The School of Odds
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Pakistan v Sri Lanka

2026-11-10 04:30 UTC — Test Matches

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Pakistan (Local)

Prediction 25.99%3.85fair odd
EV -3.86%
Edge -1.04%
Kelly -1.43%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.45%25.99%25.99%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.603.633.7030.30%27.75%27.59%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sri Lanka (Visit)

Prediction 15.58%6.42fair odd
EV -6.51%
Edge -1.08%
Kelly -1.30%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.41%15.58%15.58%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.505.916.006.0018.18%16.93%16.67%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 58.43%1.71fair odd
EV -3.59%
Edge -2.17%
Kelly -5.52%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.56%58.43%58.43%58.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.601.601.6563.69%62.33%62.31%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Pakistan (Local): 25.99%; Sri Lanka (Visit): 15.58%; Draw: 58.43%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.71. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 1.65, with an expected value of -3.59%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -6.51%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.70%EV -5.92%E -3.68%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-09 11:35
Virgin Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -6.51%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.70%EV -5.92%E -3.68%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-09 11:34
Grosvenor🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -6.51%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.70%EV -5.92%E -3.68%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-09 11:34
LiveScore Bet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -6.51%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.70%EV -5.92%E -3.68%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-09 11:35
ATG (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.54%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -6.51%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.70%EV -5.92%E -3.68%K -9.71%G +0.000%5.8%2026-11-09 11:35
Unibet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV -6.51%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.85%EV -6.51%E -4.07%K -10.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-09 11:35
BetRivers🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -3.86%E -1.04%K -1.43%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.69%EV -6.51%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.85%EV -6.51%E -4.07%K -10.85%G +0.000%6.2%2026-11-09 11:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.71%EV -5.15%E -1.41%K -1.95%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -6.51%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.65%EV -6.51%E -4.07%K -10.85%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-09 11:35
Betr (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.78%EV -6.45%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -6.51%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -7.68%E -4.86%K -13.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-09 23:10
Paddy Power🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -6.45%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -6.51%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.26%E -5.26%K -14.49%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-09 11:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.69%EV -6.45%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.41%EV -6.51%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -8.26%E -5.26%K -14.49%G +0.000%8.1%2026-11-09 11:55
TABtouch🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.45%E -1.79%K -2.48%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.86%EV -9.62%E -1.66%K -2.00%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.59%EV -8.26%E -5.26%K -14.49%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-09 11:35
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.52%EV -9.05%E -2.59%K -3.62%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -6.51%E -1.08%K -1.30%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.01%EV -6.51%E -4.07%K -10.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-09 11:40
Neds🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -10.35%E -3.00%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.56%EV -12.74%E -2.28%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.55%EV -4.17%E -2.54%K -6.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-09 11:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.88%EV -10.35%E -3.00%K -4.23%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.56%EV -12.74%E -2.28%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 56.55%EV -4.17%E -2.54%K -6.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-09 11:55
TAB🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -14.25%E -4.32%K -6.20%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.67%EV -14.30%E -2.60%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 55.56%EV -3.59%E -2.17%K -5.52%G +0.000%9.1%2026-11-09 22:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.64%0.9%2026-11-10 00:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.69%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.52%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.79%1.3%2026-11-10 00:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.69%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.52%1.68I 59.52%NM 58.79%1.3%2026-11-10 00:00

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