The School of Odds
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Bangladesh v West Indies

Kickoff: 2026-10-28 03:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bangladesh (Local)

Prediction 52.17%1.92fair odd
EV -3.49%
Edge -1.89%
Kelly -4.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.04%52.38%52.23%56.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.651.751.771.8560.61%57.09%56.50%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

West Indies (Visit)

Prediction 29.33%3.41fair odd
EV +7.07%
Edge +1.94%
Kelly +2.67%
Growth +0.189%

assuming max odds 3.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.72%29.52%29.31%33.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.753.323.203.6536.36%30.15%31.25%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 18.50%5.41fair odd
EV +11.18%
Edge +1.86%
Kelly +2.23%
Growth +0.249%

assuming max odds 6.01

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.75%18.10%18.45%21.04%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.405.045.006.0122.73%19.84%20.00%16.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bangladesh (Local): 52.17%; West Indies (Visit): 29.33%; Draw: 18.50%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.41. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.01, corresponding to a positive expected value of +11.18%.

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 52.89%EV -6.62%E -3.70%K -8.38%G +0.000%3.02I 33.11%NM 31.35%EV -11.41%E -3.78%K -5.65%G +0.000%6.01I 16.64%NM 15.75%EV +11.18%E +1.86%K +2.23%G +0.249%5.6%2026-10-27 19:05
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.46%EV -6.10%E -3.39%K -7.63%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.03%EV -19.33%E -7.03%K -11.05%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.51%EV +1.75%E +0.317%K +0.388%G +0.007%10.1%2026-10-26 12:30
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.17%EV -12.36%E -7.36%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV +7.07%E +1.94%K +2.67%G +0.189%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.88%E -0.548%K -0.678%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-28 03:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.17%EV -12.36%E -7.36%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV +7.07%E +1.94%K +2.67%G +0.189%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.88%E -0.548%K -0.678%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-28 03:20
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.17%EV -12.36%E -7.36%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV +7.07%E +1.94%K +2.67%G +0.189%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.88%E -0.548%K -0.678%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-28 03:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.17%EV -12.36%E -7.36%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV +7.07%E +1.94%K +2.67%G +0.189%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.88%E -0.548%K -0.678%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-28 03:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.17%EV -12.36%E -7.36%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV +7.07%E +1.94%K +2.67%G +0.189%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.88%E -0.548%K -0.678%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-28 03:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.17%EV -12.36%E -7.36%K -18.18%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.85%EV +7.07%E +1.94%K +2.67%G +0.189%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -2.88%E -0.548%K -0.678%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-28 03:20
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.32%EV -12.88%E -7.71%K -19.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV +7.07%E +1.94%K +2.67%G +0.189%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -2.88%E -0.548%K -0.678%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-28 03:20
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.32%EV -12.88%E -7.71%K -19.23%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.77%EV +7.07%E +1.94%K +2.67%G +0.189%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.91%EV -2.88%E -0.548%K -0.678%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-28 03:20
NordicBet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -6.10%E -3.39%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.15%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.22%EV -3.80%E -0.732%K -0.906%G +0.000%5.6%2026-10-27 20:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.17%EV -13.40%E -8.07%K -20.31%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV +5.61%E +1.56%K +2.16%G +0.121%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.93%EV -3.80%E -0.732%K -0.906%G +0.000%7.2%2026-10-28 03:20
TABtouch🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.12%EV -13.93%E -8.44%K -21.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.72%EV +5.61%E +1.56%K +2.16%G +0.121%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.16%EV -5.65%E -1.11%K -1.38%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-28 03:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.10%E -3.39%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -7.50%E -1.50%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-27 18:24
Coral🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.25%EV -6.10%E -3.39%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.94%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.81%EV -7.50%E -1.50%K -1.88%G +0.000%6.3%2026-10-27 18:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 52.43%EV -7.67%E -4.33%K -9.96%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.00%EV -6.13%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.56%EV -7.50%E -1.50%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-27 20:34
888sport🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -8.71%E -4.98%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -7.50%E -1.50%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-27 20:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -8.71%E -4.98%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -7.50%E -1.50%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-27 20:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -8.71%E -4.98%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -7.50%E -1.50%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-27 20:35
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 52.23%EV -8.71%E -4.98%K -11.61%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.49%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.32%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.28%EV -7.50%E -1.50%K -1.88%G +0.000%9.4%2026-10-27 20:35
DraftKings🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.05%EV -6.10%E -3.39%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.83%EV -4.66%E -1.43%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.12%EV -9.35%E -1.91%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.7%2026-10-27 20:35
betano_uk🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -6.10%E -3.39%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -6.13%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -11.20%E -2.33%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-28 03:23
Bet Victor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -6.10%E -3.39%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.03%EV -6.13%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.35%EV -11.20%E -2.33%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-10-28 03:20
Neds🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.86%EV -4.54%E -2.48%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -7.60%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -12.13%E -2.55%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-28 03:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.86%EV -4.54%E -2.48%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.55%EV -7.60%E -2.41%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.59%EV -12.13%E -2.55%K -3.23%G +0.000%7.4%2026-10-28 03:20
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.03%EV -6.10%E -3.39%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.63%EV -9.06%E -2.92%K -4.32%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.34%EV -12.13%E -2.55%K -3.23%G +0.000%8.9%2026-10-28 03:20
Paddy Power🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -6.10%E -3.39%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.13%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -16.75%E -3.72%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-28 03:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.96%EV -6.10%E -3.39%K -7.63%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.13%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.38%EV -16.75%E -3.72%K -4.79%G +0.000%9.0%2026-10-28 03:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.04%EV -3.49%E -1.89%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.93%EV -6.13%E -1.92%K -2.79%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.04%EV -18.60%E -4.23%K -5.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-10-27 20:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.41%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.47%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.12%0.7%2026-10-28 03:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.73I 57.80%NM 57.22%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.71%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.07%1.0%2026-10-28 03:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.72I 58.14%NM 57.55%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.38%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.07%1.0%2026-10-28 03:25
Matchbook◎1.65I 60.61%NM 56.73%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.13%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.14%6.8%2026-10-28 03:23