La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
England v New Zealand
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
England (Casa)
Previsione 52.30%1.91quota equa
EV -4.81%
Vantaggio -2.64%
Kelly -5.87%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.82
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.20%52.36%52.27%53.40%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.731.791.801.8257.80%55.80%55.56%54.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
New Zealand (Trasferta)
Previsione 33.43%2.99quota equa
EV -3.05%
Vantaggio -1.05%
Kelly -1.61%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.90
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
32.22%33.64%33.36%35.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.632.772.752.9038.02%36.08%36.36%34.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 14.27%7.01quota equa
EV +16.72%
Vantaggio +2.04%
Kelly +2.33%
Crescita +0.389%
ipotizzando la quota massima 8.18
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
11.56%14.01%14.37%15.04%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
6.006.696.508.1816.67%14.96%15.38%12.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
2 bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni per questo mercato (2 esiti rispetto al formato 3 esiti usato nell’analisi). La disparità impone cautela nell’interpretare i risultati.
Quote dei bookmaker (29 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.14%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.30%EV -10.41%E -3.88%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 8.18I 12.22%NM 11.56%EV +16.72%E +2.04%K +2.33%G +0.389% | 5.7% | 2026-06-25 09:40 |
| BoyleSports | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%EV -5.86%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.21%EV -3.72%E -1.29%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.66%EV -0.119%E -0.017%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-25 09:49 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.03%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -8.07%E -2.93%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.53%EV -0.119%E -0.017%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-25 08:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.03%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -8.07%E -2.93%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.53%EV -0.119%E -0.017%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-25 08:50 |
| Grosvenor | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.03%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -8.07%E -2.93%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.53%EV -0.119%E -0.017%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-25 08:49 |
| Casumo | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.03%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -8.07%E -2.93%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.53%EV -0.119%E -0.017%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-25 08:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.03%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -8.07%E -2.93%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.53%EV -0.119%E -0.017%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-25 08:49 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.03%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.44%EV -8.07%E -2.93%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.53%EV -0.119%E -0.017%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-25 08:50 |
| Unibet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.84%EV -5.34%E -2.95%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.75%EV -9.74%E -3.61%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.40%EV -0.119%E -0.017%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-25 08:50 |
| BetRivers | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.84%EV -5.34%E -2.95%K -6.59%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.75%EV -9.74%E -3.61%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.40%EV -0.119%E -0.017%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-25 08:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.98%EV -5.86%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.65%EV -9.74%E -3.61%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV -0.119%E -0.017%K -0.020%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-25 08:50 |
| TABtouch | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.00%EV -6.90%E -3.88%K -8.85%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.28%EV -9.74%E -3.61%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.71%EV -3.69%E -0.546%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-25 08:50 |
| LeoVegas | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.96%EV -8.47%E -4.84%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 34.57%EV -12.08%E -4.59%K -7.41%G +0.000% | 6.75I 14.81%NM 13.47%EV -3.69%E -0.546%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-25 08:50 |
| NordicBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.70%EV -5.86%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -3.05%E -1.05%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -7.25%E -1.12%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-25 09:40 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.82%EV -7.43%E -4.20%K -9.65%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.80%EV -4.72%E -1.66%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.38%EV -7.25%E -1.12%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-25 09:50 |
| TAB | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.40%EV -8.47%E -4.84%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.22%EV -3.05%E -1.05%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.38%EV -7.25%E -1.12%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-25 09:39 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.77%EV -5.86%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -8.07%E -2.93%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.34%EV -7.25%E -1.12%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-25 09:50 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.77%EV -5.86%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -8.07%E -2.93%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.34%EV -7.25%E -1.12%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-25 09:50 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.77%EV -5.86%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -8.07%E -2.93%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.34%EV -7.25%E -1.12%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-25 09:50 |
| DraftKings | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.77%EV -5.86%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -8.07%E -2.93%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.34%EV -7.25%E -1.12%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-25 09:50 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.08%EV -9.52%E -5.50%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.79%EV -6.39%E -2.28%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -7.25%E -1.12%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-25 09:50 |
| 888sport | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.46%EV -5.86%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.79%EV -3.72%E -1.29%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.75%EV -8.68%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-25 09:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.46%EV -5.86%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.79%EV -3.72%E -1.29%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.75%EV -8.68%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-25 09:39 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.46%EV -5.86%E -3.25%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.79%EV -3.72%E -1.29%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 6.40I 15.63%NM 14.75%EV -8.68%E -1.36%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-25 09:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.20%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -8.07%E -2.93%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -10.82%E -1.73%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-25 09:50 |
| Neds | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.20%EV -4.81%E -2.64%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.89%EV -8.07%E -2.93%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.91%EV -10.82%E -1.73%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-25 09:50 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.49%EV -8.47%E -4.84%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.81%EV -6.39%E -2.28%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.70%EV -10.82%E -1.73%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-06-25 09:50 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.12%EV -8.47%E -4.84%K -11.30%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 33.29%EV -8.40%E -3.07%K -4.83%G +0.000% | 6.25I 16.00%NM 14.59%EV -10.82%E -1.73%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-06-25 09:40 |
| Bet Victor | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.15%EV -9.52%E -5.50%K -13.04%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.81%EV -8.07%E -2.93%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.04%EV -14.39%E -2.40%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-06-25 09:39 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (4)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.77% | 7.40I 13.51%NM 13.50% | 0.1% | 2026-06-25 09:50 |
| Matchbook | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.95% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.19% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.86% | 0.2% | 2026-06-25 09:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.53% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.64% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.83% | 0.4% | 2026-06-25 09:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.86I 53.76%NM 53.53% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.64% | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.83% | 0.4% | 2026-06-25 09:50 |
Altri bookmaker — esclusi dall’analisi (2)
Questi bookmaker offrono un numero diverso di opzioni e sono esclusi dall’analisi. Le loro quote sono mostrate solo come riferimento: le regole di regolamento possono differire e comportare ulteriore incertezza.
| Bookmaker | Opzione 1 | Opzione 2 | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GTbets | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75% | 5.7% | 2026-06-25 09:50 |
| William Hill | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75% | 5.7% | 2026-06-25 08:50 |