语言:简体中文
Australia v Bangladesh
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Australia (主队)
预测 66.97%1.49公平赔率
EV -2.89%
优势 -1.99%
Kelly -6.43%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.45
博彩公司预测分布
64.44%66.97%67.78%68.57%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.361.391.381.4573.53%71.71%72.46%68.97%最小值均值中位数最大值
Bangladesh (客队)
预测 29.60%3.38公平赔率
EV -3.81%
优势 -1.17%
Kelly -1.69%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 3.25
博彩公司预测分布
28.69%29.60%29.02%32.41%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.903.143.233.2534.48%31.86%31.01%30.77%最小值均值中位数最大值
平局
预测 3.43%29.13公平赔率
EV +16.71%
优势 +0.491%
Kelly +0.506%
增长率 +0.085%
假设最高赔率为 34.00
博彩公司预测分布
2.73%3.43%3.20%4.33%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
21.0031.8334.0034.004.76%3.14%2.94%2.94%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Australia (主队)：66.97%；Bangladesh (客队)：29.60%；平局：3.43%。 对于“平局”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为29.13。 当时有13家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为34.00，对应+16.71%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (18 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -3.56%E -2.47%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.83%EV -8.25%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.81%EV +16.71%E +0.491%K +0.506%G +0.085% | 4.6% | 2026-08-14 00:24 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 66.36%EV -3.56%E -2.47%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.83%EV -8.25%E -2.66%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.81%EV +16.71%E +0.491%K +0.506%G +0.085% | 4.6% | 2026-08-14 00:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.25%EV -7.58%E -5.49%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -3.81%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.77%EV +16.71%E +0.491%K +0.506%G +0.085% | 6.2% | 2026-08-13 08:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.25%EV -7.58%E -5.49%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -3.81%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.77%EV +16.71%E +0.491%K +0.506%G +0.085% | 6.2% | 2026-08-13 08:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.25%EV -7.58%E -5.49%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -3.81%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.77%EV +16.71%E +0.491%K +0.506%G +0.085% | 6.2% | 2026-08-13 08:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.25%EV -7.58%E -5.49%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -3.81%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.77%EV +16.71%E +0.491%K +0.506%G +0.085% | 6.2% | 2026-08-13 08:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.25%EV -7.58%E -5.49%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -3.81%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.77%EV +16.71%E +0.491%K +0.506%G +0.085% | 6.2% | 2026-08-13 08:25 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.25%EV -7.58%E -5.49%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -3.81%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.77%EV +16.71%E +0.491%K +0.506%G +0.085% | 6.2% | 2026-08-13 08:25 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.25%EV -7.58%E -5.49%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -3.81%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.77%EV +16.71%E +0.491%K +0.506%G +0.085% | 6.2% | 2026-08-13 08:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.25%EV -7.58%E -5.49%K -19.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -3.81%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.77%EV +16.71%E +0.491%K +0.506%G +0.085% | 6.2% | 2026-08-13 08:25 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.82%EV -2.89%E -1.99%K -6.43%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.41%EV -14.17%E -4.89%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.76%EV +16.71%E +0.491%K +0.506%G +0.085% | 6.4% | 2026-08-14 00:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.57%EV -8.92%E -6.56%K -24.78%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.69%EV -3.81%E -1.17%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.74%EV +16.71%E +0.491%K +0.506%G +0.085% | 7.2% | 2026-08-13 08:25 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.26%EV -8.92%E -6.56%K -24.78%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.01%EV -5.29%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 34.00I 2.94%NM 2.73%EV +16.71%E +0.491%K +0.506%G +0.085% | 7.7% | 2026-08-13 08:25 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 67.78%EV -8.25%E -6.02%K -22.30%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.02%EV -5.29%E -1.65%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.20%EV -0.456%E -0.016%K -0.016%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-13 20:05 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 66.66%EV -8.92%E -6.56%K -24.78%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.22%EV -11.21%E -3.74%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 29.00I 3.45%NM 3.13%EV -0.456%E -0.016%K -0.016%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-13 08:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.44%EV -3.56%E -2.47%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -14.17%E -4.89%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.57%EV -10.75%E -0.414%K -0.430%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-13 08:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.44%EV -3.56%E -2.47%K -8.10%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.00%EV -14.17%E -4.89%K -7.46%G +0.000% | 26.00I 3.85%NM 3.57%EV -10.75%E -0.414%K -0.430%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-13 08:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.88%EV -6.24%E -4.46%K -15.60%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -12.69%E -4.30%K -6.51%G +0.000% | 21.00I 4.76%NM 4.33%EV -27.92%E -1.33%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-13 08:05 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 平局 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.99% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41% | 38.00I 2.63%NM 2.60% | 1.3% | 2026-08-14 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.99% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41% | 38.00I 2.63%NM 2.60% | 1.3% | 2026-08-14 00:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 69.99% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.41% | 38.00I 2.63%NM 2.60% | 1.3% | 2026-08-14 00:25 |