.14%2.27公平赔率
EV -5.11%
优势 -2.38%
Kelly -4.44%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.15

博彩公司预测分布
43.48%44.28%44.14%44.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.102.102.102.1547.62%47.52%47.62%46.51%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 12.25%8.17公平赔率
EV -2.03%
优势 -0.253%
Kelly -0.290%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 8.00

博彩公司预测分布
11.72%12.20%12.25%13.45%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
7.007.367.508.0014.29%13.58%13.33%12.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为:South Africa (主队):43.62%;Australia (客队):44.14%;平局:12.25%。 对于“平局”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为8.17。 没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率:当前最佳赔率为8.00,期望值为-2.03%,未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (11 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
NordicBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.78%EV -4.04%E -1.84%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.77%EV -5.11%E -2.38%K -4.44%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -14.27%E -2.04%K -2.38%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-22 14:45
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.72%EV -4.04%E -1.84%K -3.37%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.75%EV -7.32%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.53%EV -8.15%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-10-22 18:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.62%EV -6.22%E -2.89%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.66%EV -7.32%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -2.03%E -0.253%K -0.290%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-22 14:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.62%EV -6.22%E -2.89%K -5.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.66%EV -7.32%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -2.03%E -0.253%K -0.290%G +0.000%6.6%2026-10-22 14:49
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -8.40%E -4.00%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -7.32%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -8.15%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-22 14:34
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -8.40%E -4.00%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -7.32%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -8.15%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-22 14:35
Betway🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -8.40%E -4.00%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.86%EV -7.32%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.28%EV -8.15%E -1.09%K -1.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-10-22 15:54
Coral🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.40%E -4.00%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.32%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -14.27%E -2.04%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-22 14:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.40%E -4.00%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.32%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -14.27%E -2.04%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-22 14:35
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.40%E -4.00%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.32%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -14.27%E -2.04%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-22 14:38
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -8.40%E -4.00%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.32%E -3.48%K -6.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -14.27%E -2.04%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.5%2026-10-22 14:50
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.12%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.26%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.63%2.3%2026-10-22 20:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.12%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.26%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.63%2.3%2026-10-22 20:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 46.12%2.26I 44.25%NM 43.26%9.20I 10.87%NM 10.63%2.3%2026-10-22 20:25
Matchbook◎1.96I 51.02%NM 44.97%2.06I 48.54%NM 42.79%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.24%13.5%2026-10-22 20:25