Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

West Indies v Ireland

Kickoff: 2026-06-27 13:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

West Indies (Local)

Prediction 75.24%1.33fair odd
EV -2.94%
Edge -2.28%
Kelly -10.13%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.29

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
74.45%75.38%75.25%76.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.251.251.2981.97%79.97%80.00%77.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Ireland (Visit)

Prediction 24.76%4.04fair odd
EV +0.272%
Edge +0.067%
Kelly +0.089%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.05

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.30%24.62%24.75%25.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.703.853.804.0527.03%25.97%26.32%24.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: West Indies (Local): 75.24%; Ireland (Visit): 24.76%. For Ireland (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.04. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.05, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.272%.

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
SportsBet🎯1.23I 81.30%NM 76.70%EV -7.45%E -6.06%K -32.40%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 23.30%EV +0.272%E +0.067%K +0.089%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-27 13:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.95%E -4.76%K -23.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.966%E -0.241%K -0.322%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 13:20
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.95%E -4.76%K -23.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.966%E -0.241%K -0.322%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 13:19
Sky Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.95%E -4.76%K -23.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.966%E -0.241%K -0.322%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 13:20
Paddy Power🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -5.95%E -4.76%K -23.79%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV -0.966%E -0.241%K -0.322%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-27 13:20
TAB🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 76.34%EV -6.70%E -5.40%K -27.92%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -0.966%E -0.241%K -0.322%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-27 13:18
888sport🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.21%E -6.73%K -37.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.966%E -0.241%K -0.322%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-27 12:59
William Hill🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -8.21%E -6.73%K -37.30%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -0.966%E -0.241%K -0.322%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-27 13:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.73%EV -5.95%E -4.76%K -23.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.27%EV -3.44%E -0.882%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-27 07:20
Bet Right🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.34%EV -5.20%E -4.12%K -19.98%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.66%EV -4.68%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-27 13:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.49%EV -5.95%E -4.76%K -23.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.51%EV -4.68%E -1.22%K -1.64%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-27 13:20
Betway🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -2.94%E -2.28%K -10.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -5.92%E -1.56%K -2.11%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-27 13:09
Betr (AU)🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 74.85%EV -5.20%E -4.12%K -19.98%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.15%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-27 13:20
Unibet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.95%E -4.76%K -23.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-27 13:20
Grosvenor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.95%E -4.76%K -23.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-27 13:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.95%E -4.76%K -23.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-27 13:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.95%E -4.76%K -23.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-27 13:20
TABtouch🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.95%E -4.76%K -23.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-27 13:20
Casumo🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.95%E -4.76%K -23.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-27 13:19
BoyleSports🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -5.95%E -4.76%K -23.79%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -7.16%E -1.91%K -2.60%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-27 13:09
Neds🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.44%E -3.50%K -16.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -8.39%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-27 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -4.44%E -3.50%K -16.46%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -8.39%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-27 13:19
Bet Victor🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.95%E -4.76%K -23.79%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -8.39%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-27 13:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21%0.2%2026-06-27 13:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21%0.2%2026-06-27 13:20
Matchbook1.30I 76.92%NM 76.79%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.21%0.2%2026-06-27 13:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%0.8%2026-06-27 13:20
Smarkets1.27I 78.74%NM 76.78%4.20I 23.81%NM 23.22%2.5%2026-06-27 13:20