Language:English
India v Afghanistan
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
India (Local)
Prediction 87.29%1.15fair odd
EV -5.73%
Edge -5.30%
Kelly -71.59%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.08
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
85.75%87.78%87.05%91.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.031.061.061.0897.09%94.37%94.34%92.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Afghanistan (Visit)
Prediction 5.70%17.56fair odd
EV +48.07%
Edge +1.85%
Kelly +1.92%
Growth +0.924%
assuming max odds 26.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
3.65%5.45%5.83%7.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
13.0018.5319.0026.007.69%5.40%5.26%3.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 7.02%14.25fair odd
EV +33.29%
Edge +1.75%
Kelly +1.85%
Growth +0.616%
assuming max odds 19.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
5.00%6.78%7.11%7.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
12.0014.8515.0019.008.33%6.74%6.67%5.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: India (Local): 87.29%; Afghanistan (Visit): 5.70%; Draw: 7.02%. For Afghanistan (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 17.56. 17 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 26.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +48.07%.
1 bookmaker offers a different number of options for this market (2-way vs the 3-way used in analysis). Analysis results should be taken with caution due to this disparity.
Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.19%EV -7.47%E -7.05%K -124.55%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.72%EV +48.07%E +1.85%K +1.92%G +0.924% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +33.29%E +1.75%K +1.85%G +0.616% | 3.4% | 2026-06-06 03:49 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 91.19%EV -7.47%E -7.05%K -124.55%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.72%EV +48.07%E +1.85%K +1.92%G +0.924% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.09%EV +33.29%E +1.75%K +1.85%G +0.616% | 3.4% | 2026-06-06 03:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 91.27%EV -8.35%E -7.95%K -166.92%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.69%EV +48.07%E +1.85%K +1.92%G +0.924% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.04%EV +33.29%E +1.75%K +1.85%G +0.616% | 4.3% | 2026-06-06 03:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.35%EV -9.22%E -8.86%K -230.47%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.65%EV +48.07%E +1.85%K +1.92%G +0.924% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.00%EV +33.29%E +1.75%K +1.85%G +0.616% | 5.3% | 2026-06-06 03:39 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.95%EV -8.35%E -7.95%K -166.92%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.50%EV +19.60%E +0.933%K +0.980%G +0.192% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.56%EV +19.26%E +1.13%K +1.20%G +0.232% | 5.9% | 2026-06-06 03:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.89%EV -8.35%E -7.95%K -166.92%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.44%EV +19.60%E +0.933%K +0.980%G +0.192% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.67%EV -1.78%E -0.127%K -0.137%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-06 03:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.77%EV -7.47%E -7.05%K -124.55%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.95%EV +8.21%E +0.432%K +0.456%G +0.037% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.27%EV +5.23%E +0.349%K +0.374%G +0.020% | 6.3% | 2026-06-05 09:59 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.77%EV -7.47%E -7.05%K -124.55%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.95%EV +8.21%E +0.432%K +0.456%G +0.037% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.27%EV +5.23%E +0.349%K +0.374%G +0.020% | 6.3% | 2026-06-05 09:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.77%EV -7.47%E -7.05%K -124.55%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.95%EV +8.21%E +0.432%K +0.456%G +0.037% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.27%EV +5.23%E +0.349%K +0.374%G +0.020% | 6.3% | 2026-06-05 09:59 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.77%EV -7.47%E -7.05%K -124.55%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.95%EV +8.21%E +0.432%K +0.456%G +0.037% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.27%EV +5.23%E +0.349%K +0.374%G +0.020% | 6.3% | 2026-06-05 10:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.77%EV -7.47%E -7.05%K -124.55%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.95%EV +8.21%E +0.432%K +0.456%G +0.037% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.27%EV +5.23%E +0.349%K +0.374%G +0.020% | 6.3% | 2026-06-05 09:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.77%EV -7.47%E -7.05%K -124.55%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.95%EV +8.21%E +0.432%K +0.456%G +0.037% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.27%EV +5.23%E +0.349%K +0.374%G +0.020% | 6.3% | 2026-06-05 09:59 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.77%EV -7.47%E -7.05%K -124.55%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.95%EV +8.21%E +0.432%K +0.456%G +0.037% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.27%EV +5.23%E +0.349%K +0.374%G +0.020% | 6.3% | 2026-06-05 10:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.77%EV -7.47%E -7.05%K -124.55%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.95%EV +8.21%E +0.432%K +0.456%G +0.037% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.27%EV +5.23%E +0.349%K +0.374%G +0.020% | 6.3% | 2026-06-05 10:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.87%EV -8.35%E -7.95%K -166.92%G +0.000% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 4.91%EV +8.21%E +0.432%K +0.456%G +0.037% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.22%EV +5.23%E +0.349%K +0.374%G +0.020% | 7.2% | 2026-06-05 09:59 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.24%EV -8.35%E -7.95%K -166.92%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.15%EV +2.51%E +0.140%K +0.148%G +0.004% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.62%EV -1.78%E -0.127%K -0.137%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-05 09:59 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 88.43%EV -10.09%E -9.80%K -336.39%G +0.000% | 18.00I 5.56%NM 5.06%EV +2.51%E +0.140%K +0.148%G +0.004% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.51%EV -1.78%E -0.127%K -0.137%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-06-05 09:59 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.26%EV -7.47%E -7.05%K -124.55%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -3.18%E -0.187%K -0.199%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.24%EV +5.23%E +0.349%K +0.374%G +0.020% | 6.9% | 2026-06-06 03:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.32%EV -6.60%E -6.17%K -94.29%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.50%EV -3.18%E -0.187%K -0.199%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -8.80%E -0.677%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-06 03:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.27%EV -6.60%E -6.17%K -94.29%G +0.000% | 16.51I 6.06%NM 5.66%EV -5.97%E -0.362%K -0.385%G +0.000% | 13.19I 7.58%NM 7.08%EV -7.47%E -0.566%K -0.613%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-06 03:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.57%EV -5.73%E -5.30%K -71.59%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV -14.57%E -0.972%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -8.80%E -0.677%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-06 03:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.13%EV -6.60%E -6.17%K -94.29%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.21%EV -14.57%E -0.972%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.66%EV -1.78%E -0.127%K -0.137%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-06 03:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 87.13%EV -6.60%E -6.17%K -94.29%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.21%EV -14.57%E -0.972%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.66%EV -1.78%E -0.127%K -0.137%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-06 03:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.68%EV -6.60%E -6.17%K -94.29%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.18%EV -14.57%E -0.972%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.13%EV -8.80%E -0.677%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-06 03:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 86.51%EV -9.22%E -8.86%K -230.47%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.00%EV -14.57%E -0.972%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.50%EV -15.81%E -1.32%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-06-06 03:48 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.27%EV -7.47%E -7.05%K -124.55%G +0.000% | 14.25I 7.02%NM 6.42%EV -18.85%E -1.32%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 12.50I 8.00%NM 7.32%EV -12.31%E -0.985%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-06-06 03:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.73%E -5.30%K -71.59%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV -25.96%E -2.00%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV -8.80%E -0.677%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-06 03:39 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -5.73%E -5.30%K -71.59%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV -25.96%E -2.00%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.12%EV -8.80%E -0.677%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-06 03:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.86% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.42% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72% | 0.8% | 2026-06-06 03:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 28.00I 3.57%NM 3.54% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72% | 0.9% | 2026-06-06 03:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.74% | 28.00I 3.57%NM 3.54% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.72% | 0.9% | 2026-06-06 03:49 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.64% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.41% | 20.00I 5.00%NM 4.95% | 1.0% | 2026-06-06 03:49 |
Other bookmakers — not included in analysis (1)
These bookmakers offer a different number of options for this market and are excluded from the analysis. Their odds are shown for reference only — the settlement rules of their bets may differ and carry additional uncertainty.
| Bookmaker | Option 1 | Option 2 | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66% | 3.9% | 2026-06-06 03:39 |