Language:English
Sri Lanka v Scotland
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sri Lanka (Local)
Prediction 68.82%1.45fair odd
EV -3.66%
Edge -2.61%
Kelly -9.14%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.18%68.80%68.81%70.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.351.371.361.4074.07%73.16%73.53%71.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Scotland (Visit)
Prediction 31.18%3.21fair odd
EV +1.34%
Edge +0.413%
Kelly +0.597%
Growth +0.008%
assuming max odds 3.25
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.50%31.20%31.19%31.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.043.003.2533.33%32.89%33.33%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sri Lanka (Local): 68.82%; Scotland (Visit): 31.18%. For Scotland (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.21. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.34%.
Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.41%E -4.71%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +1.34%E +0.413%K +0.597%G +0.008% | 4.3% | 2026-06-26 17:09 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 70.50%EV -6.41%E -4.71%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.50%EV +1.34%E +0.413%K +0.597%G +0.008% | 4.3% | 2026-06-26 17:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.35I 74.07%NM 69.93%EV -7.10%E -5.26%K -20.27%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.07%EV -2.09%E -0.665%K -0.975%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-26 17:10 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.72%E -4.18%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -3.33%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-26 17:09 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 69.35%EV -5.72%E -4.18%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.65%EV -3.33%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-26 17:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -5.03%E -3.65%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.89%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-26 17:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 69.16%EV -6.41%E -4.71%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.84%EV -4.89%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-26 17:09 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV -3.66%E -2.61%K -9.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-26 17:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.03%E -3.65%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-26 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.03%E -3.65%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-26 17:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -5.03%E -3.65%K -13.24%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-26 17:14 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.72%E -4.18%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-26 17:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.72%E -4.18%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-26 17:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.65%EV -5.72%E -4.18%K -15.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.35%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-26 17:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.41%E -4.71%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-26 17:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.41%E -4.71%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-26 17:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.41%E -4.71%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-26 17:09 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.41%E -4.71%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-26 17:10 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.41%E -4.71%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-26 17:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.41%E -4.71%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-26 17:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.41%E -4.71%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-26 17:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.41%E -4.71%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-26 17:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -6.41%E -4.71%K -17.80%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-26 17:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.23% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77% | 0.3% | 2026-06-26 17:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 69.92% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.08% | 0.7% | 2026-06-26 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-06-26 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.41I 70.92%NM 70.38% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.62% | 0.8% | 2026-06-26 17:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.40I 71.43%NM 70.21% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.79% | 1.7% | 2026-06-26 17:20 |