语言:简体中文
South Africa v Netherlands
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
South Africa (主队)
预测 93.54%1.07公平赔率
EV -4.59%
优势 -4.50%
Kelly -229.59%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.02
博彩公司预测分布
92.72%93.78%93.45%95.83%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.001.011.021.02100.00%98.57%98.04%98.04%最小值均值中位数最大值
Netherlands (客队)
预测 6.46%15.47公平赔率
EV +48.64%
优势 +2.11%
Kelly +2.21%
增长率 +1.08%
假设最高赔率为 23.00
博彩公司预测分布
4.17%6.22%6.55%7.28%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
13.0015.5114.6323.007.69%6.45%6.84%4.35%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：South Africa (主队)：93.54%；Netherlands (客队)：6.46%。 对于“Netherlands (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为15.47。 当时有8家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为23.00，对应+48.64%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (20 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 888sport🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.83%EV -6.46%E -6.46%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.17%EV +48.64%E +2.11%K +2.21%G +1.08% | 4.3% | 2026-06-25 17:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 95.83%EV -6.46%E -6.46%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 23.00I 4.35%NM 4.17%EV +48.64%E +2.11%K +2.21%G +1.08% | 4.3% | 2026-06-25 17:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.59%E -4.50%K -229.59%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +9.86%E +0.580%K +0.617%G +0.061% | 3.9% | 2026-06-25 17:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.59%E -4.50%K -229.59%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +9.86%E +0.580%K +0.617%G +0.061% | 3.9% | 2026-06-25 17:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.59%E -4.50%K -229.59%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +9.86%E +0.580%K +0.617%G +0.061% | 3.9% | 2026-06-25 17:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 94.34%EV -4.59%E -4.50%K -229.59%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.66%EV +9.86%E +0.580%K +0.617%G +0.061% | 3.9% | 2026-06-25 17:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.53%E -5.47%K -552.72%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +9.86%E +0.580%K +0.617%G +0.061% | 4.9% | 2026-06-25 17:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 94.39%EV -5.53%E -5.47%K -552.72%G +0.000% | 17.00I 5.88%NM 5.61%EV +9.86%E +0.580%K +0.617%G +0.061% | 4.9% | 2026-06-23 23:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.53%E -5.47%K -552.72%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -3.06%E -0.204%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-25 17:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.69%EV -5.53%E -5.47%K -552.72%G +0.000% | 15.00I 6.67%NM 6.31%EV -3.06%E -0.204%K -0.219%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-22 06:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.01I 99.01%NM 93.38%EV -5.53%E -5.47%K -552.72%G +0.000% | 14.25I 7.02%NM 6.62%EV -7.91%E -0.555%K -0.597%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-21 17:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 93.21%EV -4.59%E -4.50%K -229.59%G +0.000% | 14.00I 7.14%NM 6.79%EV -9.52%E -0.680%K -0.733%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-25 17:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.59%E -4.50%K -229.59%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -15.99%E -1.23%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-25 17:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.59%E -4.50%K -229.59%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -15.99%E -1.23%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-22 08:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.59%E -4.50%K -229.59%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -15.99%E -1.23%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-22 08:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.59%E -4.50%K -229.59%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -15.99%E -1.23%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-22 08:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.59%E -4.50%K -229.59%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -15.99%E -1.23%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-22 08:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.59%E -4.50%K -229.59%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -15.99%E -1.23%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-22 08:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.02I 98.04%NM 92.72%EV -4.59%E -4.50%K -229.59%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.28%EV -15.99%E -1.23%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-22 08:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.00I 100.00%NM 92.86%EV -6.46%E -6.46%K +0.000%G +0.000% | 13.00I 7.69%NM 7.14%EV -15.99%E -1.23%K -1.33%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-06-25 17:19 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 97.51% | 40.00I 2.50%NM 2.49% | 0.5% | 2026-06-25 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 97.51% | 40.00I 2.50%NM 2.49% | 0.5% | 2026-06-25 17:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 97.51% | 40.00I 2.50%NM 2.49% | 0.5% | 2026-06-25 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 97.24% | 36.00I 2.78%NM 2.76% | 0.8% | 2026-06-25 17:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.02I 98.04%NM 97.24% | 36.00I 2.78%NM 2.76% | 0.8% | 2026-06-25 17:20 |