语言:简体中文
England v Pakistan
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
England (主队)
预测 86.27%1.16公平赔率
EV -5.10%
优势 -4.64%
Kelly -51.02%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.10
博彩公司预测分布
85.13%86.27%86.27%87.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.061.081.081.1094.34%92.49%92.59%90.91%最小值均值中位数最大值
Pakistan (客队)
预测 6.72%14.89公平赔率
EV +14.17%
优势 +0.833%
Kelly +0.885%
增长率 +0.125%
假设最高赔率为 17.00
博彩公司预测分布
5.56%6.72%6.72%7.19%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
13.0014.5315.0017.007.69%6.88%6.67%5.88%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 7.01%14.26公平赔率
EV +5.20%
优势 +0.346%
Kelly +0.371%
增长率 +0.019%
假设最高赔率为 15.00
博彩公司预测分布
6.23%7.01%7.01%8.59%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
11.0013.8815.0015.009.09%7.20%6.67%6.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：England (主队)：86.27%；Pakistan (客队)：6.72%；平局：7.01%。 对于“Pakistan (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为14.89。 当时有11家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为17.00，对应+14.17%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (17 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 平局 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TAB🎯 | 1.10I 90.91%NM 85.86%EV -5.10%E -4.64%K -51.02%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.56%EV +14.17%E +0.833%K +0.885%G +0.125% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.59%EV -22.86%E -2.08%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-20 09:54 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.83%E -6.32%K -85.34%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.29%EV +0.736%E +0.049%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.29%EV +5.20%E +0.346%K +0.371%G +0.019% | 5.9% | 2026-08-20 07:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.83%E -6.32%K -85.34%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.29%EV +0.736%E +0.049%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.29%EV +5.20%E +0.346%K +0.371%G +0.019% | 5.9% | 2026-08-20 07:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.83%E -6.32%K -85.34%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.29%EV +0.736%E +0.049%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.29%EV +5.20%E +0.346%K +0.371%G +0.019% | 5.9% | 2026-08-20 07:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.83%E -6.32%K -85.34%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.29%EV +0.736%E +0.049%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.29%EV +5.20%E +0.346%K +0.371%G +0.019% | 5.9% | 2026-08-20 07:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.83%E -6.32%K -85.34%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.29%EV +0.736%E +0.049%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.29%EV +5.20%E +0.346%K +0.371%G +0.019% | 5.9% | 2026-08-20 07:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.83%E -6.32%K -85.34%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.29%EV +0.736%E +0.049%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.29%EV +5.20%E +0.346%K +0.371%G +0.019% | 5.9% | 2026-08-20 07:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.83%E -6.32%K -85.34%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.29%EV +0.736%E +0.049%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.29%EV +5.20%E +0.346%K +0.371%G +0.019% | 5.9% | 2026-08-20 07:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 87.41%EV -6.83%E -6.32%K -85.34%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.29%EV +0.736%E +0.049%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.29%EV +5.20%E +0.346%K +0.371%G +0.019% | 5.9% | 2026-08-20 07:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.57%EV -6.83%E -6.32%K -85.34%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV +0.736%E +0.049%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -8.83%E -0.679%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-20 09:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.57%EV -6.83%E -6.32%K -85.34%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV +0.736%E +0.049%K +0.053%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -8.83%E -0.679%K -0.736%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-20 09:54 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -7.69%E -7.19%K -109.86%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.63%EV -5.98%E -0.427%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.63%EV -1.82%E -0.130%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-20 07:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 86.85%EV -8.55%E -8.07%K -142.54%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.58%EV -5.98%E -0.427%K -0.460%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.58%EV -1.82%E -0.130%K -0.140%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-20 07:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.57%EV -6.83%E -6.32%K -85.34%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -12.70%E -0.977%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.23%EV +5.20%E +0.346%K +0.371%G +0.019% | 7.0% | 2026-08-19 23:05 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.13%EV -5.96%E -5.47%K -66.27%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -12.70%E -0.977%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV -15.84%E -1.32%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-20 09:54 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.13%EV -5.96%E -5.47%K -66.27%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -12.70%E -0.977%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV -15.84%E -1.32%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-20 09:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.09I 91.74%NM 85.13%EV -5.96%E -5.47%K -66.27%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -12.70%E -0.977%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 7.73%EV -15.84%E -1.32%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-20 09:54 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 89.05% | 19.00I 5.26%NM 5.25% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.70% | 0.3% | 2026-08-20 09:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.93% | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.38% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.69% | 0.4% | 2026-08-20 09:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.93% | 18.50I 5.41%NM 5.38% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.69% | 0.4% | 2026-08-20 09:54 |