The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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West Indies v Sri Lanka

Kickoff: 2026-06-21 09:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

West Indies (Local)

Prediction 61.84%1.62fair odd
EV -4.15%
Edge -2.68%
Kelly -7.54%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.25%61.90%61.88%62.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.521.531.5566.67%65.81%65.36%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sri Lanka (Visit)

Prediction 38.16%2.62fair odd
EV -2.69%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -1.73%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.04%38.10%38.12%38.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.502.502.5541.67%40.00%40.00%39.22%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: West Indies (Local): 61.84%; Sri Lanka (Visit): 38.16%. For Sri Lanka (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.62. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.55, with an expected value of -2.69%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Betway🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.15%E -2.68%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%4.5%2026-06-21 09:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.15%E -2.68%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 09:19
Neds🎯1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.15%E -2.68%K -7.54%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-21 09:19
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 09:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 09:20
Bet Right🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 09:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 09:09
Coral🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 09:10
Sky Bet🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 09:10
Paddy Power🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-21 09:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-21 09:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -5.39%E -3.52%K -10.16%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-21 09:19
TAB🎯1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.00%E -3.95%K -11.55%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 09:20
SportsBet🎯1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -6.62%E -4.39%K -12.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-21 09:19
Unibet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.24%E -4.83%K -14.48%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.69%E -1.05%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-21 09:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.24%E -4.83%K -14.48%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.69%E -1.05%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-21 09:19
Grosvenor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.24%E -4.83%K -14.48%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.69%E -1.05%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-21 09:19
TABtouch🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.24%E -4.83%K -14.48%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.69%E -1.05%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-21 09:20
Casumo🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.24%E -4.83%K -14.48%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.69%E -1.05%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-21 09:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -7.24%E -4.83%K -14.48%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -2.69%E -1.05%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-21 09:20
888sport🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.24%E -4.83%K -14.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-21 09:19
William Hill🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.24%E -4.83%K -14.48%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.06%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-21 09:20
Bet Victor🎯1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.24%E -4.83%K -14.48%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.41%E -3.51%K -6.01%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-21 09:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.60I 62.50%NM 62.44%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.56%0.1%2026-06-21 09:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%0.2%2026-06-21 09:20
Matchbook◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.76%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.24%0.2%2026-06-21 09:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%0.5%2026-06-21 09:20
Smarkets◎1.56I 64.10%NM 62.68%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.32%2.3%2026-06-21 09:20