Language:English
England v New Zealand
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
England (Local)
Prediction 88.21%1.13fair odd
EV -6.50%
Edge -6.13%
Kelly -108.31%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.06
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
85.83%88.21%88.21%91.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.011.041.041.0699.01%96.46%96.15%94.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New Zealand (Visit)
Prediction 9.24%10.82fair odd
EV +20.14%
Edge +1.55%
Kelly +1.68%
Growth +0.338%
assuming max odds 13.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
7.35%9.24%9.24%9.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
9.0010.8311.0013.0011.11%9.23%9.09%7.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 2.55%39.22fair odd
EV +221.26%
Edge +1.76%
Kelly +1.77%
Growth +3.92%
assuming max odds 126.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
0.74%2.55%2.55%4.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
21.00105.17111.00126.004.76%0.95%0.90%0.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: England (Local): 88.21%; New Zealand (Visit): 9.24%; Draw: 2.55%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 39.22. 17 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 126.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +221.26%.
Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 91.89%EV -8.26%E -7.94%K -206.57%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.35%EV +20.14%E +1.55%K +1.68%G +0.338% | 126.00I 0.79%NM 0.76%EV +221.26%E +1.76%K +1.77%G +3.92% | 4.6% | 2026-06-06 16:39 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.18%EV -10.03%E -9.83%K -501.35%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.09%EV +6.28%E +0.546%K +0.598%G +0.038% | 126.00I 0.79%NM 0.74%EV +221.26%E +1.76%K +1.77%G +3.92% | 7.5% | 2026-06-06 16:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 91.18%EV -10.03%E -9.83%K -501.35%G +0.000% | 11.50I 8.70%NM 8.09%EV +6.28%E +0.546%K +0.598%G +0.038% | 126.00I 0.79%NM 0.74%EV +221.26%E +1.76%K +1.77%G +3.92% | 7.5% | 2026-06-06 16:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.59%EV -8.26%E -7.94%K -206.57%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +1.66%E +0.150%K +0.166%G +0.003% | 111.00I 0.90%NM 0.85%EV +183.02%E +1.65%K +1.66%G +3.05% | 6.1% | 2026-06-06 16:39 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.59%EV -8.26%E -7.94%K -206.57%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +1.66%E +0.150%K +0.166%G +0.003% | 111.00I 0.90%NM 0.85%EV +183.02%E +1.65%K +1.66%G +3.05% | 6.1% | 2026-06-06 16:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.59%EV -8.26%E -7.94%K -206.57%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +1.66%E +0.150%K +0.166%G +0.003% | 111.00I 0.90%NM 0.85%EV +183.02%E +1.65%K +1.66%G +3.05% | 6.1% | 2026-06-06 16:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.59%EV -8.26%E -7.94%K -206.57%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +1.66%E +0.150%K +0.166%G +0.003% | 111.00I 0.90%NM 0.85%EV +183.02%E +1.65%K +1.66%G +3.05% | 6.1% | 2026-06-06 16:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.59%EV -8.26%E -7.94%K -206.57%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +1.66%E +0.150%K +0.166%G +0.003% | 111.00I 0.90%NM 0.85%EV +183.02%E +1.65%K +1.66%G +3.05% | 6.1% | 2026-06-06 16:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.59%EV -8.26%E -7.94%K -206.57%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +1.66%E +0.150%K +0.166%G +0.003% | 111.00I 0.90%NM 0.85%EV +183.02%E +1.65%K +1.66%G +3.05% | 6.1% | 2026-06-06 16:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.59%EV -8.26%E -7.94%K -206.57%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +1.66%E +0.150%K +0.166%G +0.003% | 111.00I 0.90%NM 0.85%EV +183.02%E +1.65%K +1.66%G +3.05% | 6.1% | 2026-06-06 16:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 90.59%EV -8.26%E -7.94%K -206.57%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.56%EV +1.66%E +0.150%K +0.166%G +0.003% | 111.00I 0.90%NM 0.85%EV +183.02%E +1.65%K +1.66%G +3.05% | 6.1% | 2026-06-06 16:39 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.03I 97.09%NM 90.67%EV -9.14%E -8.88%K -304.83%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.49%EV +1.66%E +0.150%K +0.166%G +0.003% | 111.00I 0.90%NM 0.84%EV +183.02%E +1.65%K +1.66%G +3.05% | 7.1% | 2026-06-06 16:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 90.39%EV -10.03%E -9.83%K -501.35%G +0.000% | 10.50I 9.52%NM 8.78%EV -2.97%E -0.282%K -0.312%G +0.000% | 111.00I 0.90%NM 0.83%EV +183.02%E +1.65%K +1.66%G +3.05% | 8.5% | 2026-06-06 16:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.57%EV -6.50%E -6.13%K -108.31%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV -7.59%E -0.759%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 101.00I 0.99%NM 0.94%EV +157.52%E +1.56%K +1.58%G +2.48% | 5.3% | 2026-06-07 09:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 89.21%EV -7.38%E -7.03%K -147.61%G +0.000% | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.86%EV -12.21%E -1.28%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 101.00I 0.99%NM 0.93%EV +157.52%E +1.56%K +1.58%G +2.48% | 6.8% | 2026-06-07 09:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 90.01%EV -10.91%E -10.80%K -1090.90%G +0.000% | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.09%EV -7.59%E -0.759%K -0.843%G +0.000% | 101.00I 0.99%NM 0.90%EV +157.52%E +1.56%K +1.58%G +2.48% | 10.0% | 2026-06-06 16:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.05I 95.24%NM 90.22%EV -7.38%E -7.03%K -147.61%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.61%EV +1.66%E +0.150%K +0.166%G +0.003% | 81.00I 1.23%NM 1.17%EV +106.53%E +1.32%K +1.33%G +1.42% | 5.6% | 2026-06-07 00:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.04I 96.15%NM 85.83%EV -8.26%E -7.94%K -206.57%G +0.000% | 9.00I 11.11%NM 9.92%EV -16.83%E -1.87%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.25%EV -46.46%E -2.21%K -2.32%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-06-06 16:39 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.60% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.24% | 620.00I 0.16%NM 0.16% | 1.1% | 2026-06-07 09:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.60% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.24% | 620.00I 0.16%NM 0.16% | 1.1% | 2026-06-07 09:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.08I 92.59%NM 91.57% | 12.00I 8.33%NM 8.24% | 510.00I 0.20%NM 0.19% | 1.1% | 2026-06-07 09:40 |