Language:English
South Africa v India
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
South Africa (Local)
Prediction 40.51%2.47fair odd
EV +1.28%
Edge +0.512%
Kelly +0.853%
Growth +0.011%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.81%40.52%40.54%41.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.372.372.5043.48%42.13%42.19%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
India (Visit)
Prediction 59.49%1.68fair odd
EV -3.63%
Edge -2.24%
Kelly -5.85%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.67%59.48%59.46%62.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.571.571.6265.79%63.69%63.69%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: South Africa (Local): 40.51%; India (Visit): 59.49%. For South Africa (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.47. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.28%.
Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TAB🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV +1.28%E +0.512%K +0.853%G +0.011% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -9.58%E -6.30%K -18.42%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-20 22:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.745%E -0.304%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.79%E -5.03%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-21 13:10 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.745%E -0.304%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.79%E -5.03%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-21 13:10 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.745%E -0.304%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.79%E -5.03%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-21 13:10 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.745%E -0.304%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.79%E -5.03%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-21 13:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.745%E -0.304%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.79%E -5.03%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-21 13:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -0.745%E -0.304%K -0.514%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -7.79%E -5.03%K -14.17%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-21 13:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -2.77%E -1.15%K -1.98%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -7.20%E -4.61%K -12.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-21 13:20 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.58%E -1.50%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.60%E -4.21%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-21 13:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.58%E -1.50%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.60%E -4.21%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-21 13:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.58%E -1.50%K -2.60%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.60%E -4.21%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-21 13:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -3.99%E -1.68%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -6.60%E -4.21%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-21 13:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -3.99%E -1.68%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -6.60%E -4.21%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-21 13:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.80%E -2.04%K -3.55%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.82%E -3.01%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-21 13:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.31%EV -5.20%E -2.22%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.69%EV -6.01%E -3.80%K -10.36%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-21 13:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -6.01%E -2.59%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.22%E -2.62%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-21 13:19 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.82%E -2.97%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.63%E -2.24%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-21 13:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.82%E -2.97%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.82%E -3.01%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-21 13:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.82%E -2.97%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.82%E -3.01%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-21 13:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.82%E -2.97%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.82%E -3.01%K -8.03%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-21 13:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.82%E -2.97%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.60%E -4.21%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-21 13:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.82%E -2.97%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.60%E -4.21%K -11.59%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-21 13:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV -6.82%E -2.97%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -8.98%E -5.87%K -16.95%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-21 13:17 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.24% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 59.76% | 0.2% | 2026-06-21 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.57% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.43% | 0.3% | 2026-06-21 13:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 0.3% | 2026-06-21 13:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.23% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.77% | 0.3% | 2026-06-21 13:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.34% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.66% | 1.6% | 2026-06-21 13:20 |