语言:简体中文
England v New Zealand
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
England (主队)
预测 10.01%9.99公平赔率
EV +10.10%
优势 +0.919%
Kelly +1.01%
增长率 +0.102%
假设最高赔率为 11.00
博彩公司预测分布
8.63%10.01%10.01%11.72%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
8.009.539.8811.0012.50%10.50%10.13%9.09%最小值均值中位数最大值
New Zealand (客队)
预测 86.92%1.15公平赔率
EV -5.26%
优势 -4.82%
Kelly -58.41%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.09
博彩公司预测分布
85.09%86.92%86.92%89.51%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.031.061.061.0997.09%94.04%93.90%91.74%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 3.07%32.57公平赔率
EV +56.56%
优势 +1.11%
Kelly +1.13%
增长率 +0.640%
假设最高赔率为 51.00
博彩公司预测分布
1.82%3.07%3.07%4.30%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
21.0046.5651.0051.004.76%2.15%1.96%1.96%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：England (主队)：10.01%；New Zealand (客队)：86.92%；平局：3.07%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为32.57。 当时有17家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为51.00，对应+56.56%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (18 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power🎯 | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.63%EV +10.10%E +0.919%K +1.01%G +0.102% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 89.51%EV -7.86%E -7.42%K -131.07%G +0.000% | 51.00I 1.96%NM 1.86%EV +56.56%E +1.11%K +1.13%G +0.640% | 5.4% | 2026-06-29 05:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV +0.095%E +0.009%K +0.011%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.65%EV -6.99%E -6.54%K -99.93%G +0.000% | 51.00I 1.96%NM 1.86%EV +56.56%E +1.11%K +1.13%G +0.640% | 5.4% | 2026-06-28 17:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV +0.095%E +0.009%K +0.011%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.65%EV -6.99%E -6.54%K -99.93%G +0.000% | 51.00I 1.96%NM 1.86%EV +56.56%E +1.11%K +1.13%G +0.640% | 5.4% | 2026-06-28 17:39 |
| Casumo🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV +0.095%E +0.009%K +0.011%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.65%EV -6.99%E -6.54%K -99.93%G +0.000% | 51.00I 1.96%NM 1.86%EV +56.56%E +1.11%K +1.13%G +0.640% | 5.4% | 2026-06-28 17:39 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV +0.095%E +0.009%K +0.011%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.65%EV -6.99%E -6.54%K -99.93%G +0.000% | 51.00I 1.96%NM 1.86%EV +56.56%E +1.11%K +1.13%G +0.640% | 5.4% | 2026-06-28 17:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV +0.095%E +0.009%K +0.011%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.65%EV -6.99%E -6.54%K -99.93%G +0.000% | 51.00I 1.96%NM 1.86%EV +56.56%E +1.11%K +1.13%G +0.640% | 5.4% | 2026-06-28 17:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.49%EV +0.095%E +0.009%K +0.011%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 88.65%EV -6.99%E -6.54%K -99.93%G +0.000% | 51.00I 1.96%NM 1.86%EV +56.56%E +1.11%K +1.13%G +0.640% | 5.4% | 2026-06-28 17:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV +0.095%E +0.009%K +0.011%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.75%EV -7.86%E -7.42%K -131.07%G +0.000% | 51.00I 1.96%NM 1.84%EV +56.56%E +1.11%K +1.13%G +0.640% | 6.3% | 2026-06-28 17:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 10.00I 10.00%NM 9.41%EV +0.095%E +0.009%K +0.011%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.75%EV -7.86%E -7.42%K -131.07%G +0.000% | 51.00I 1.96%NM 1.84%EV +56.56%E +1.11%K +1.13%G +0.640% | 6.3% | 2026-06-28 17:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.85%EV -4.91%E -0.517%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 88.31%EV -7.86%E -7.42%K -131.07%G +0.000% | 51.00I 1.96%NM 1.84%EV +56.56%E +1.11%K +1.13%G +0.640% | 6.8% | 2026-06-28 17:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.58%EV -19.92%E -2.49%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.07I 93.46%NM 86.60%EV -6.99%E -6.54%K -99.93%G +0.000% | 51.00I 1.96%NM 1.82%EV +56.56%E +1.11%K +1.13%G +0.640% | 7.9% | 2026-06-29 09:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 9.50I 10.53%NM 9.75%EV -4.91%E -0.517%K -0.578%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.23%EV -8.73%E -8.32%K -174.67%G +0.000% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 2.01%EV +41.21%E +0.896%K +0.916%G +0.377% | 7.9% | 2026-06-28 17:39 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 9.00I 11.11%NM 10.07%EV -9.91%E -1.10%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 1.03I 97.09%NM 87.96%EV -10.47%E -10.17%K -349.06%G +0.000% | 46.00I 2.17%NM 1.97%EV +41.21%E +0.896%K +0.916%G +0.377% | 10.4% | 2026-06-28 17:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 8.00I 12.50%NM 11.72%EV -19.92%E -2.49%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 1.09I 91.74%NM 86.00%EV -5.26%E -4.82%K -58.41%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.29%EV +25.86%E +0.631%K +0.647%G +0.167% | 6.7% | 2026-06-29 09:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 11.02%EV -14.92%E -1.76%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.08I 92.59%NM 86.70%EV -6.13%E -5.67%K -76.57%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.28%EV +25.86%E +0.631%K +0.647%G +0.167% | 6.8% | 2026-06-28 20:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.50%EV -2.41%E -0.247%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.24%EV -8.73%E -8.32%K -174.67%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.26%EV +25.86%E +0.631%K +0.647%G +0.167% | 7.9% | 2026-06-29 05:09 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 9.75I 10.26%NM 9.50%EV -2.41%E -0.247%K -0.275%G +0.000% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 88.24%EV -8.73%E -8.32%K -174.67%G +0.000% | 41.00I 2.44%NM 2.26%EV +25.86%E +0.631%K +0.647%G +0.167% | 7.9% | 2026-06-29 05:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 8.50I 11.76%NM 10.61%EV -14.92%E -1.76%K -1.99%G +0.000% | 1.06I 94.34%NM 85.09%EV -7.86%E -7.42%K -131.07%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.30%EV -35.53%E -1.69%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-06-29 05:09 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.46% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.73% | 55.00I 1.82%NM 1.81% | 0.6% | 2026-06-29 09:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.46% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 88.73% | 55.00I 1.82%NM 1.81% | 0.6% | 2026-06-29 09:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 10.50I 9.52%NM 9.40% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 88.95% | 60.00I 1.67%NM 1.65% | 1.3% | 2026-06-29 09:50 |