语言:简体中文
Australia v Bangladesh
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Australia (主队)
预测 27.48%3.64公平赔率
EV -1.08%
优势 -0.301%
Kelly -0.416%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.60
博彩公司预测分布
25.99%27.48%27.61%28.27%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.253.403.403.6030.77%29.44%29.41%27.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
Bangladesh (客队)
预测 65.65%1.52公平赔率
EV -4.81%
优势 -3.32%
Kelly -10.69%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.45
博彩公司预测分布
63.37%65.65%65.65%66.82%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.401.431.431.4571.43%70.07%69.93%68.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 6.88%14.54公平赔率
EV +16.90%
优势 +0.994%
Kelly +1.06%
增长率 +0.178%
假设最高赔率为 17.00
博彩公司预测分布
5.47%6.88%6.74%8.35%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
11.0013.6114.0017.009.09%7.35%7.14%5.88%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Australia (主队)：27.48%；Bangladesh (客队)：65.65%；平局：6.88%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为14.54。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为17.00，对应+16.90%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (18 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TAB🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.16%EV -9.33%E -2.83%K -4.05%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.37%EV -8.09%E -5.78%K -20.24%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.47%EV +16.90%E +0.994%K +1.06%G +0.178% | 7.6% | 2026-08-16 00:15 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.58%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.51%EV -5.47%E -3.80%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.74%EV -3.73%E -0.267%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 08:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.58%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.51%EV -5.47%E -3.80%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.74%EV -3.73%E -0.267%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 08:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.75%EV -6.58%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.51%EV -5.47%E -3.80%K -12.43%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.74%EV -3.73%E -0.267%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 12:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -6.58%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.67%EV -6.13%E -4.28%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.71%EV -3.73%E -0.267%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 08:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -6.58%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.67%EV -6.13%E -4.28%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.71%EV -3.73%E -0.267%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 08:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -6.58%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.67%EV -6.13%E -4.28%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.71%EV -3.73%E -0.267%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 08:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -6.58%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.67%EV -6.13%E -4.28%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.71%EV -3.73%E -0.267%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 08:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -6.58%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.67%EV -6.13%E -4.28%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.71%EV -3.73%E -0.267%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 08:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -6.58%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.67%EV -6.13%E -4.28%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.71%EV -3.73%E -0.267%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-15 08:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.40%EV -6.13%E -4.28%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.68%EV -3.73%E -0.267%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 08:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.66%EV -7.95%E -2.37%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 65.72%EV -7.44%E -5.28%K -18.14%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.62%EV -3.73%E -0.267%K -0.287%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 08:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -1.08%E -0.301%K -0.416%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.82%EV -8.09%E -5.78%K -20.24%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.20%EV -10.61%E -0.816%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 12:10 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.99%EV -1.08%E -0.301%K -0.416%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.82%EV -8.09%E -5.78%K -20.24%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.20%EV -10.61%E -0.816%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 12:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.48%EV -6.58%E -1.93%K -2.74%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.33%EV -6.13%E -4.28%K -14.25%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.19%EV -10.61%E -0.816%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 08:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.06%EV -5.20%E -1.51%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.75%EV -6.78%E -4.78%K -16.15%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.18%EV -10.61%E -0.816%K -0.884%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-08-15 08:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -10.70%E -3.29%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.37%EV -4.81%E -3.32%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV -24.36%E -2.21%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 12:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.27%EV -10.70%E -3.29%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.37%EV -4.81%E -3.32%K -10.69%G +0.000% | 11.00I 9.09%NM 8.35%EV -24.36%E -2.21%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-08-15 12:09 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.70% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.66% | 17.50I 5.71%NM 5.64% | 1.2% | 2026-08-16 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.60% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.35% | 19.50I 5.13%NM 5.05% | 1.6% | 2026-08-16 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.60% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 68.35% | 19.50I 5.13%NM 5.05% | 1.6% | 2026-08-16 00:25 |