赔率学院赔率.net
默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
+ 新建模型所有模型

Ireland v New Zealand

开赛时间： 2026-05-27 10:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

30 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Ireland (主队)

预测 6.53%15.32公平赔率
EV +37.03%
优势 +1.76%
Kelly +1.85%
增长率 +0.686%

假设最高赔率为 21.00

博彩公司预测分布
4.43%6.52%6.62%9.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
10.0013.8413.0021.0010.00%7.22%7.69%4.76%最小值均值中位数最大值

New Zealand (客队)

预测 80.33%1.24公平赔率
EV -1.99%
优势 -1.63%
Kelly -9.06%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.22

博彩公司预测分布
77.01%80.34%79.97%83.15%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.121.171.171.2289.29%85.59%85.47%81.97%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 13.14%7.61公平赔率
EV +5.14%
优势 +0.642%
Kelly +0.734%
增长率 +0.038%

假设最高赔率为 8.00

博彩公司预测分布
11.87%13.15%13.41%15.43%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
6.006.977.008.0016.67%14.35%14.29%12.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Ireland (主队)：6.53%；New Zealand (客队)：80.33%；平局：13.14%。 对于“Ireland (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为15.32。 当时有6家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为21.00，对应+37.03%的正期望值。

有 1 家博彩公司为该盘口提供了不同数量的选项（2 个赛果，而分析采用 3 个赛果）。由于这一差异，应谨慎看待分析结果。

博彩公司赔率 (30 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队平局利润率更新时间
DraftKings🎯21.00I 4.76%NM 4.43%EV +37.03%E +1.76%K +1.85%G +0.686%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.15%EV -10.03%E -8.95%K -83.56%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.42%EV -1.44%E -0.191%K -0.221%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-27 09:40
888sport🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV +10.93%E +0.643%K +0.683%G +0.075%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.55%EV -7.62%E -6.62%K -50.78%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.87%EV +5.14%E +0.642%K +0.734%G +0.038%5.3%2026-05-27 09:49
888sport (SE)🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV +10.93%E +0.643%K +0.683%G +0.075%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.55%EV -7.62%E -6.62%K -50.78%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.87%EV +5.14%E +0.642%K +0.734%G +0.038%5.3%2026-05-27 09:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.58%EV +10.93%E +0.643%K +0.683%G +0.075%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.55%EV -7.62%E -6.62%K -50.78%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.87%EV +5.14%E +0.642%K +0.734%G +0.038%5.3%2026-05-27 09:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.49%EV +10.93%E +0.643%K +0.683%G +0.075%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.17%EV -7.62%E -6.62%K -50.78%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.34%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-27 09:49
TAB🎯17.00I 5.88%NM 5.45%EV +10.93%E +0.643%K +0.683%G +0.075%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.31%EV -8.42%E -7.39%K -60.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-27 09:50
BoyleSports🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.26%EV -2.12%E -0.141%K -0.151%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.31%EV -6.01%E -5.14%K -35.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.42%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-27 09:49
Betr (AU)🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.13%EV -2.12%E -0.141%K -0.151%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.72%EV -8.42%E -7.39%K -60.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-27 09:50
NordicBet🎯15.00I 6.67%NM 6.13%EV -2.12%E -0.141%K -0.151%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 80.72%EV -8.42%E -7.39%K -60.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.15%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-27 09:40
Betway🎯14.00I 7.14%NM 6.58%EV -8.64%E -0.617%K -0.665%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.07%EV -5.21%E -4.41%K -28.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.35%EV -21.15%E -3.52%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-27 09:50
Virgin Bet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -15.17%E -1.17%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -5.21%E -4.41%K -28.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-27 09:40
Casumo🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -15.17%E -1.17%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -5.21%E -4.41%K -28.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-27 09:40
Grosvenor🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -15.17%E -1.17%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -5.21%E -4.41%K -28.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-27 09:40
LiveScore Bet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -15.17%E -1.17%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -5.21%E -4.41%K -28.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-27 09:40
Unibet (SE)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -15.17%E -1.17%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -5.21%E -4.41%K -28.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-27 09:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -15.17%E -1.17%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -5.21%E -4.41%K -28.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-27 09:40
Unibet🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -15.17%E -1.17%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -5.21%E -4.41%K -28.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-27 09:40
ATG (SE)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -15.17%E -1.17%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -5.21%E -4.41%K -28.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-27 09:40
BetRivers🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.21%EV -15.17%E -1.17%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 79.41%EV -5.21%E -4.41%K -28.93%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.39%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-27 09:40
TABtouch🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.16%EV -15.17%E -1.17%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.55%EV -6.01%E -5.14%K -35.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-27 09:40
Paddy Power🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -15.17%E -1.17%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -6.01%E -5.14%K -35.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -14.58%E -2.24%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-27 09:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.09%EV -15.17%E -1.17%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.74%EV -6.01%E -5.14%K -35.36%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -14.58%E -2.24%K -2.65%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-27 09:50
Bet Victor🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 6.85%EV -15.17%E -1.17%K -1.26%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 79.46%EV -10.03%E -8.95%K -83.56%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.69%EV -14.58%E -2.24%K -2.65%G +0.000%12.4%2026-05-27 09:38
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.41%EV -18.43%E -1.47%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.16%EV -3.60%E -3.00%K -18.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -21.15%E -3.52%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-27 09:50
Neds🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.41%EV -18.43%E -1.47%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.16%EV -3.60%E -3.00%K -18.00%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.43%EV -21.15%E -3.52%K -4.23%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-27 09:50
LeoVegas🎯12.50I 8.00%NM 7.29%EV -18.43%E -1.47%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 79.22%EV -7.62%E -6.62%K -50.78%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.50%EV -11.29%E -1.67%K -1.96%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-27 09:40
Marathon Bet🎯11.75I 8.51%NM 7.77%EV -23.33%E -1.99%K -2.17%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 79.37%EV -7.62%E -6.62%K -50.78%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 12.86%EV -6.69%E -0.943%K -1.10%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-27 09:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯11.00I 9.09%NM 8.54%EV -28.22%E -2.57%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.01%EV -1.99%E -1.63%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.45%EV -14.58%E -2.24%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-27 09:50
Pinnacle🎯10.99I 9.10%NM 8.47%EV -28.29%E -2.57%K -2.83%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.53%EV -6.01%E -5.14%K -35.36%G +0.000%7.75I 12.90%NM 12.01%EV +1.85%E +0.239%K +0.274%G +0.005%7.5%2026-05-27 03:20
Coral🎯10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV -34.75%E -3.47%K -3.86%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.14%EV -1.99%E -1.63%K -9.06%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.45%EV -8.01%E -1.14%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-27 09:50
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎19.00I 5.26%NM 5.24%1.21I 82.64%NM 82.31%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.45%0.4%2026-05-27 09:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎21.00I 4.76%NM 4.73%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.84%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.43%0.6%2026-05-27 09:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎19.00I 5.26%NM 5.22%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.68%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.10%0.8%2026-05-27 09:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎19.00I 5.26%NM 5.21%1.20I 83.33%NM 82.43%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.36%1.1%2026-05-27 09:50

其他博彩公司 — 未纳入分析 (1)

这些博彩公司为该盘口提供的选项数量不同，因而未纳入分析。其赔率仅供参考——相关投注的结算规则可能不同，并带来额外的不确定性。

博彩公司选项 1选项 2利润率 ▲更新时间
William Hill🎯13.00I 7.69%NM 7.34%1.03I 97.09%NM 92.66%4.8%2026-05-27 09:40