預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Australia v Bangladesh

開賽時間: 2026-08-14 00:30 UTC

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

18 家博彩公司 (3 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Australia (主隊)

預測 66.97%1.49公平賠率
EV -2.89%
優勢 -1.99%
Kelly -6.43%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.45

博彩公司預測分布
64.44%66.97%67.78%68.57%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.361.391.381.4573.53%71.71%72.46%68.97%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Bangladesh (客隊)

預測 29.60%3.38公平賠率
EV -3.81%
優勢 -1.17%
Kelly -1.69%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 3.25

博彩公司預測分布
28.69%29.60%29.02%32.41%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.903.143.233.2534.48%31.86%31.01%30.77%最小值平均值中位數最大值

和局

預測 3.43%29.13公平賠率
EV +16.71%
優勢 +0.491%
Kelly +0.506%
成長率 +0.085%

假設最高賠率為 34.00

博彩公司預測分布
2.73%3.43%3.20%4.33%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
21.0031.8334.0034.004.76%3.14%2.94%2.94%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Australia (主隊):66.97%;Bangladesh (客隊):29.60%;和局:3.43%。 對於「和局」,該估計相當於29.13的公平十進位賠率。 當時有13家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為34.00,對應+16.71%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (18 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊和局 ▼利潤率更新時間
Paddy Power🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -3.56%E -2.47%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.83%EV -8.25%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.81%EV +16.71%E +0.491%K +0.506%G +0.085%4.6%2026-08-14 00:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -3.56%E -2.47%K -8.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.83%EV -8.25%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.81%EV +16.71%E +0.491%K +0.506%G +0.085%4.6%2026-08-14 00:24
Unibet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.25%EV -7.58%E -5.49%K -19.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -3.81%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.77%EV +16.71%E +0.491%K +0.506%G +0.085%6.2%2026-08-13 08:24
BetRivers🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.25%EV -7.58%E -5.49%K -19.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -3.81%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.77%EV +16.71%E +0.491%K +0.506%G +0.085%6.2%2026-08-13 08:25
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.25%EV -7.58%E -5.49%K -19.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -3.81%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.77%EV +16.71%E +0.491%K +0.506%G +0.085%6.2%2026-08-13 08:25
Grosvenor🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.25%EV -7.58%E -5.49%K -19.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -3.81%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.77%EV +16.71%E +0.491%K +0.506%G +0.085%6.2%2026-08-13 08:25
Casumo🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.25%EV -7.58%E -5.49%K -19.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -3.81%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.77%EV +16.71%E +0.491%K +0.506%G +0.085%6.2%2026-08-13 08:25
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.25%EV -7.58%E -5.49%K -19.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -3.81%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.77%EV +16.71%E +0.491%K +0.506%G +0.085%6.2%2026-08-13 08:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.25%EV -7.58%E -5.49%K -19.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -3.81%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.77%EV +16.71%E +0.491%K +0.506%G +0.085%6.2%2026-08-13 08:25
ATG (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.25%EV -7.58%E -5.49%K -19.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -3.81%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.77%EV +16.71%E +0.491%K +0.506%G +0.085%6.2%2026-08-13 08:25
TAB🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.82%EV -2.89%E -1.99%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -14.17%E -4.89%K -7.46%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.76%EV +16.71%E +0.491%K +0.506%G +0.085%6.4%2026-08-14 00:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.57%EV -8.92%E -6.56%K -24.78%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -3.81%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.74%EV +16.71%E +0.491%K +0.506%G +0.085%7.2%2026-08-13 08:25
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.26%EV -8.92%E -6.56%K -24.78%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -5.29%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000%34.00I 2.94%NM 2.73%EV +16.71%E +0.491%K +0.506%G +0.085%7.7%2026-08-13 08:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 67.78%EV -8.25%E -6.02%K -22.30%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -5.29%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.20%EV -0.456%E -0.016%K -0.016%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-13 20:05
Betr (AU)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.66%EV -8.92%E -6.56%K -24.78%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -11.21%E -3.74%K -5.61%G +0.000%29.00I 3.45%NM 3.13%EV -0.456%E -0.016%K -0.016%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-13 08:10
Neds🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.44%EV -3.56%E -2.47%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -14.17%E -4.89%K -7.46%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.57%EV -10.75%E -0.414%K -0.430%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-13 08:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 64.44%EV -3.56%E -2.47%K -8.10%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -14.17%E -4.89%K -7.46%G +0.000%26.00I 3.85%NM 3.57%EV -10.75%E -0.414%K -0.430%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-13 08:10
Betway🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.88%EV -6.24%E -4.46%K -15.60%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -12.69%E -4.30%K -6.51%G +0.000%21.00I 4.76%NM 4.33%EV -27.92%E -1.33%K -1.40%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-13 08:05
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主隊客隊和局利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.41I 70.92%NM 69.99%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41%38.00I 2.63%NM 2.60%1.3%2026-08-14 00:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.41I 70.92%NM 69.99%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41%38.00I 2.63%NM 2.60%1.3%2026-08-14 00:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.41I 70.92%NM 69.99%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41%38.00I 2.63%NM 2.60%1.3%2026-08-14 00:25