The School of Odds
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Bangladesh v West Indies

Kickoff: 2026-11-08 03:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bangladesh (Local)

Prediction 40.88%2.45fair odd
EV -5.99%
Edge -2.60%
Kelly -4.60%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.15%40.88%40.88%41.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.292.302.3044.44%43.75%43.48%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

West Indies (Visit)

Prediction 25.31%3.95fair odd
EV -5.09%
Edge -1.36%
Kelly -1.85%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.95%25.31%25.31%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.693.753.7527.78%27.09%26.67%26.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 33.81%2.96fair odd
EV -5.32%
Edge -1.90%
Kelly -2.95%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.09%33.81%33.81%34.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.702.762.752.8037.04%36.29%36.36%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bangladesh (Local): 40.88%; West Indies (Visit): 25.31%; Draw: 33.81%. For West Indies (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.95. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.75, with an expected value of -5.09%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.99%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -5.09%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-07 20:15
BetRivers🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.99%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -5.09%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-07 20:14
LiveScore Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.99%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -5.09%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-07 20:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.99%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -5.09%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-07 20:15
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.99%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -5.09%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-07 20:14
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.99%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -5.09%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-07 20:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.99%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -5.09%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-07 20:14
ATG (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.82%EV -5.99%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.04%EV -5.09%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.5%2026-11-07 20:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.99%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -8.89%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.32%E -1.90%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-08 03:25
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -5.99%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.97%EV -8.89%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.39%EV -5.32%E -1.90%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.0%2026-11-08 03:20
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -5.99%E -2.60%K -4.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -8.89%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -8.70%E -3.22%K -5.12%G +0.000%8.3%2026-11-08 03:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.03%EV -6.80%E -2.98%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.95%EV -5.09%E -1.36%K -1.85%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.02%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.9%2026-11-07 20:14
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.64%EV -6.80%E -2.98%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -6.36%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.32%EV -8.70%E -3.22%K -5.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-07 20:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.22%EV -8.03%E -3.57%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.06%EV -6.36%E -1.72%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.72%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.8%2026-11-07 13:55
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -8.03%E -3.57%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -8.89%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -5.32%E -1.90%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-08 03:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.18%EV -8.03%E -3.57%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.74%EV -8.89%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.09%EV -5.32%E -1.90%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-08 03:20
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -8.03%E -3.57%K -6.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.58%EV -8.89%E -2.47%K -3.42%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.49%EV -7.01%E -2.55%K -4.01%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-08 03:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%0.8%2026-11-08 03:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.38I 42.02%NM 41.69%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.77%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.53%0.8%2026-11-08 03:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.36I 42.37%NM 41.90%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.68%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.42%1.1%2026-11-08 03:25

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