La scuola delle quote

England v New Zealand

Inizio: 2026-06-17 10:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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28 bookmaker (9 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

England (Casa)

Previsione 50.84%1.97quota equa
EV -4.42%
Vantaggio -2.35%
Kelly -5.03%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.88

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
49.34%50.87%50.75%51.89%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.771.841.851.8856.50%54.27%54.05%53.19%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

New Zealand (Trasferta)

Previsione 37.21%2.69quota equa
EV -2.51%
Vantaggio -0.959%
Kelly -1.55%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.62

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.93%37.12%37.42%38.21%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.382.492.502.6242.02%40.18%40.00%38.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 11.95%8.37quota equa
EV -1.40%
Vantaggio -0.169%
Kelly -0.192%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 8.25

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
11.39%12.01%11.83%13.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
7.007.808.008.2514.29%12.82%12.50%12.12%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

3 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (2 esiti rispetto al formato 3 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.

Quote dei bookmaker (28 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Ladbrokes (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.34%EV -4.42%E -2.35%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -8.84%E -3.61%K -6.10%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.79%EV -13.35%E -1.84%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-17 09:50
Neds1.88I 53.19%NM 49.34%EV -4.42%E -2.35%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -8.84%E -3.61%K -6.10%G +0.000%7.25I 13.79%NM 12.79%EV -13.35%E -1.84%K -2.14%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-17 09:50
Casumo1.87I 53.48%NM 50.64%EV -4.93%E -2.64%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -6.98%E -2.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -1.40%E -0.169%K -0.192%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 07:30
Unibet (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.64%EV -4.93%E -2.64%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -6.98%E -2.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -1.40%E -0.169%K -0.192%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 07:30
Virgin Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.64%EV -4.93%E -2.64%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -6.98%E -2.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -1.40%E -0.169%K -0.192%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 07:30
LiveScore Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.64%EV -4.93%E -2.64%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -6.98%E -2.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -1.40%E -0.169%K -0.192%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 07:30
Grosvenor1.87I 53.48%NM 50.64%EV -4.93%E -2.64%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -6.98%E -2.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -1.40%E -0.169%K -0.192%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 07:30
ATG (SE)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.64%EV -4.93%E -2.64%K -5.67%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -6.98%E -2.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.48%EV -1.40%E -0.169%K -0.192%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-17 07:30
888sport1.85I 54.05%NM 50.91%EV -5.95%E -3.21%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.67%EV -6.98%E -2.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.42%EV -1.40%E -0.169%K -0.192%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-14 21:20
Mr Green (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.91%EV -5.95%E -3.21%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.67%EV -6.98%E -2.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.42%EV -1.40%E -0.169%K -0.192%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-14 21:19
888sport (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.91%EV -5.95%E -3.21%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.67%EV -6.98%E -2.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.25I 12.12%NM 11.42%EV -1.40%E -0.169%K -0.192%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-14 21:20
Betway1.85I 54.05%NM 50.73%EV -5.95%E -3.21%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.54%EV -6.98%E -2.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.73%EV -4.38%E -0.548%K -0.626%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-17 09:50
BetRivers1.85I 54.05%NM 50.58%EV -5.95%E -3.21%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.73%EV -7.72%E -3.11%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -4.38%E -0.548%K -0.626%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-17 07:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.58%EV -5.95%E -3.21%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.73%EV -7.72%E -3.11%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -4.38%E -0.548%K -0.626%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-17 07:30
Unibet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.58%EV -5.95%E -3.21%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.73%EV -7.72%E -3.11%K -5.22%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -4.38%E -0.548%K -0.626%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-17 07:30
PointsBet (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.34%EV -5.95%E -3.21%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.01%EV -8.84%E -3.61%K -6.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.64%EV -4.38%E -0.548%K -0.626%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-14 21:20
TAB1.85I 54.05%NM 49.57%EV -5.95%E -3.21%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.21%EV -10.70%E -4.46%K -7.64%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.23%EV -10.36%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-14 21:19
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 51.89%EV -6.96%E -3.81%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.24%EV -2.51%E -0.959%K -1.55%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.87%EV -4.38%E -0.548%K -0.626%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-17 07:20
DraftKings1.83I 54.64%NM 50.98%EV -6.96%E -3.81%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.58%EV -5.12%E -2.01%K -3.30%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.44%EV -10.36%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-17 07:10
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 50.62%EV -6.96%E -3.81%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -8.84%E -3.61%K -6.10%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -4.38%E -0.548%K -0.626%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-17 07:30
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 50.61%EV -6.96%E -3.81%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.04%EV -6.98%E -2.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.35%EV -10.36%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-17 09:50
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -6.96%E -3.81%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -6.98%E -2.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -16.34%E -2.33%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-17 09:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.16%EV -6.96%E -3.81%K -8.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.72%EV -6.98%E -2.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.11%EV -16.34%E -2.33%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-17 09:50
Pinnacle1.82I 54.95%NM 51.33%EV -7.47%E -4.11%K -9.11%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -3.26%E -1.25%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.33I 13.64%NM 12.74%EV -12.39%E -1.69%K -1.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-12 14:10
LeoVegas1.80I 55.56%NM 50.63%EV -8.49%E -4.72%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.97%EV -10.70%E -4.46%K -7.64%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.39%EV -4.38%E -0.548%K -0.626%G +0.000%9.7%2026-06-17 07:30
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 50.09%EV -8.49%E -4.72%K -10.61%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.89%EV -11.44%E -4.81%K -8.29%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.02%EV -10.36%E -1.38%K -1.59%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-17 09:40
Marathon Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 50.99%EV -9.00%E -5.03%K -11.39%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.51%EV -6.98%E -2.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 12.50%EV -12.75%E -1.75%K -2.02%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-17 09:50
Betr (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 51.00%EV -10.01%E -5.66%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.11%EV -6.98%E -2.79%K -4.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.90%EV -16.34%E -2.33%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-14 21:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 51.16%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.68%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.17%0.2%2026-06-17 09:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.95I 51.28%NM 51.16%2.72I 36.76%NM 36.68%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.17%0.2%2026-06-17 09:50
Matchbook1.95I 51.28%NM 51.03%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.13%8.40I 11.90%NM 11.85%0.5%2026-06-17 09:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 50.88%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.02%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.10%0.8%2026-06-17 09:50

Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (3)

Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.

BookmakerOpzione 1Opzione 2Margine ▲Aggiornamento
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%5.1%2026-06-15 07:30
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%5.3%2026-06-14 22:10
GTbets1.61I 62.11%NM 58.61%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.39%6.0%2026-06-15 08:30